Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Nov. 22, 2006

Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 23, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Dynamic Leisure and Entertainment ETF)
PEJ latest price $18.0300 (0.33%) ($17.9100 - $18.0400) on Wed. Nov. 22, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.96% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $18.0300(0.33%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PEJ advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEJ advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(83%)    XLY(80%)    SPY(79%)    QQQ(74%)    XLK(70%)
Factors Impacting PEJ price   PEJ will decline at least -0.48% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-18%)    TIP(-8%)    GLD(0%)    LQD(16%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.48% (StdDev 0.96%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $17.95(0.45%)
10 Day Moving Average   $17.83(1.12%)
20 Day Moving Average   $17.66(2.1%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   20.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PEJ price fluctuates within 1.36% (three month std-dev: 0.96%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20061222

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_22_2006	16.2	17.66	17.83	17.95			18.03(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	27	-10000	4	96	0.02	93%	0.12	54.4	0.96%	0	1.5	71	0
2	Nov_21_2006	16.18	17.63	17.79	17.92			17.97(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	-10000	4	101	0.02	93%	0.06	60	0.96%	0	1.5	65	0
3	Nov_20_2006	16.17	17.61	17.74	17.89			17.87(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	28	-10000	5	95	0.02	93%	0.12	61.3	0.97%	0	1.2	60	0
4	Nov_17_2006	16.15	17.59	17.71	17.85			17.88(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	-10000	6	90	0.03	93%	0.12	56.3	0.97%	0	1.4	57	0
5	Nov_16_2006	16.13	17.56	17.64	17.8			17.98(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	27	-10000	12	72	0.03	93%	0.19	49.1	0.97%	0	2.1	61	0

6	Nov_15_2006	16.1	17.53	17.57	17.7			17.9(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	14	-10000	7	36	0.07	94%	0.12	36.9	0.98%	0	2.1	52	0
7	Nov_14_2006	16.08	17.5	17.51	17.64			17.8(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	10	-10000	7	20	0.05	94%	0.12	45.1	1%	0	1.9	54	0
8	Nov_13_2006	16.06	17.48	17.48	17.58			17.71(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	5	-10000	5	5	0.03	94%	0.19	46.3	1%	0	1.6	54	0
9	Nov_10_2006	16.03	17.47	17.46	17.54			17.6(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	9	-10000	10	4	0.02	94%	0.12	54.1	1%	0	1	53	0
10	Nov_9_2006	16.01	17.47	17.45	17.45			17.47(-0.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	1	-10000	5	-11	0.07	86%	0.13	45.9	1%	0	0.1	55	0

11	Nov_8_2006	15.99	17.46	17.47	17.41			17.64(0.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	3	-10000	6	-6	0.04	86%	0.13	38	1.02%	0	1.1	58	0
12	Nov_7_2006	15.97	17.43	17.46	17.41			17.47(-0.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-3	-10000	0	-13	0.01	86%	0.13	30.4	1.03%	0	0.2	51	0
13	Nov_6_2006	15.95	17.42	17.47	17.36			17.54(2.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.1	-3	-10000	-1	-10	0.03	86%	0.13	46.9	1.02%	0	0.7	52	0
14	Nov_3_2006	15.93	17.4	17.46	17.37			17.12(-0.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-10	-10000	-9	-14	0.25	84%	0.13	62.1	0.99%	0	-1.6	37	0
15	Nov_2_2006	15.91	17.41	17.48	17.45			17.28(-0.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-9	-10000	-10	-4	0.03	86%	0.13	93.9	0.98%	0	-0.8	46	0

16	Nov_1_2006	15.89	17.4	17.48	17.54			17.39(-0.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-1	-10000	-5	13	0.03	86%	0.13	110.1	1%	0	-0.1	50	0
17	Oct_31_2006	15.87	17.38	17.48	17.58			17.49(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	8	-10000	-1	35	0.02	86%	0.13	90.7	1.01%	0	0.4	68	0
18	Oct_30_2006	15.85	17.34	17.5	17.59			17.58(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	14	-10000	3	47	0.02	86%	0.13	80.3	1.01%	0	0.8	62	0
19	Oct_27_2006	15.83	17.29	17.49	17.56			17.5(-1.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	17	-10000	5	54	0.01	79%	0.13	70.6	1.02%	0	0.6	60	0
20	Oct_26_2006	15.81	17.25	17.48	17.52			17.72(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	20	-10000	8	57	0.02	75%	0.13	68.5	1.06%	0	1.3	71	0

21	Oct_25_2006	15.79	17.19	17.45	17.45			17.6(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	14	-10000	3	48	0.03	75%	0.13	66.2	1.11%	0	1.2	66	0
22	Oct_24_2006	15.77	17.15	17.4	17.42			17.53(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	-10000	2	44	0.07	77%	0.13	65.7	1.12%	0	1.1	69	0
23	Oct_23_2006	15.75	17.1	17.36	17.4			17.47(0.98%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	14	-10000	-1	58	0.02	77%	0.06	68.2	1.15%	0	1	76	0
24	Oct_20_2006	15.74	17.06	17.34	17.41			17.3(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	17	-10000	-3	76	0.02	68%	0.06	70.4	1.17%	0	0.6	73	0
25	Oct_19_2006	15.73	17.01	17.32	17.44			17.35(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	23	-10000	-1	95	0.03	71%		71.2	1.21%	0	0.9	76	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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