Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Oct. 5, 2006

Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 23, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Dynamic Leisure and Entertainment ETF)
PEJ latest price $17.1500 (1%) ($17.0000 - $17.2300) on Thu. Oct. 5, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.33% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $17.1500(1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PEJ advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEJ advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(83%)    XLY(80%)    SPY(79%)    QQQ(74%)    XLK(70%)
Factors Impacting PEJ price   PEJ will decline at least -0.665% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-18%)    TIP(-8%)    GLD(-0%)    LQD(16%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.665% (StdDev 1.33%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $16.76(2.33%)
10 Day Moving Average   $16.67(2.88%)
20 Day Moving Average   $16.45(4.26%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   18.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PEJ price fluctuates within 2.31% (three month std-dev: 1.33%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_5_2006	15.59	16.45	16.67	16.76			17.15(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	22	-10000	9	60	0.04	57%	0.06	75.3	1.33%	0	1.8	68	0
2	Oct_4_2006	15.58	16.37	16.6	16.66			16.98(2.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	16	-10000	4	51	0.02	57%	0.06	69.8	1.34%	0	1.6	69	0
3	Oct_3_2006	15.57	16.3	16.55	16.66			16.56(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	13	-10000	0	50	0.05	54%	0	70.5	1.32%	0	0.7	59	0
4	Oct_2_2006	15.57	16.26	16.52	16.61			16.59(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	14	-10000	1	51	0.01	54%	0.06	78.5	1.32%	0	0.9	60	0
5	Sep_29_2006	15.56	16.21	16.48	16.6			16.52(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	18	-10000	4	61	0.01	58%	0	85.9	1.32%	0	0.8	69	0

6	Sep_28_2006	15.56	16.17	16.47	16.56			16.67(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	20	-10000	4	69	0.02	58%	0	88.4	1.37%	0	1.3	74	0
7	Sep_27_2006	15.56	16.11	16.42	16.52			16.7(0.72%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	23	-10000	3	81	0.02	56%	-0.06	88.7	1.37%	0	1.5	79	0
8	Sep_26_2006	15.57	16.04	16.37	16.49			16.58(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	29	-10000	6	98	0.01	56%	0	89.6	1.38%	0	1.4	75	0
9	Sep_25_2006	15.57	15.97	16.34	16.42			16.53(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	30	-10000	6	102	0.01	56%	0	79.1	1.38%	0	1.3	68	0
10	Sep_22_2006	15.57	15.89	16.27	16.42			16.33(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	24	-10000	0	95	0.02	55%	0	65.7	1.37%	0	1	66	0

11	Sep_21_2006	15.57	15.83	16.22	16.35			16.46(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	-10000	5	103	0.06	56%	0	60.3	1.37%	0	1.3	71	0
12	Sep_20_2006	15.57	15.76	16.12	16.3			16.57(2.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	29	-10000	5	99	0.11	56%	0	54.8	1.37%	0	1.7	77	0
13	Sep_19_2006	15.57	15.69	16.02	16.24			16.2(0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	23	-10000	-1	96	0.03	53%	0	57.5	1.35%	0	1.1	74	0
14	Sep_18_2006	15.57	15.65	15.97	16.25			16.18(-1.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	34	-10000	6	119	0.06	53%	0	65.8	1.35%	0	1.2	77	0
15	Sep_15_2006	15.57	15.6	15.93	16.18			16.35(0.99%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	41	-10000	11	132	0.01	56%	0	72.9	1.35%	0	1.8	85	0

16	Sep_14_2006	15.57	15.55	15.85	16.06			16.19(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	42	-10000	13	127	0.02	56%	0	82.4	1.39%	0	1.7	79	0
17	Sep_13_2006	15.57	15.5	15.77	15.92			16.28(0.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	40	-10000	14	118	0.32	54%	0	86.6	1.39%	0	2.2	82	0
18	Sep_12_2006	15.57	15.44	15.68	15.77			16.26(2.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	32	-10000	10	98	0.11	52%	0	90.8	1.41%	0	2.6	73	0
19	Sep_11_2006	15.57	15.36	15.57	15.66			15.81(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	21	-10000	2	78	0.03	49%	-0.06	89.9	1.4%	0	1.6	65	0
20	Sep_8_2006	15.58	15.3	15.48	15.64			15.74(1.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	-10000	2	66	0.01	48%	0	79.8	1.39%	0	1.4	59	0

21	Sep_7_2006	15.58	15.25	15.42	15.62			15.49(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	15	-10000	2	54	0.01	47%	-0.06	71.9	1.38%	0	0.8	52	0
22	Sep_6_2006	15.59	15.2	15.37	15.6			15.56(-1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	15	-10000	3	49	0.01	47%	-0.06	58.6	1.38%	0	1	61	0
23	Sep_5_2006	15.6	15.15	15.34	15.57			15.72(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	22	-10000	11	53	0.01	45%	0	58.8	1.38%	0	1.6	70	0
24	Sep_1_2006	15.6	15.11	15.29	15.45			15.7(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	23	-10000	14	50	0.02	47%	0	55.1	1.38%	0	1.7	75	0
25	Aug_31_2006	15.6	15.06	15.26	15.3			15.61(1.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	19	-10000	10	45	0.01	47%		49	1.39%	0	1.8	76	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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