Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ PEJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Aug. 16, 2006

Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 23, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Dynamic Leisure and Entertainment ETF)
PEJ latest price $15.2100 (1.13%) ($15.1100 - $15.2300) on Wed. Aug. 16, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.38% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $15.2100(1.13%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PEJ advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEJ advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(83%)    XLY(80%)    SPY(79%)    QQQ(74%)    XLK(70%)
Factors Impacting PEJ price   PEJ will decline at least -0.69% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-18%)    TIP(-8%)    GLD(-0%)    LQD(16%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.69% (StdDev 1.38%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $14.84(2.49%)
10 Day Moving Average   $14.79(2.84%)
20 Day Moving Average   $14.79(2.84%)
To recent high   -6.7%
To recent low   5.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PEJ price fluctuates within 1.62% (three month std-dev: 1.38%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060916

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_16_2006	15.72		14.79	14.84			15.21(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	21	-10000	15	38	0.02	42%	-0.06	-11.7	1.38%	0	1.8	67	0
2	Aug_15_2006	15.73	14.79	14.74	14.69			15.04(1.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	8	-10000	7	9	0.03	42%	-0.06	-35.6	1.37%	0	1.1	53	0
3	Aug_14_2006	15.74	14.78	14.69	14.69			14.76(0.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-7	-10000	0	-26	0	39%	-0.06	-62.4	1.34%	0	-0.1	39	0
4	Aug_11_2006	15.75	14.79	14.68	14.62			14.62(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-14	-10000	-5	-39	0	37%	-0.13	-77.2	1.34%	0	-0.8	40	0
5	Aug_10_2006	15.77	14.8	14.69	14.67			14.59(1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-12	-10000	-5	-33	0	37%	-0.13	-90.6	1.35%	0	-1	49	0

6	Aug_9_2006	15.79	14.82	14.68	14.72			14.43(-1.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-15	-10000	-8	-37	0.03	37%	-0.13	-91.7	1.34%	0	-1.6	42	0
7	Aug_8_2006	15.81	14.87	14.72	14.8			14.7(-0.54%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-5	-10000	4	-33	0.01	40%	-0.06	-77.7	1.33%	0	-0.6	40	0
8	Aug_7_2006	15.82	14.92	14.77	14.76			14.78(-0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-5	-10000	3	-30	0	40%	-0.13	-78.1	1.33%	0	-0.4	49	0
9	Aug_4_2006	15.84	14.96	14.8	14.73			14.83(-0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-7	-10000	2	-32	0.02	41%	-0.06	-78.5	1.34%	0	-0.4	48	0
10	Aug_3_2006	15.85	15	14.8	14.71			14.87(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-3	-10000	8	-37	0	41%	-0.06	-74.6	1.35%	0	-0.3	51	0

11	Aug_2_2006	15.86	15.05	14.79	14.63			14.81(2.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-15	-10000	-1	-55	0.01	41%	-0.06	-70.6	1.35%	0	-0.5	48	0
12	Aug_1_2006	15.87	15.1	14.83	14.64			14.49(-1.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-28	-10000	-15	-66	0.05	39%	-0.13	-64.6	1.32%	0	-1.3	37	0
13	Jul_31_2006	15.89	15.19	14.87	14.79			14.67(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-22	-10000	-8	-62	0.01	39%	-0.06	-47.7	1.32%	0	-1.1	36	0
14	Jul_28_2006	15.9	15.26	14.91	14.87			14.71(1.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-18	-10000	-1	-67	0	39%	-0.06	-36.2	1.32%	0	-1.1	36	0
15	Jul_27_2006	15.91	15.32	14.92	14.88			14.49(-2.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-30	-10000	-8	-95	0.01	37%	-0.06	-31.2	1.31%	0	-1.6	33	0

16	Jul_26_2006	15.92	15.38	14.97	14.96			14.84(-2.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-35	-10000	-9	-112	0.01	39%	-0.06	-29.2	1.28%	0	-1.1	33	0
17	Jul_25_2006	15.93	15.41	15.03	15.05			15.24(0.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-21	-10000	8	-109	0	41%	-0.06	-25.1	1.24%	0	-0.4	38	0
18	Jul_24_2006	15.94	15.42	15.07	14.98			15.09(2.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-33	-10000	2	-139	0	41%	-0.06	-28.2	1.23%	0	-0.7	32	0
19	Jul_21_2006	15.95	15.44	15.13	14.96			14.72(-1.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-41	-10000	-1	-162	0.01	37%	-0.06	-30.9	1.19%	0	-1.6	25	0
20	Jul_20_2006	15.96	15.48	15.23	14.97			14.92(-2.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-44	-10000	-1	-171	0	40%	-0.06	-34.3	1.18%	0	-1.3	31	0

21	Jul_19_2006	15.97	15.48	15.33	14.98			15.29(2.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-43	-10000	-3	-163	0	42%	-0.06	-31.9	1.15%	0	-0.6	48	0
22	Jul_18_2006	15.98	15.52	15.39	15.01			14.86(-0.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-57	-10000	-22	-162	0	39%	-0.06	-27.5	1.09%	0	-1.7	42	0
23	Jul_17_2006	15.99	15.55	15.52	15.19			14.99(1.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-41	-10000	-18	-110	0.01	39%	-0.06	-15.9	1.1%	0	-1.6	42	0
24	Jul_14_2006	16	15.58	15.63	15.34			14.81(-1.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-32	-10000	-21	-64	0.01	37%	-0.06	-7.3	1.08%	0	-2.3	40	0
25	Jul_13_2006	16.01	15.63	15.76	15.52			14.97(-2.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-19	-10000	-22	-11	0.01	37%		6.5	1.09%	0	-2.3	45	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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