Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ PEJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Jun. 20, 2006

Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 23, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Dynamic Leisure and Entertainment ETF)
PEJ latest price $15.3800 (0%) ($15.3400 - $15.4500) on Tue. Jun. 20, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.85% (three month average)
RSI   38
Latest Price   $15.3800(0%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PEJ advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEJ declines -1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(83%)    XLY(80%)    SPY(79%)    QQQ(74%)    XLK(70%)
Factors Impacting PEJ price   PEJ will decline at least -0.425% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-29%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-8%)    REMX(-0%)    GLD(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.425% (StdDev 0.85%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $11.85(-22.95%)
Resistance Level   $15.68
5 Day Moving Average   $15.4(-0.13%)
10 Day Moving Average   $15.47(-0.58%)
20 Day Moving Average   $15.68(-1.91%)
To recent high   -8.8%
To recent low   1.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PEJ price fluctuates within 1.85% (three month std-dev: 0.85%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060720

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_20_2006	16.07	15.68	15.47	15.4			15.38(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-22	-10000	8	-110	0	43%	-0.06	-62.2	0.85%	0	-1	38	0
2	Jun_19_2006	16.08	15.71	15.5	15.4			15.38(-0.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-34	-10000	0	-134	0	43%	-0.06	-75.3	0.85%	0	-1.2	40	0
3	Jun_16_2006	16.09	15.74	15.54	15.35			15.52(-0.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-42	-10000	-6	-149	0.01	44%	-0.06	-80.9	0.85%	0	-0.8	38	0
4	Jun_15_2006	16.1	15.77	15.59	15.39			15.6(3.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-37	-10000	-3	-137	0.01	46%	0	-81	0.85%	0	-0.6	42	0
5	Jun_14_2006	16.1	15.8	15.64	15.41			15.13(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-54	-10000	-24	-145	0.03	42%	-0.06	-88.6	0.76%	0	-2.3	36	0

6	Jun_13_2006	16.11	15.86	15.72	15.55			15.12(-1.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-40	-10000	-20	-99	0.03	42%	0	-91.2	0.77%	0	-2.7	37	0
7	Jun_12_2006	16.11	15.92	15.8	15.67			15.36(-2.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-30	-10000	-15	-75	0.01	45%	-0.06	-103.5	0.75%	0	-2.4	35	0
8	Jun_9_2006	16.12	15.97	15.87	15.76			15.72(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-21	-10000	-11	-51	0.01	49%	0	-116.8	0.69%	0	-1.3	41	0
9	Jun_8_2006	16.12	16.01	15.9	15.82			15.71(-0.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-23	-10000	-17	-42	0.01	49%	0	-102.2	0.69%	0	-1.4	39	0
10	Jun_7_2006	16.12	16.06	15.9	15.91			15.82(0.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-11	-10000	-4	-31	0.01	51%	0	-72.2	0.69%	0	-0.9	39	0

11	Jun_6_2006	16.12	16.11	15.91	15.93			15.72(-0.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-16	-10000	-4	-52	0.05	51%	0	-54.3	0.69%	0	-1.3	33	0
12	Jun_5_2006	16.12	16.16	15.94	15.95			15.82(-1.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-23	-10000	-9	-64	0.01	51%	0	-40.2	0.68%	0	-1	33	0
13	Jun_2_2006	16.12	16.21	15.94	16			16.05(-0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-13	-10000	4	-62	0.01	52%	0	-30	0.66%	0	-0.5	39	0
14	Jun_1_2006	16.12	16.24	15.94	15.98			16.12(1.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-13	-10000	11	-84	0	53%	0.06	-26.4	0.67%	0	-0.3	36	0
15	May_31_2006	16.11	16.25	15.96	15.92			15.92(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-30	-10000	8	-142	0	51%	0	-29.8	0.65%	0	-0.9	22	0

16	May_30_2006	16.11	16.27	16	15.88			15.86(-1.18%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-53	-10000	-8	-188	0.01	49%	0.06	-32.1	0.65%	0	-1.2	18	0
17	May_26_2006	16.1	16.3	16.05	15.92			16.05(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-48	-10000	2	-199	0	53%	0	-31.6	0.66%	0	-0.8	20	0
18	May_25_2006	16.1	16.31	16.07	15.91			15.96(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-61	-10000	-6	-226	0.02	53%	0.06	-33.2	0.66%	0	-1.1	24	0
19	May_24_2006	16.09	16.33	16.12	15.94			15.79(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-70	-10000	-15	-236	0.02	51%	0	-33.7	0.65%	0	-1.8	22	0
20	May_23_2006	16.09	16.35	16.22	16.02			15.76(-1.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-66	-10000	-21	-200	0.01	51%	0	-28.7	0.65%	0	-2.1	33	0

21	May_22_2006	16.09	16.38	16.33	16.13			16.02(-0.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-48	-10000	-14	-149	0.02	57%	0.06	-21.1	0.62%	0	-1.5	43	0
22	May_19_2006	16.08	16.4	16.41	16.2			16.04(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-32	-10000	-10	-97	0.03	54%	0.06	-7.9	0.64%	0	-1.6	44	0
23	May_18_2006	16.07	16.41	16.48	16.25			16.11(-0.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-26	-10000	-15	-60	0.01	54%	0.06	3.7	0.64%	0	-1.4	46	0
24	May_17_2006	16.06	16.43	16.53	16.33			16.17(-0.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-23	-10000	-23	-23	0.01	54%	0.06	19.5	0.64%	0	-1.2	50	0
25	May_16_2006	16.05	16.44	16.56	16.45			16.3(-0.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-9	-10000	-21	26	0.01	53%		39.8	0.63%	0	-0.7	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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