Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Apr. 6, 2006

Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 23, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Dynamic Leisure and Entertainment ETF)
PEJ latest price $16.4200 (0.8%) ($16.2900 - $16.4300) on Thu. Apr. 6, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.63% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $16.4200(0.8%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PEJ advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEJ advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(83%)    XLY(80%)    SPY(79%)    QQQ(74%)    XLK(70%)
Factors Impacting PEJ price   PEJ will decline at least -0.315% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-8%)    REMX(-1%)    GLD(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.315% (StdDev 0.63%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $16.34(0.49%)
10 Day Moving Average   $16.3(0.74%)
20 Day Moving Average   $16.21(1.3%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   5.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PEJ price fluctuates within 1.11% (three month std-dev: 0.63%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_6_2006	15.74	16.21	16.3	16.34			16.42(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	12	-10000	4	37	0.02	64%	0.13	73.9	0.63%	0	1.2	57	0
2	Apr_5_2006	15.72	16.18	16.3	16.34			16.29(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	7	-10000	0	28	0.06	63%	0.13	66.7	0.64%	0	0.6	57	0
3	Apr_4_2006	15.7	16.15	16.27	16.32			16.37(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	-10000	8	43	0.09	63%	0.06	59.7	0.64%	0	1.1	63	0
4	Apr_3_2006	15.69	16.12	16.27	16.32			16.27(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	10	-10000	0	38	0.04	63%	0.13	52.4	0.64%	0	0.7	66	0
5	Mar_31_2006	15.67	16.1	16.25	16.28			16.34(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	20	-10000	6	61	0.03	63%	0.06	45.4	0.64%	0	1.1	75	0

6	Mar_30_2006	15.66	16.08	16.24	16.25			16.32(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	25	-10000	8	74	0.06	63%	0.13	43.5	0.64%	0	1.2	72	0
7	Mar_29_2006	15.64	16.05	16.22	16.25			16.32(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	21	-10000	0	82	0.01	63%	0.13	39.8	0.65%	0	1.4	74	0
8	Mar_28_2006	15.62	16.03	16.2	16.25			16.17(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	25	-10000	0	101	0.01	61%	0.06	40.3	0.64%	0	0.7	70	0
9	Mar_27_2006	15.61	16.02	16.18	16.25			16.23(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	29	-10000	0	115	0.01	61%	0.06	45.5	0.64%	0	1.2	74	0
10	Mar_24_2006	15.6	16.01	16.15	16.21			16.2(0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	28	-10000	-2	116	0.02	61%	0.13	47.3	0.65%	0	1.1	69	0

11	Mar_23_2006	15.58	15.99	16.11	16.22			16.15(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	29	-10000	-2	121	0.01	61%	0.13	50.9	0.66%	0	0.9	64	0
12	Mar_22_2006	15.56	15.98	16.08	16.23			16.29(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	38	-10000	8	128	0.01	64%	0.13	45.3	0.65%	0	1.8	74	0
13	Mar_21_2006	15.54	15.96	16.03	16.19			16.17(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	34	-10000	8	110	0.01	63%	0.13	37	0.64%	0	1.3	57	0
14	Mar_20_2006	15.52	15.94	15.99	16.15			16.24(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	36	-10000	16	97	0.01	63%	0.13	26.6	0.64%	0	2	66	0
15	Mar_17_2006	15.5	15.92	15.94	16.07			16.26(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	26	-10000	15	59	0	59%	0.19	7.3	0.66%	0	2.6	58	0

16	Mar_16_2006	15.47	15.92	15.9	15.99			16.17(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	20	-10000	15	33	0.01	59%	0.13	-17.4	0.66%	0	2.5	60	0
17	Mar_15_2006	15.45	15.92	15.86	15.91			16.12(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	11	-10000	13	3	0.01	59%	0.13	-36.2	0.66%	0	2	58	0
18	Mar_14_2006	15.43	15.92	15.85	15.84			15.97(0.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	2	-10000	8	-17	0.01	57%	0.13	-49.3	0.66%	0	0.6	51	0
19	Mar_13_2006	15.41	15.9	15.83	15.84			15.82(-0.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-8	-10000	0	-31	0.02	54%	0.13	-66.7	0.65%	0	-0.7	52	0
20	Mar_10_2006	15.39	15.91	15.83	15.84			15.86(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-8	-10000	0	-30	0	54%	0.13	-61.3	0.64%	0	-0.4	45	0

21	Mar_9_2006	15.37	15.92	15.85	15.8			15.77(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-10	-10000	-2	-35	0	54%	0.07	-64	0.65%	0	-1.3	42	0
22	Mar_8_2006	15.36	15.94	15.87	15.81			15.78(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-18	-10000	-8	-47	0.02	54%	0.2	-68	0.65%	0	-1.3	35	0
23	Mar_7_2006	15.33	15.95	15.88	15.85			15.76(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-14	-10000	-4	-42	0	54%	0.13	-61.3	0.65%	0	-1.6	36	0
24	Mar_6_2006	15.31	15.97	15.89	15.87			15.82(-0.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-18	-10000	-8	-49	0	54%	0.13	-62.3	0.65%	0	-1.4	44	0
25	Mar_3_2006	15.29	15.98	15.9	15.91			15.86(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-11	-10000	0	-42	0	54%		-58	0.66%	0	-1.1	41	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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