Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Nov. 18, 2005

Trading Signals: PEJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 23, 2005 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Dynamic Leisure and Entertainment ETF)
PEJ latest price $15.0200 (1.01%) ($14.9200 - $15.0200) on Fri. Nov. 18, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.07% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $15.0200(1.01%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PEJ advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEJ advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(83%)    XLY(80%)    SPY(79%)    QQQ(74%)    XLK(70%)
Factors Impacting PEJ price   PEJ will decline at least -0.535% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-8%)    REMX(-1%)    GLD(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.535% (StdDev 1.07%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $14.83(1.28%)
10 Day Moving Average   $14.82(1.35%)
20 Day Moving Average   $14.57(3.09%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   11.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PEJ price fluctuates within 2.4% (three month std-dev: 1.07%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20051218

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_18_2005	14.37	14.57	14.82	14.83			15.02(1.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	19	-10000	3	67	0	53%	0	68.3	1.07%	0	1.3	78	0
2	Nov_17_2005	14.37	14.52	14.8	14.83			14.87(1.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	23	-10000	0	91	0.01	53%	0	68.5	1.07%	0	1	80	0
3	Nov_16_2005	14.37	14.47	14.78	14.83			14.69(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	31	-10000	0	125	0.01	49%	0	71.5	1.06%	0	0.6	81	0
4	Nov_15_2005	14.37	14.44	14.76	14.83			14.74(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	35	-10000	0	139	0.01	49%	0.07	71.5	1.08%	0	0.8	68	0
5	Nov_14_2005	14.36	14.38	14.71	14.83			14.84(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	35	-10000	0	140	0.01	49%	0	68	1.08%	0	1.2	63	0

6	Nov_11_2005	14.36	14.33	14.65	14.81			14.91(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	38	-10000	3	143	0	49%	0	68.5	1.08%	0	1.5	65	0
7	Nov_10_2005	14.36	14.28	14.56	14.79			14.86(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	39	-10000	5	139	0.02	49%	0.07	68.5	1.08%	0	1.5	68	0
8	Nov_9_2005	14.35	14.22	14.46	14.75			14.71(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	39	-10000	8	132	0.01	49%	0	64.2	1.08%	0	1.3	70	0
9	Nov_8_2005	14.35	14.16	14.4	14.69			14.72(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	42	-10000	13	128	0.01	49%	0	61.7	1.08%	0	1.5	66	0
10	Nov_7_2005	14.35	14.12	14.35	14.59			14.85(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	47	-10000	17	135	0.04	49%	0.07	54.5	1.07%	0	2	74	0

11	Nov_4_2005	14.34	14.06	14.29	14.46			14.79(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	48	-10000	21	128	0.03	46%	0	49.1	1.08%	0	2.4	69	0
12	Nov_3_2005	14.34	14.01	14.21	14.3			14.66(1.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	42	-10000	22	103	0.05	46%	0.07	40.4	1.09%	0	2.4	66	0
13	Nov_2_2005	14.33	13.97	14.13	14.13			14.44(1.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	24	-10000	9	69	0.01	44%	0	30.6	1.08%	0	2.1	66	0
14	Nov_1_2005	14.33	13.94	14.08	14.06			14.22(0.07%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.8	16	-10000	-1	65	0	42%	0	27.9	1.06%	0	1.5	64	0
15	Oct_31_2005	14.33	13.92	14.03	14.07			14.21(1.57%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.8	15	-10000	-1	63	0	42%	-0.07	33.3	1.06%	0	1.6	58	0

16	Oct_28_2005	14.34	13.92	13.99	14.08			13.99(1.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	15	-10000	-3	67	0.01	41%	0	41	1.04%	0	0.5	55	0
17	Oct_27_2005	14.34	13.92	13.99	14.1			13.78(-2.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.9	16	-10000	-3	71	0	38%	-0.07	47.5	1.03%	0	-0.8	48	0
18	Oct_26_2005	14.35	13.91	13.97	14.12			14.09(-1.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	19	-10000	1	74	0.02	40%	0	51.2	1%	0	1	55	0
19	Oct_25_2005	14.35	13.89	13.92	14.11			14.28(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	1	32	-10000	19	72	0.02	41%	0	58.2	0.99%	0	2.3	63	0
20	Oct_24_2005	14.35	13.86	13.87	13.98			14.28(1.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	20	-10000	15	34	0.01	41%	0	44.4	0.99%	0	2.8	58	0

21	Oct_21_2005	14.35	13.84	13.82	13.88			14.08(1.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	5	-10000	7	-1	0.02	38%	0	31.6	0.97%	0	2.2	50	0
22	Oct_20_2005	14.35	13.83	13.82	13.83			13.89(-0.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	1	-10000	6	-13	0.01	35%	-0.07	7.5	0.96%	0	0.5	50	0
23	Oct_19_2005	14.36	13.81	13.8	13.79			14(2.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	4	-10000	11	-16	0	35%	0	-12.8	0.96%	0	1.5	58	0
24	Oct_18_2005	14.36	13.79	13.78	13.72			13.64(-0.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-14	-10000	-5	-39	0	30%	-0.07	-48.3	0.9%	0	-1.2	49	0
25	Oct_17_2005	14.37	13.8	13.81	13.75			13.77(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-8	-10000	-2	-25	0	31%		-55.2	0.9%	0	-0.3	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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