Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Sep. 23, 2014

Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 24, 2005 - Fri. Jan. 29, 2021)

(Pacific Ethanol, Inc.)
PEIX latest price $15.6300 (-0.13%) ($15.3300 - $16.1900) on Tue. Sep. 23, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.13% (three month average)
RSI   9
Latest Price   $15.6300(-0.13%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PEIX declines -3.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEIX declines -16.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(25%)    OIH(24%)    XLE(24%)    XLB(19%)    USO(18%)
Factors Impacting PEIX price   PEIX will decline at least -1.565% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    TLT(-12%)    LQD(-6%)    IGOV(-5%)    SHY(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.565% (StdDev 3.13%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $-6.76(-143.25%)
Resistance Level   $20.33
5 Day Moving Average   $16.14(-3.16%)
10 Day Moving Average   $18.06(-13.46%)
20 Day Moving Average   $20.33(-23.12%)
To recent high   -33.5%
To recent low   7.4%
Market Cap   $867m

Pacific Ethanol, Inc. engages in the production and marketing of carbon renewable fuel. It operates through the Ethanol Production, and Marketing and Distribution business segments. The Ethanol Production segment includes the production and sale of ethanol and co-products. The Marketing and Distribution segment comprises of the marketing and merchant trading of company-produced ethanol; and co-products and third-party ethanol. The company was founded by William L. Jones and Neil M. Koehler on January 30, 2003 and is headquartered in Sacramento, CA.

$. PEIX price fluctuates within 14.17% (three month std-dev: 3.13%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 3.57%(57%) Average negative next day return: -0.63%(43%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 5.74%(71%) Average negative next three day return: -1.38%(29%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 6.16%(71%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.57%(29%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141023

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_23_2014	16.77	20.33	18.06	16.14	16.2	15.86	15.63(-0.13%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-105	-140	-33	-321	1.38	48%	0.18	-46.2	3.13%	0	-1.6	9	0
2	Sep_22_2014	16.74	20.63	18.77	16.76	16.72	16.15	15.65(-2%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-98	-250	-32	-295	1.95	48%	0.12	-45.2	3.13%	0	-1.9	9	0
3	Sep_19_2014	16.72	20.94	19.52	17.3	17.38	16.54	15.97(-3.85%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-104	-320	-47	-274	3.65	48%	0.18	-44	3.14%	0	-2.1	13	0
4	Sep_18_2014	16.69	21.23	20.21	18.11	18.09	17.3	16.61(-1.31%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-102	-310	-56	-239	1.99	51%	0.06	-40.2	3.14%	0	-2.2	21	0
5	Sep_17_2014	16.68	21.49	20.86	19.05	19.09	18.23	16.83(-10.1%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-93	-310	-58	-196	3.08	51%	0.12	-30.4	3.16%	0	-2.6	21	0

6	Sep_16_2014	16.66	21.76	21.52	20.28	20.07	18.88	18.72(1.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-77	-450	-56	-138	1.95	59%	0.3	-8.2	2.9%	0	-2.2	38	0
7	Sep_15_2014	16.61	21.91	22.01	21.11	21.12	19.95	18.36(-8.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-67	-390	-62	-82	2.61	59%	0.24	16.3	2.9%	0	-2.9	38	0
8	Sep_12_2014	16.57	22.04	22.52	22.06	22.1	21.26	20.01(-6.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-36	-260	-44	-10	1.84	67%	0.24	55.1	2.68%	0	-2	46	0
9	Sep_11_2014	16.53	22.1	22.8	22.62	22.64	22.29	21.31(-7.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-9	-110	-26	43	4.77	75%	0.36	87.9	2.55%	0	-0.8	56	0
10	Sep_10_2014	16.47	22.05	22.94	22.92	22.9	22.94	23.01(0.66%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	20	10	-3	89	1.12	88%	0.43	95.7	2.34%	0	0.9	71	0

11	Sep_9_2014	16.4	21.88	22.79	22.95	22.94	22.99	22.86(-1.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	21	10	-3	91	0.77	88%	0.49	88.7	2.37%	0	0.9	67	0
12	Sep_8_2014	16.32	21.71	22.64	22.95	23.02	22.85	23.1(1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	23	-60	-3	101	1.12	88%	0.43	86.5	2.36%	0	1.1	73	0
13	Sep_5_2014	16.25	21.5	22.45	23.08	23.19	22.88	22.83(0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	25	-80	-4	112	0.91	88%	0.56	79.8	2.37%	0	1	78	0
14	Sep_4_2014	16.16	21.31	22.29	23.01	23.21	23.2	22.8(-1.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	28	20	-2	116	0.82	88%	0.5	78.7	2.37%	0	1.1	70	0
15	Sep_3_2014	16.08	21.11	22.16	22.94	23.07	23.49	23.15(-1.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	53	140	23	141	1.41	88%	0.56	76.1	2.35%	0	1.4	78	0

16	Sep_2_2014	15.99	20.91	21.99	22.6	22.76	23.21	23.52(1.77%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	67	160	38	153	1.99	88%	0.69	73	2.33%	0	1.9	85	0
17	Aug_29_2014	15.88	20.7	21.76	22.12	22.18	22.65	23.11(2.85%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	54	160	27	136	1.39	88%	0.57	75.1	2.42%	0	1.9	83	0
18	Aug_28_2014	15.79	20.5	21.48	21.73	21.77	22.32	22.47(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	53	180	27	132	1.29	87%	0.45	71.6	2.4%	0	1.5	84	0
19	Aug_27_2014	15.72	20.27	21.31	21.48	21.41	21.71	22.47(4.95%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	51	90	22	138	2.43	87%	0.51	67.3	2.4%	0	1.8	83	0
20	Aug_26_2014	15.64	20.08	21.07	21.27	21.16	21.22	21.41(1.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	34	0	1	132	0.73	86%	0.45	67.9	2.42%	0	1.2	80	0

21	Aug_25_2014	15.57	19.93	20.88	21.3	21.2	21.11	21.15(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	34	-40	-2	140	0.86	86%	0.45	67.9	2.44%	0	1	74	0
22	Aug_22_2014	15.5	19.78	20.72	21.33	21.2	21.1	21.16(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	38	-70	2	144	1.06	86%	0.32	68.1	2.48%	0	1.2	66	0
23	Aug_21_2014	15.45	19.62	20.49	21.18	21.31	21.29	21.19(-1.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	33	10	-0	133	1.05	86%	0.26	67.1	2.49%	0	1.3	69	0
24	Aug_20_2014	15.41	19.48	20.27	21.1	21.2	21.53	21.43(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	50	120	17	150	0.69	86%	0.26	72.3	2.49%	0	1.7	79	0
25	Aug_19_2014	15.37	19.33	20.01	20.83	20.96	21.33	21.59(1.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	58	140	31	138	1.03	86%		76.2	2.56%	0	2.2	68	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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