Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Sat. Aug. 16, 2014

Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 24, 2005 - Fri. Jan. 29, 2021)

(Pacific Ethanol, Inc.)
PEIX latest price $20.3800 (-2.07%) ($20.2200 - $21.2300) on Sat. Aug. 16, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.65% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $20.3800(-2.07%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PEIX advances 1.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEIX advances 4.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting PEIX price   PEIX will decline at least -1.325% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.325% (StdDev 2.65%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3%

5 Day Moving Average   $20.01(1.85%)
10 Day Moving Average   $19.56(4.19%)
20 Day Moving Average   $19(7.26%)
To recent high   -2.1%
To recent low   74.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Pacific Ethanol, Inc. engages in the production and marketing of carbon renewable fuel. It operates through the Ethanol Production, and Marketing and Distribution business segments. The Ethanol Production segment includes the production and sale of ethanol and co-products. The Marketing and Distribution segment comprises of the marketing and merchant trading of company-produced ethanol; and co-products and third-party ethanol. The company was founded by William L. Jones and Neil M. Koehler on January 30, 2003 and is headquartered in Sacramento, CA.

$. PEIX price fluctuates within 4.21% (three month std-dev: 2.65%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 10 Average positive next day return: 2.44%(40%) Average negative next day return: -2.13%(60%) Sample size 10 Average positive next three day return: 1.96%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -3.57%(60%) Sample size 10 Average positive next weekly return: 1.97%(30%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.82%(70%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140916

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_15_2014	15.25	19	19.56	20.01	20.1	20.6	20.38(-2.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	45	190	25	106	1.64	83%	0.39	84.6	2.65%	0	1.7	68	0
2	Aug_14_2014	15.19	18.87	19.42	19.7	19.75	20.13	20.81(3.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	48	140	30	102	1.5	83%	0.4	88.9	2.62%	0	2.5	71	0
3	Aug_13_2014	15.13	18.7	19.13	19.31	19.34	19.61	20.08(3.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	28	100	16	64	1.36	81%	0.33	102	2.71%	0	2.1	63	0
4	Aug_12_2014	15.08	18.57	18.99	19.06	19.16	19.38	19.38(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	19	100	9	49	0.74	78%	0.13	107.3	2.69%	0	1.2	57	0
5	Aug_11_2014	15.06	18.46	18.9	19	19.06	19.08	19.41(3.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	11	20	1	41	1.33	78%	0.13	110.3	2.8%	0	1.4	58	0

6	Aug_8_2014	15.04	18.34	18.76	19.04	19.08	18.95	18.81(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	6	-40	-6	40	0.47	75%	0.2	98.7	2.83%	0	0.5	58	0
7	Aug_7_2014	15.01	18.2	18.69	19.1	19.24	19.05	18.85(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	18	-50	6	53	0.81	75%	0.27	87	2.82%	0	0.6	61	0
8	Aug_6_2014	14.97	18.04	18.65	18.9	19.09	19.21	18.85(-1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	12	70	-0	46	0.99	75%	0.27	75.1	2.88%	0	0.7	63	0
9	Aug_5_2014	14.93	17.89	18.61	18.89	18.77	19.43	19.1(-2.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	230	13	57	0.99	75%	0.34	72.6	3.16%	0	1	65	0
10	Aug_4_2014	14.88	17.72	18.55	18.78	18.56	18.97	19.58(2.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	36	120	26	66	1.58	75%	0.4	70.9	3.35%	0	1.5	73	0

11	Aug_1_2014	14.82	17.53	18.4	18.45	18.25	18.11	19.14(7.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	19	-90	8	53	1.59	47%	0.41	71.2	3.34%	0	1.4	73	0
12	Jul_31_2014	14.76	17.35	18.26	18.23	18.11	18.15	17.84(-5.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	8	-0	-8	56	1.6	32%	0.34	69.2	3.26%	0	0.4	76	0
13	Jul_30_2014	14.71	17.24	18.24	18.34	18.11	18.38	18.81(1.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	25	50	6	83	1.58	40%	0.34	74.1	3.56%	0	1.3	89	0
14	Jul_29_2014	14.66	17.07	18.12	18.34	18.2	18.07	18.52(3.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	24	-60	-0	96	0.94	40%	0.27	75.4	3.63%	0	1.2	83	0
15	Jul_28_2014	14.62	16.91	17.99	18.29	18.29	18.03	17.96(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	23	-100	-6	109	0.99	40%	0.27	76.8	3.68%	0	0.9	82	0

16	Jul_25_2014	14.58	16.75	17.9	18.32	18.43	18.34	18.03(-2.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	31	-20	-1	126	0.81	40%	0.14	74.7	3.74%	0	1	79	0
17	Jul_24_2014	14.56	16.59	17.68	18.28	18.41	18.55	18.4(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	38	70	7	129	0.53	40%	0.21	73	3.83%	0	1.4	87	0
18	Jul_23_2014	14.53	16.39	17.41	18.12	18.19	18.52	18.56(0.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	40	140	11	126	0.88	40%	0.21	68.1	3.82%	0	1.7	89	0
19	Jul_22_2014	14.5	16.19	17.12	17.92	17.96	18.27	18.5(2.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	43	130	15	126	1.29	40%	0.28	67.1	3.82%	0	1.9	90	0
20	Jul_21_2014	14.46	16.02	16.84	17.65	17.7	17.86	18.13(1.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	37	70	11	115	1.64	40%	0.28	71.7	3.86%	0	1.9	88	0

21	Jul_18_2014	14.42	15.85	16.6	17.42	17.48	17.64	17.79(1.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	42	70	16	118	0.71	40%	0.21	76.9	3.86%	0	1.9	89	0
22	Jul_17_2014	14.39	15.69	16.37	17	17.21	17.54	17.6(0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	41	170	20	105	1.31	40%	0.63	74.6	3.89%	0	2	89	0
23	Jul_16_2014	14.3	15.56	16.15	16.58	16.68	17.33	17.59(2.69%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	40	290	22	94	0.85	40%	0.56	79.1	3.89%	0	2.5	89	0
24	Jul_15_2014	14.22	15.41	15.91	16.2	16.12	16.87	17.13(0.88%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	38	310	23	81	1.75	40%	0.57	85.3	3.89%	0	2.5	83	0
25	Jul_14_2014	14.14	15.26	15.72	15.91	15.75	16.04	16.98(8.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	30	100	18	65	2.56	40%		85.5	3.9%	0	2.9	71	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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