Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jun. 18, 2014

Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 24, 2005 - Fri. Jan. 29, 2021)

(Pacific Ethanol, Inc.)
PEIX latest price $15.2100 (3.26%) ($14.5400 - $15.2300) on Wed. Jun. 18, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.14% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $15.2100(3.26%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PEIX advances 2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEIX advances 3.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(25%)    OIH(24%)    XLE(24%)    XLB(19%)    IWM(18%)
Factors Impacting PEIX price   PEIX will decline at least -2.57% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    TLT(-11%)    LQD(-5%)    IGOV(-5%)    SHY(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.57% (StdDev 5.14%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $14.4(5.63%)
10 Day Moving Average   $14.14(7.57%)
20 Day Moving Average   $13.61(11.76%)
To recent high   -15%
To recent low   42.7%
Market Cap   $844m

Pacific Ethanol, Inc. engages in the production and marketing of carbon renewable fuel. It operates through the Ethanol Production, and Marketing and Distribution business segments. The Ethanol Production segment includes the production and sale of ethanol and co-products. The Marketing and Distribution segment comprises of the marketing and merchant trading of company-produced ethanol; and co-products and third-party ethanol. The company was founded by William L. Jones and Neil M. Koehler on January 30, 2003 and is headquartered in Sacramento, CA.

$. PEIX price fluctuates within 5.51% (three month std-dev: 5.14%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 1.86%(38%) Average negative next day return: -0.67%(63%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 3.82%(63%) Average negative next three day return: -2.66%(38%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 3.95%(63%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.45%(38%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140718

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_18_2014	12.78	13.61	14.14	14.4	14.33	14.7	15.21(3.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	23	170	14	51	1.29	75%	0.63	97.8	5.14%	0	2.1	70	0
2	Jun_17_2014	12.7	13.44	13.95	14.12	14.05	14.27	14.73(3.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	16	90	9	37	1.19	75%	0.71	89.1	5.15%	0	1.7	69	0
3	Jun_16_2014	12.61	13.31	13.81	13.94	14.05	13.96	14.26(2.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	8	30	2	27	0.76	75%	0.56	92.2	5.15%	0	1.3	67	0
4	Jun_13_2014	12.54	13.19	13.72	13.92	13.86	13.83	13.95(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	9	-30	1	33	0.42	75%	0.48	94.1	5.17%	0	1	73	0
5	Jun_12_2014	12.48	13.05	13.63	13.9	13.86	13.77	13.84(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	11	-70	1	41	0.62	75%	0.48	83.8	5.18%	0	0.9	77	0

6	Jun_11_2014	12.42	12.91	13.61	13.83	13.9	13.9	13.84(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	14	20	2	51	0.71	75%	0.49	76	5.19%	0	1	73	0
7	Jun_10_2014	12.36	12.8	13.57	13.74	13.82	14.04	13.82(-2.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	19	130	5	61	0.81	75%	0.08	74.7	5.31%	0	1.1	76	0
8	Jun_9_2014	12.35	12.68	13.51	13.65	13.63	13.89	14.14(2.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	23	130	8	68	0.97	75%	0.57	66.2	5.3%	0	1.5	70	0
9	Jun_6_2014	12.28	12.51	13.35	13.5	13.45	13.6	13.84(2.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	23	70	8	69	0.5	75%	0.57	45.5	5.34%	0	1.4	73	0
10	Jun_5_2014	12.21	12.36	13.17	13.34	13.29	13.37	13.5(0.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	17	30	0	67	0.57	75%	0.58	28	5.33%	0	1.2	76	0

11	Jun_4_2014	12.14	12.23	13.04	13.36	13.26	13.3	13.4(0.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	20	-0	-0	81	0.81	75%	0.58	6.9	5.34%	0	1.2	76	0
12	Jun_3_2014	12.07	12.13	12.89	13.37	13.26	13.3	13.39(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	23	-70	1	87	0.59	79%	0.67	-8.7	5.35%	0	1.3	66	0
13	Jun_2_2014	11.99	12.13	12.78	13.33	13.35	13.22	13.36(2.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	25	-60	2	94	0.91	79%	0.59	-16.7	5.49%	0	1.4	67	0
14	May_30_2014	11.92	12.08	12.61	13.16	13.33	13.22	13.03(-4.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	30	120	7	98	0.96	79%	0.68	-25.3	5.53%	0	1	71	0
15	May_29_2014	11.84	12.1	12.43	12.96	13.08	13.48	13.64(1.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	33	240	13	93	0.72	79%	0.68	-38.5	5.54%	0	1.6	72	0

16	May_28_2014	11.76	12.17	12.16	12.66	12.69	13.18	13.41(1.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	33	280	16	82	0.77	79%	0.68	-38.4	5.58%	0	1	71	0
17	May_27_2014	11.68	12.21	11.97	12.34	12.38	12.67	13.22(5.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	25	170	11	66	1.09	90%	1.3	-45.1	5.68%	0	0.8	64	0
18	May_23_2014	11.53	12.23	11.78	12.16	12.12	12.2	12.52(4.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	10	40	4	27	0.95	86%	0.7	-48.8	9.9%	0	0.2	49	0
19	May_22_2014	11.45	12.32	11.59	11.99	12.03	12.08	12(-1.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	5	40	4	7	0.71	86%	0	-47.3	9.97%	0	-0.2	38	0
20	May_21_2014	11.45	12.49	11.49	11.8	11.82	12.04	12.16(3.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	1	140	5	-10	0.85	86%	0.7	-44.8	10.05%	0	-0.2	39	0

21	May_20_2014	11.37	12.65	11.36	11.57	11.52	11.97	11.8(-4.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-7	260	3	-38	0.99	87%	0.62	-42.9	10.06%	0	-0.5	29	0
22	May_19_2014	11.3	12.83	11.36	11.52	11.31	11.6	12.32(5.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-9	120	6	-53	1.61	87%	0.62	-40.7	10.07%	0	-0.3	37	0
23	May_16_2014	11.23	12.95	11.31	11.35	11.21	11.08	11.65(5.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-13	-120	4	-65	1.02	87%	0	-41.1	9.99%	0	-0.7	39	0
24	May_15_2014	11.23	13.11	11.49	11.15	11.18	11.03	11.07(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-19	-90	-1	-74	0.93	87%	0	-44	10.05%	0	-1.1	32	0
25	May_14_2014	11.23	13.29	11.73	11.13	11.14	11.35	10.99(-5.18%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-19	130	1	-80	1.27	87%		-47.3	10.13%	0	-1.3	28	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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