Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Apr. 12, 2012

Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 24, 2005 - Fri. Jan. 29, 2021)

(Pacific Ethanol, Inc.)
PEIX latest price $15.3000 (0%) ($15.1500 - $15.6000) on Thu. Apr. 12, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.09% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $15.3000(0%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PEIX declines -1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEIX declines -2.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GLD(9%)    SHY(5%)    USO(5%)    FXI(4%)    EEM(3%)
Factors Impacting PEIX price   PEIX will decline at least -3.045% in a week (0% probabilities).
EWJ(-4%)    XLK(-1%)    TLT(-1%)    QQQ(-1%)    IGOV(-1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.045% (StdDev 6.09%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $7.16(-53.2%)
Resistance Level   $16.29
5 Day Moving Average   $15.47(-1.1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $15.88(-3.65%)
20 Day Moving Average   $16.29(-6.08%)
To recent high   -36.6%
To recent low   6.8%
Market Cap   $849m

Pacific Ethanol, Inc. engages in the production and marketing of carbon renewable fuel. It operates through the Ethanol Production, and Marketing and Distribution business segments. The Ethanol Production segment includes the production and sale of ethanol and co-products. The Marketing and Distribution segment comprises of the marketing and merchant trading of company-produced ethanol; and co-products and third-party ethanol. The company was founded by William L. Jones and Neil M. Koehler on January 30, 2003 and is headquartered in Sacramento, CA.

$. PEIX price fluctuates within 4.48% (three month std-dev: 6.09%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.81%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: 0%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0.32%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120512

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_12_2012	16.75	16.29	15.88	15.47	15.36	15.24	15.3(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-10	-80	-3	-29	0.07	63%	-0.18	-40.6	6.09%	0	-1.4	42	0
2	Apr_11_2012	16.78	16.36	15.96	15.62	15.55	15.08	15.3(6.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-14	-230	-9	-30	0.12	63%	-0.18	-34.1	6.17%	0	-1.5	39	0
3	Apr_10_2012	16.81	16.45	16.05	15.86	15.8	15.48	14.33(-10.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-18	-150	-14	-29	0.31	60%	-0.18	-17.7	6.11%	0	-3.2	28	0
4	Apr_9_2012	16.84	16.61	16.3	16.23	16.2	16.01	16.05(-1.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-7	-90	-3	-18	0.07	68%	-0.47	5.8	5.95%	0	-1.2	33	0
5	Apr_5_2012	16.92	16.6	16.32	16.32	16.29	16.13	16.35(1.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-8	-70	-3	-22	0.11	68%	-0.24	-0.3	5.98%	0	-0.5	35	0

6	Apr_4_2012	16.96	16.59	16.33	16.32	16.37	16.39	16.05(-2.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-7	10	-1	-24	0.12	68%	-0.24	-15.2	5.98%	0	-1.1	39	0
7	Apr_3_2012	17	16.61	16.41	16.35	16.45	16.46	16.5(1.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-3	20	3	-22	0.13	68%	0.06	-33.9	5.97%	0	-0.2	49	0
8	Apr_2_2012	16.99	16.57	16.44	16.29	16.35	16.35	16.2(-1.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-9	10	-3	-27	0.11	68%	0.18	-60.7	5.99%	0	-0.7	42	0
9	Mar_30_2012	16.96	16.58	16.57	16.38	16.41	16.44	16.5(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-4	20	2	-21	0.11	68%	0.41	-118.8	6.04%	0	-0.2	42	0
10	Mar_29_2012	16.89	16.61	16.67	16.38	16.43	16.35	16.5(2.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-4	-10	0	-15	0.09	68%	0.36	-137.2	6.1%	0	-0.2	58	0

11	Mar_28_2012	16.83	16.67	16.73	16.32	16.38	16.37	16.05(-0.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-7	10	-5	-12	0.11	77%	0.36	-107.7	6.1%	0	-0.9	53	0
12	Mar_27_2012	16.77	16.78	16.8	16.47	16.46	16.52	16.2(-2.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-2	20	-2	-3	0.14	77%	0.48	-85.9	7.21%	0	-0.8	53	0
13	Mar_26_2012	16.69	16.88	16.88	16.62	16.53	16.39	16.65(2.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-2	-80	-4	6	0.17	77%	0.36	-31.3	7.21%	0	-0.1	62	0
14	Mar_23_2012	16.63	17.22	16.94	16.8	16.73	16.4	16.2(-1.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-3	-150	-8	14	0.12	77%	0.36	-8.5	7.27%	0	-0.5	51	0
15	Mar_22_2012	16.57	17.44	16.93	17.07	17.12	16.68	16.5(-1.79%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	1	-170	-5	18	0.15	77%	0.55	6.9	7.26%	0	-0.5	46	0

16	Mar_21_2012	16.48	17.44	16.89	17.19	17.35	17.06	16.8(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	1	-90	-3	14	0.15	77%	0.67	10.3	7.31%	0	-0.3	42	0
17	Mar_20_2012	16.37	17.45	16.84	17.19	17.37	17.57	16.95(-3.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	1	120	0	5	0.14	77%	0.61	10.8	7.31%	0	-0.3	39	0
18	Mar_19_2012	16.27	17.44	16.72	17.16	17.23	17.64	17.55(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	3	180	5	-5	0.26	77%	0.74	8.3	7.36%	0	0.1	44	0
19	Mar_16_2012	16.15	17.38	16.59	17.1	17.03	17.18	17.55(2.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-3	50	9	-37	0.35	77%	0.81	5.7	7.42%	0	0.1	26	0
20	Mar_15_2012	16.02	17.31	16.53	16.77	16.84	16.81	17.1(2.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-13	0	4	-63	0.15	65%	0.75	-2.9	7.46%	0	-0.1	40	0

21	Mar_14_2012	15.9	17.31	16.58	16.56	16.62	16.81	16.65(-1.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-14	120	2	-60	0.1	65%	0.06	-8.4	7.88%	0	-0.3	56	0
22	Mar_13_2012	15.89	17.26	16.74	16.47	16.48	16.88	16.95(-1.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-7	170	9	-54	0.15	65%	0.76	-9.4	7.94%	0	-0.2	55	0
23	Mar_12_2012	15.77	17.28	16.86	16.2	16.22	16.35	17.25(8.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-10	60	5	-56	0.35	65%	0.13	-11.2	7.97%	0	-0	57	0
24	Mar_9_2012	15.75	17.27	17.48	16.02	15.98	16.35	15.9(-0.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-12	40	-4	-36	0.12	63%	0	-12.1	7.9%	0	-0.7	54	0
25	Mar_8_2012	15.75	17.37	17.96	16.26	16.16	16.09	16.05(-0.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-8	-50	-6	-14	0.17	63%		-6	7.94%	0	-0.7	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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