Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Mar. 15, 2012

Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 24, 2005 - Fri. Jan. 29, 2021)

(Pacific Ethanol, Inc.)
PEIX latest price $17.1000 (2.7%) ($16.5000 - $17.1000) on Thu. Mar. 15, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   7.46% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $17.1000(2.7%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PEIX advances 1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEIX declines -8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GLD(9%)    FXI(5%)    SHY(5%)    USO(5%)    EEM(3%)
Factors Impacting PEIX price   PEIX will decline at least -3.73% in a week (0% probabilities).
EWJ(-4%)    XLK(-1%)    TLT(-1%)    QQQ(-1%)    IGOV(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.73% (StdDev 7.46%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

Resistance Level   $17.31
5 Day Moving Average   $16.77(1.97%)
10 Day Moving Average   $16.53(3.45%)
20 Day Moving Average   $17.31(-1.21%)
To recent high   -29.2%
To recent low   34.8%
Market Cap   $949m

Pacific Ethanol, Inc. engages in the production and marketing of carbon renewable fuel. It operates through the Ethanol Production, and Marketing and Distribution business segments. The Ethanol Production segment includes the production and sale of ethanol and co-products. The Marketing and Distribution segment comprises of the marketing and merchant trading of company-produced ethanol; and co-products and third-party ethanol. The company was founded by William L. Jones and Neil M. Koehler on January 30, 2003 and is headquartered in Sacramento, CA.

$. PEIX price fluctuates within 11.21% (three month std-dev: 7.46%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120415

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_15_2012	16.02	17.31	16.53	16.77	16.84	16.81	17.1(2.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-13	0	4	-63	0.15	65%	0.75	-2.9	7.46%	0	-0.1	40	0
2	Mar_14_2012	15.9	17.31	16.58	16.56	16.62	16.81	16.65(-1.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-14	120	2	-60	0.1	65%	0.06	-8.4	7.88%	0	-0.3	56	0
3	Mar_13_2012	15.89	17.26	16.74	16.47	16.48	16.88	16.95(-1.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-7	170	9	-54	0.15	65%	0.76	-9.4	7.94%	0	-0.2	55	0
4	Mar_12_2012	15.77	17.28	16.86	16.2	16.22	16.35	17.25(8.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-10	60	5	-56	0.35	65%	0.13	-11.2	7.97%	0	-0	57	0
5	Mar_9_2012	15.75	17.27	17.48	16.02	15.98	16.35	15.9(-0.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-12	40	-4	-36	0.12	63%	0	-12.1	7.9%	0	-0.7	54	0

6	Mar_8_2012	15.75	17.37	17.96	16.26	16.16	16.09	16.05(-0.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-8	-50	-6	-14	0.17	63%	0.06	-6	7.94%	0	-0.7	56	0
7	Mar_7_2012	15.74	17.42	18.03	16.62	16.57	15.86	16.2(3.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-10	-310	-11	-5	0.23	63%	0	0.5	7.94%	0	-0.6	57	0
8	Mar_6_2012	15.74	17.44	18.13	17.07	17.13	16.24	15.6(-4.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-12	-350	-17	4	0.37	63%	0	8.8	7.94%	0	-1	53	0
9	Mar_5_2012	15.74	17.5	18.26	17.61	17.9	17.27	16.35(-4.39%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.7	-18	-200	-27	10	0.4	63%	0.06	18.7	7.93%	0	-0.6	52	0
10	Mar_2_2012	15.73	17.52	18.3	19.17	18.37	18.02	17.1(-4.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-1	-260	-18	51	0.4	66%	0.06	44.6	7.98%	0	-0.2	55	0

11	Mar_1_2012	15.72	17.49	18.23	19.92	19.71	18.53	17.85(-3.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.1	20	-450	2	73	0.59	72%	0.19	57.1	8.07%	0	0.2	55	0
12	Feb_29_2012	15.69	17.41	18.05	19.62	19.93	18.71	18.45(0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	8	-380	-7	53	0.87	72%	0.19	48.6	8.83%	0	0.5	59	0
13	Feb_28_2012	15.66	17.27	17.86	19.29	19.39	20.89	18.3(-24.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	16	560	4	51	1.39	72%	0.19	36.6	8.89%	0	0.5	60	0
14	Feb_27_2012	15.63	17.16	17.77	18.92	18.95	21.15	24.15(15.83%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.7	52	820	47	67	2.39	85%	0.64	24.6	8.32%	0	3.6	76	0
15	Feb_24_2012	15.53	16.71	16.99	17.36	17.33	17.89	20.85(27.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	3.2	24	220	24	24	1.89	83%	0.39	-3.2	8.1%	0	3.8	71	0

16	Feb_23_2012	15.47	16.46	16.62	16.4	16.62	16.74	16.35(-2.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	1	90	2	-3	0.14	78%	0.13	-64.9	7.39%	0	-0.2	52	0
17	Feb_22_2012	15.45	16.53	16.68	16.28	16.47	16.77	16.8(2.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	2	160	4	-3	0.17	78%	0.06	-59	7.38%	0	0.4	55	0
18	Feb_21_2012	15.44	16.59	16.64	16.22	16.26	16.5	16.43(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-2	110	-1	-3	0.2	78%	0.06	-44.4	7.43%	0	-0.2	60	0
19	Feb_17_2012	15.43	16.69	16.65	16.41	16.33	16.17	16.35(1.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-1	-80	-3	4	0.26	78%	0.13	-27.1	7.56%	0	-0.4	56	0
20	Feb_16_2012	15.41	16.74	16.66	16.56	16.61	16.03	16.05(1.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-6	-240	-10	7	0.28	78%	0	-20.4	7.56%	0	-0.8	54	0

21	Feb_15_2012	15.41	16.8	16.7	16.89	17.02	16.5	15.75(-4.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-3	-190	-10	17	0.37	84%	0.06	-2.5	7.57%	0	-1.3	47	0
22	Feb_14_2012	15.4	16.89	16.77	17.13	17.52	17.19	16.5(-5.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	4	-60	-1	18	0.6	86%	0.06	16.2	8.54%	0	-0.5	39	0
23	Feb_13_2012	15.39	16.91	16.7	17.1	17.43	17.53	17.4(1.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	4	100	2	8	0.22	86%	0.2	22.6	8.73%	0	0.6	41	0
24	Feb_10_2012	15.36	16.92	16.55	16.92	17.15	17.85	17.1(-3.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	4	330	6	-4	0.48	88%	0.13	28.5	9.23%	0	0.2	36	0
25	Feb_9_2012	15.34	16.91	16.43	16.77	16.84	17.33	17.7(4.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	5	220	10	-11	1.3	88%		26.2	9.22%	0	1	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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