Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jan. 18, 2012

Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 24, 2005 - Fri. Jan. 29, 2021)

(Pacific Ethanol, Inc.)
PEIX latest price $17.4000 (2.65%) ($16.6500 - $17.4000) on Wed. Jan. 18, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   10.93% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $17.4000(2.65%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PEIX advances 2.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEIX advances 3.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GLD(7%)    USO(5%)    FXI(4%)    SHY(4%)    EEM(3%)
Factors Impacting PEIX price   PEIX will decline at least -5.465% in a week (0% probabilities).
EWJ(-5%)    IGOV(-3%)    XLK(-1%)    TLT(-1%)    QQQ(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -5.465% (StdDev 10.93%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $16.98(2.47%)
10 Day Moving Average   $16.48(5.58%)
20 Day Moving Average   $15.6(11.54%)
To recent high   -22.1%
To recent low   243.9%
Market Cap   $965m

Pacific Ethanol, Inc. engages in the production and marketing of carbon renewable fuel. It operates through the Ethanol Production, and Marketing and Distribution business segments. The Ethanol Production segment includes the production and sale of ethanol and co-products. The Marketing and Distribution segment comprises of the marketing and merchant trading of company-produced ethanol; and co-products and third-party ethanol. The company was founded by William L. Jones and Neil M. Koehler on January 30, 2003 and is headquartered in Sacramento, CA.

$. PEIX price fluctuates within 10.13% (three month std-dev: 10.93%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 2.38%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 4.34%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 8.74%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120218

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_18_2012	13.4	15.6	16.48	16.98	17.13	17.33	17.4(2.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	8	110	4	19	0.17	87%	1.13	26.9	10.93%	0	1.1	73	0
2	Jan_17_2012	13.25	15.41	16.4	16.62	16.77	17.46	16.95(-3.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	320	7	26	0.36	87%	1.84	7.5	10.94%	0	1	74	0
3	Jan_13_2012	13.01	15.21	16.29	16.35	16.32	16.93	17.55(2.63%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	16	260	10	33	0.61	87%	1.4	-14.8	10.92%	0	1.4	76	0
4	Jan_12_2012	12.83	15.11	16.22	15.93	15.91	16.09	17.1(7.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	11	80	3	34	0.38	87%	1.34	-29.9	10.93%	0	1.2	68	0
5	Jan_11_2012	12.66	15.09	16.21	15.84	15.9	15.71	15.9(1.92%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	9	-70	-2	43	0.2	87%	1.2	-39.9	10.91%	0	0.5	64	0

6	Jan_10_2012	12.51	15.18	15.98	15.93	16.18	15.73	15.6(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	8	-150	-5	47	0.14	87%	1.21	-43.2	10.91%	0	0.3	68	0
7	Jan_9_2012	12.36	15.29	15.73	16.14	16.36	16.09	15.6(0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	10	-70	-4	51	0.19	87%	1.15	-46.9	10.91%	0	0.2	61	0
8	Jan_6_2012	12.22	15.46	15.47	16.2	16.58	16.09	15.45(-7.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	11	90	-4	54	0.28	87%	1.24	-45.6	10.91%	0	-0	64	0
9	Jan_5_2012	12.07	15.62	15.31	16.53	16.52	16.63	16.65(1.83%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	14	40	-1	57	0.42	87%	1.26	-31.5	10.85%	0	0.5	54	0
10	Jan_4_2012	11.92	15.76	15.02	16.65	16.67	16.54	16.35(-1.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	19	-50	8	52	0.1	87%	1.27	-23.7	10.86%	0	0.3	49	0

11	Jan_3_2012	11.77	15.94	14.66	16.02	16.45	16.41	16.65(4.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	60	10	20	0.21	87%	1.9	-25.4	10.84%	0	0.3	47	0
12	Dec_30_2011	11.55	16.19	14.35	15.23	15.59	16.8	15.9(-7.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	6	610	12	-11	0.23	87%	1.05	-23.5	10.9%	0	-0.1	45	0
13	Dec_29_2011	11.43	16.39	14.04	14.6	14.78	16.49	17.1(-0.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	6	850	22	-41	1.1	87%	1.15	-25.3	10.84%	0	0.2	44	0
14	Dec_28_2011	11.3	16.32	13.87	13.91	13.67	14.39	17.25(30.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-4	320	17	-65	0.59	87%	1.07	-34.6	10.85%	0	0.3	46	0
15	Dec_27_2011	11.18	16.31	13.79	13.22	13.26	13.08	13.2(4.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-24	-90	1	-97	0.14	85%	0.63	-40.3	10.29%	0	-1	25	0

16	Dec_23_2011	11.11	16.59	14.25	13.13	13.43	12.95	12.69(-0.55%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-31	-180	-6	-107	0.09	85%	0.45	-43.5	10.22%	0	-1.3	21	0
17	Dec_22_2011	11.06	16.91	14.78	13.34	13.54	13.44	12.76(-6.52%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-30	-10	-3	-111	0.2	85%	0.18	-46.2	10.26%	0	-1.4	19	0
18	Dec_21_2011	11.04	17.2	15.42	13.35	13.54	13.91	13.65(-1.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-32	190	-5	-113	0.09	85%	0.27	-53.1	10.2%	0	-1.3	31	0
19	Dec_20_2011	11.01	17.45	15.95	13.8	13.68	13.63	13.8(8.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-33	-50	-10	-100	0.25	85%	0.09	-54.4	10.22%	0	-1.4	50	0
20	Dec_19_2011	11	17.65	16.55	14.49	14.3	13.45	12.75(-7.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-35	-460	-18	-85	0.21	85%	0	-48.1	10.21%	0	-2	43	0

21	Dec_16_2011	11	17.99	17.34	15.57	15.42	13.72	13.72(6.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-32	-800	-21	-63	0.39	82%	-0.27	-31.4	10.38%	0	-1.9	42	0
22	Dec_15_2011	11.03	18.36	18.2	16.46	16.54	15.14	12.83(-19.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-31	-580	-27	-42	0.82	82%	-0.27	-0.2	10.45%	0	-2.7	39	0
23	Dec_14_2011	11.06	18.78	18.99	17.76	17.64	17.12	15.9(-7.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-12	-230	-13	-9	0.27	88%	0.18	52.9	10.1%	0	-1.7	48	0
24	Dec_13_2011	11.04	18.99	19.05	18.39	18.36	17.94	17.25(-4.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-7	-170	-8	-4	0.33	88%	0.27	104	10.03%	0	-1.1	50	0
25	Dec_12_2011	11.01	18.92	19.09	18.93	18.71	18.17	18.15(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-6	-240	-9	5	0.14	88%		123.8	10%	0	-0.5	57	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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