Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Nov. 7, 2011

Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 24, 2005 - Fri. Jan. 29, 2021)

(Pacific Ethanol, Inc.)
PEIX latest price $9.2100 (-11.01%) ($9.0700 - $11.2500) on Mon. Nov. 7, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   8.47% (three month average)
RSI   77
Latest Price   $9.2100(-11.01%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PEIX advances 5.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEIX advances 41.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GLD(7%)    FXI(6%)    USO(6%)    XAR(6%)    EEM(4%)
Factors Impacting PEIX price   PEIX will decline at least -4.235% in a week (0% probabilities).
IGOV(-5%)    EWJ(-5%)    TLT(-2%)    TIP(-1%)    LQD(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility

Market Trend Strength   -4.235% (StdDev 8.47%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -14.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $8.87(3.83%)
10 Day Moving Average   $7.41(24.29%)
20 Day Moving Average   $6.09(51.23%)
To recent high   -13.3%
To recent low   82%
Market Cap   $511m

Pacific Ethanol, Inc. engages in the production and marketing of carbon renewable fuel. It operates through the Ethanol Production, and Marketing and Distribution business segments. The Ethanol Production segment includes the production and sale of ethanol and co-products. The Marketing and Distribution segment comprises of the marketing and merchant trading of company-produced ethanol; and co-products and third-party ethanol. The company was founded by William L. Jones and Neil M. Koehler on January 30, 2003 and is headquartered in Sacramento, CA.

$. PEIX price fluctuates within 31.53% (three month std-dev: 8.47%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 2.38%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 19.84%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 13.49%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20111207

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_7_2011	10.99	6.09	7.41	8.87	9.45	10.33	9.21(-11.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	88	850	17	300	0.91	57%	-1.61	78	8.47%	0	1.6	77	0
2	Nov_4_2011	11.17	5.85	6.99	8.41	8.54	10.13	10.35(-2.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	104	1350	38	302	1.13	57%	-1.06	76.1	8.35%	0	2.5	83	0
3	Nov_3_2011	11.29	5.53	6.41	7.6	7.64	8.57	10.62(34.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2	101	870	49	256	1.73	57%	-1.31	71.8	8.47%	0	3.4	85	0
4	Nov_2_2011	11.44	5.19	5.77	6.59	6.75	6.95	7.89(25.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	69	280	29	190	0.9	47%	-1.72	75.7	7.34%	0	2.9	72	0
5	Nov_1_2011	11.64	5	5.41	6.03	6.35	6.72	6.3(-8.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	51	570	20	145	0.45	40%	-1.85	71.5	6.72%	0	1.8	68	0

6	Oct_31_2011	11.86	4.89	5.24	5.71	5.99	6.54	6.9(9.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	50	790	27	118	1.17	42%	-1.41	57.9	6.65%	0	3	74	0
7	Oct_28_2011	12.03	4.74	5	5.34	5.48	5.99	6.29(13.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	36	730	22	76	0.72	37%	-1.88	50.1	6.96%	0	3.2	71	0
8	Oct_27_2011	12.26	4.63	4.81	5.04	5.21	5.44	5.55(8.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	25	410	17	47	1.4	33%	-1.92	40.7	6.87%	0	2.7	69	0
9	Oct_26_2011	12.5	4.57	4.74	4.83	4.91	4.96	5.1(8.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	15	120	8	34	0.37	29%	-3.99	30.1	6.76%	0	2	66	0
10	Oct_24_2011	13.02	4.53	4.68	4.69	4.74	4.85	5.06(5.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	15	190	8	36	0.21	26%	-36.33	30.8	6.61%	0	2.2	72	0

11	Sep_16_2011	20.45	5.92	5.87	5.48	4.74	5.66	5.18(-9.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-27	110	-7	-88	0.12	31%	-2.15	-15.6	6.81%	0	-1.1	37	0
12	Sep_15_2011	20.9	5.93	6	5.6	5.64	5.75	5.7(2.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-17	160	-1	-63	0.06	32%	-2.06	-24.3	6.88%	0	-0.3	60	0
13	Sep_14_2011	21.34	5.92	6.12	5.64	5.61	5.62	5.58(2.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-18	-0	-9	-43	0.12	32%	-2.07	-36.1	6.86%	0	-0.5	61	0
14	Sep_13_2011	21.79	5.93	6.26	5.81	5.77	5.53	5.43(-1.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-11	-310	-12	-8	0.07	35%	-2.02	-47.5	6.86%	0	-0.7	61	0
15	Sep_12_2011	22.24	5.97	6.4	6.02	6.05	5.61	5.53(-4.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-7	-490	-18	26	0.08	35%	-0.76	-59.8	7.04%	0	-0.6	61	0

16	Sep_9_2011	22.41	6.03	6.5	6.32	6.35	6.01	5.77(-2.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	9	-360	-11	68	0.1	34%	-1.97	-64.2	7.16%	0	-0.4	60	0
17	Sep_8_2011	22.86	6.1	6.47	6.46	6.68	6.49	5.89(-8.68%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	12	-100	-11	82	0.21	32%	-1.93	-66.8	7.16%	0	-0.3	62	0
18	Sep_7_2011	23.31	6.18	6.41	6.67	6.77	6.69	6.45(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	21	-40	-6	103	0.15	31%	-1.94	-71.3	7.17%	0	0.3	66	0
19	Sep_6_2011	23.77	6.27	6.28	6.77	6.84	6.87	6.45(-8.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	25	60	-2	106	0.11	30%	-3.3	-69.1	7.37%	0	0.2	60	0
20	Sep_2_2011	24.58	6.41	6.16	6.83	6.87	6.85	7.05(9.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	-0	5	104	0.4	30%	-1.88	-59.7	7.34%	0	0.5	59	0

21	Sep_1_2011	25.05	6.51	5.98	6.71	6.9	6.81	6.44(-7.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	27	-10	10	79	0.1	27%	-1.8	-63.8	7.2%	0	-0	46	0
22	Aug_31_2011	25.51	6.65	5.86	6.47	6.71	6.9	6.97(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	310	18	34	0.09	28%	-1.62	-70.4	7.18%	0	0.2	44	0
23	Aug_30_2011	25.93	6.82	5.69	6.1	6.32	7	6.96(3.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	12	860	23	-23	0.17	28%	-1.82	-70.8	7.18%	0	0.1	42	0
24	Aug_29_2011	26.41	7.02	5.55	5.72	5.93	6.52	6.75(5.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-2	810	25	-83	0.54	28%	-1.82	-67.6	7.2%	0	-0.1	33	0
25	Aug_26_2011	26.9	7.3	5.47	5.39	5.46	5.64	6.42(22.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-25	270	15	-144	0.31	28%		-66	7.19%	0	-0.3	26	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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