Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Aug. 3, 2011

Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 24, 2005 - Fri. Jan. 29, 2021)

(Pacific Ethanol, Inc.)
PEIX latest price $10.8400 (-6.15%) ($9.1700 - $11.7800) on Wed. Aug. 3, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.97% (three month average)
RSI   34
Latest Price   $10.8400(-6.15%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PEIX declines -5.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEIX declines -7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(3%)    EWI(2%)    IGOV(1%)    JNK(1%)    EWP(-0%)
Factors Impacting PEIX price   PEIX will decline at least -3.485% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-8%)    TLT(-4%)    LQD(-4%)    GLD(-4%)    XOP(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.485% (StdDev 6.97%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -7.4%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $-5.67(-152.31%)
Resistance Level   $14.44
5 Day Moving Average   $12.86(-15.71%)
10 Day Moving Average   $13.71(-20.93%)
20 Day Moving Average   $14.44(-24.93%)
To recent high   -78.3%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $601m

Pacific Ethanol, Inc. engages in the production and marketing of carbon renewable fuel. It operates through the Ethanol Production, and Marketing and Distribution business segments. The Ethanol Production segment includes the production and sale of ethanol and co-products. The Marketing and Distribution segment comprises of the marketing and merchant trading of company-produced ethanol; and co-products and third-party ethanol. The company was founded by William L. Jones and Neil M. Koehler on January 30, 2003 and is headquartered in Sacramento, CA.

$. PEIX price fluctuates within 10.25% (three month std-dev: 6.97%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 9.61%(50%) Average negative next day return: -3.89%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 31.55%(25%) Average negative next three day return: -3.68%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 5.45%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.18%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110903

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_3_2011	37.38	14.44	13.71	12.86	12.5	11.59	10.84(-6.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-41	-590	-30	-72	0.08	33%	-1.55	-64.4	6.97%	0	-2.4	34	0
2	Aug_2_2011	37.97	14.75	14.17	13.64	13.71	12.71	11.55(-10.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-27	-500	-21	-44	0.05	32%	-1.58	-67.7	6.96%	0	-2.4	33	0
3	Aug_1_2011	38.58	15.04	14.53	14.27	14.36	13.42	12.9(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-20	-440	-19	-24	0.06	33%	-1.56	-81	6.92%	0	-1.9	38	0
4	Jul_29_2011	39.19	15.23	14.72	14.64	14.82	14.7	12.83(-20.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-14	-20	-13	-17	0.19	33%	-1.56	-98.4	6.96%	0	-2.4	33	0
5	Jul_28_2011	39.81	15.41	14.94	15.02	15.19	15.31	16.2(10.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	8	90	10	0	0.15	36%	-1.48	-131.5	6.54%	0	0.9	54	0

6	Jul_27_2011	40.41	15.46	14.74	14.72	14.95	14.94	14.7(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-10	40	-3	-29	0.07	33%	-1.56	-143.2	6.39%	0	-0.8	33	0
7	Jul_26_2011	41.05	15.7	14.77	14.81	14.92	15.06	14.7(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-10	90	-1	-36	0.06	33%	-1.49	-115.2	6.38%	0	-0.8	31	0
8	Jul_25_2011	41.67	15.98	14.81	14.86	14.98	14.96	14.78(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-9	10	3	-44	0.18	33%	-1.4	-98.8	6.39%	0	-0.7	30	0
9	Jul_22_2011	42.26	16.3	14.93	14.82	14.9	14.78	14.7(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-15	-40	-3	-51	0.03	33%	-1.51	-85	6.39%	0	-0.8	35	0
10	Jul_21_2011	42.91	16.64	15.01	14.85	14.97	15	14.7(-2.97%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-12	40	2	-52	0.05	33%	-1.4	-71.2	6.44%	0	-0.8	40	0

11	Jul_20_2011	43.52	17	15.19	14.76	14.89	15.03	15.15(1.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-14	90	2	-60	0.02	32%	-1.25	-65.7	6.44%	0	-0.7	35	0
12	Jul_19_2011	44.07	17.39	15.36	14.73	14.71	14.93	14.99(3.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-19	100	0	-75	0.02	32%	-1.3	-58.8	6.44%	0	-0.8	26	0
13	Jul_18_2011	44.65	17.87	15.55	14.76	14.78	14.76	14.55(-2.02%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-27	-10	-5	-94	0.05	32%	-1.35	-49.1	6.42%	0	-1	20	0
14	Jul_15_2011	45.26	18.27	15.77	15.06	14.93	14.48	14.85(4.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-33	-240	-7	-109	0.02	32%	-1.33	-44	6.43%	0	-1.1	20	0
15	Jul_14_2011	45.87	18.5	15.91	15.2	15.28	14.8	14.25(-5%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-45	-200	-16	-133	0.04	33%	-1.35	-49.1	6.4%	0	-1.3	14	0

16	Jul_13_2011	46.5	18.88	16.25	15.68	15.69	15.38	15(-0.99%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-44	-140	-13	-138	0.03	35%	-1.34	-49.6	6.43%	0	-1.3	15	0
17	Jul_12_2011	47.13	19.26	16.71	16.07	16.14	15.77	15.15(-5.61%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-43	-150	-11	-139	0.05	33%	-0.7	-52.2	6.52%	0	-1.4	14	0
18	Jul_11_2011	47.46	19.61	17.26	16.46	16.55	16.01	16.05(3.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-42	-210	-8	-142	0.03	33%	-1.33	-63	6.58%	0	-1.2	13	0
19	Jul_8_2011	48.1	19.82	17.78	16.58	16.93	16.52	15.57(-6.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-42	-110	-8	-142	0.03	33%	-1.31	-84	6.55%	0	-1.6	26	0
20	Jul_7_2011	48.74	20.18	18.4	16.71	17.17	17.1	16.65(-1.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-36	50	-5	-128	0.03	33%	-1.28	-105.4	6.53%	0	-1.4	46	0

21	Jul_6_2011	49.37	20.52	18.95	16.89	17.21	17.34	16.95(-0.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-39	110	-11	-124	0.03	33%	-1.24	-126.9	6.55%	0	-1.4	40	0
22	Jul_5_2011	49.99	20.95	19.57	17.46	17.59	17.23	17.1(2.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-39	-120	-15	-110	0.12	32%	-1.79	-137.6	6.55%	0	-1.5	39	0
23	Jul_1_2011	50.9	21.59	20.35	18.21	18.3	17.08	16.65(2.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-42	-450	-27	-88	0.09	32%	-1.24	-96.5	6.5%	0	-1.2	40	0
24	Jun_30_2011	51.54	22.41	20.96	19.2	19.33	17.94	16.2(-7.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-41	-480	-35	-60	0.08	32%	-1.28	-83.4	6.45%	0	-1.3	45	0
25	Jun_29_2011	52.21	23.35	21.33	20.34	20.47	19.52	17.55(-11.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-31	-310	-27	-44	0.08	31%		-73.5	6.42%	0	-1.1	42	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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