Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Mar. 23, 2011

Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 24, 2005 - Fri. Jan. 29, 2021)

(Pacific Ethanol, Inc.)
PEIX latest price $73.5000 (0.73%) ($70.3500 - $73.5100) on Wed. Mar. 23, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.5% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $73.5000(0.73%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PEIX advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEIX declines -2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(3%)    EWI(3%)    JNK(3%)    IGOV(2%)    EWP(1%)
Factors Impacting PEIX price   PEIX will decline at least -2.75% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-9%)    TLT(-5%)    LQD(-4%)    TIP(-3%)    GLD(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.75% (StdDev 5.5%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $72.23(1.76%)
10 Day Moving Average   $71.81(2.35%)
20 Day Moving Average   $73.01(0.67%)
To recent high   -32.7%
To recent low   6.1%
Market Cap   $4.078b

Pacific Ethanol, Inc. engages in the production and marketing of carbon renewable fuel. It operates through the Ethanol Production, and Marketing and Distribution business segments. The Ethanol Production segment includes the production and sale of ethanol and co-products. The Marketing and Distribution segment comprises of the marketing and merchant trading of company-produced ethanol; and co-products and third-party ethanol. The company was founded by William L. Jones and Neil M. Koehler on January 30, 2003 and is headquartered in Sacramento, CA.

$. PEIX price fluctuates within 3.3% (three month std-dev: 5.5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110423

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_23_2011	80.63	73.01	71.81	72.23	72.38	73.04	73.5(0.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	4	70	11	-19	0.01	59%	-0.16	-48.5	5.5%	0	0.2	40	0
2	Mar_22_2011	80.76	73.1	71.87	71.54	71.96	72.51	72.97(0.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	6	70	16	-23	0.01	59%	-0.11	-56.3	5.51%	0	-0.1	47	0
3	Mar_21_2011	80.85	73.29	72.26	70.8	71.04	71.72	72.42(2.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	1	80	8	-22	0.01	59%	-0.2	-66.1	5.54%	0	-0.3	57	0
4	Mar_18_2011	81.01	73.55	72.54	70.56	70.39	71.41	70.88(-0.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	1	90	8	-19	0.01	62%	-0.26	-62.7	5.59%	0	-1	51	0
5	Mar_17_2011	81.22	73.89	72.72	70.96	70.35	70.37	71.4(1.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-0	-20	6	-19	0	62%	-0.22	-61.5	5.63%	0	-0.9	48	0

6	Mar_16_2011	81.4	74.2	73.38	71.36	70.59	69.37	70.04(1.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-19	-150	-18	-21	0.01	62%	-0.32	-63.4	5.65%	0	-1.4	44	0
7	Mar_15_2011	81.66	74.57	73.88	72.26	71.53	70.32	69.28(-2.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-27	-150	-29	-20	0.01	62%	-0.32	-63.6	5.65%	0	-1.9	43	0
8	Mar_14_2011	81.92	75.06	74	73.91	72.97	71.8	71.2(-2.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-18	-150	-19	-13	0.01	62%	-0.34	-51.6	5.68%	0	-1.5	42	0
9	Mar_11_2011	82.2	75.35	74.08	74.79	74.18	72.73	72.87(-0.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-17	-160	-18	-14	0.01	65%	-0.3	-59.8	5.7%	0	-1	43	0
10	Mar_10_2011	82.45	75.69	74.21	74.71	75.28	74.15	73.4(-1.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-21	-80	-21	-21	0.01	68%	-0.33	-72.8	5.74%	0	-0.9	44	0

11	Mar_9_2011	82.72	76.08	74.38	75.7	75.89	75.63	74.55(-3.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-13	-20	-13	-13	0.01	72%	-0.35	-64.9	5.86%	0	-0.5	46	0
12	Mar_8_2011	83.01	76.38	74.47	75.74	77.07	76.42	77.53(2.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	10	-10	14	-4	0.02	72%	-0.36	-70.3	6.1%	0	0.4	50	0
13	Mar_7_2011	83.31	76.46	74.37	74.13	76.17	76.15	75.6(4.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-7	80	-1	-24	0.03	72%	-0.38	-97	6.11%	0	-0.3	44	0
14	Mar_4_2011	83.63	76.88	74.57	73.29	74.54	77.73	72.45(-7.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	6	350	15	-22	0.03	72%	-0.51	-97.4	6.11%	0	-1.3	44	0
15	Mar_3_2011	84.06	77.63	75.09	73.6	73.74	76.19	78.38(4.84%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.2	35	240	49	-9	0.06	77%	-0.45	-86.8	6.07%	0	0.2	46	0

16	Mar_2_2011	84.44	77.97	74.95	72.94	72.55	71.36	74.76(7.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-13	-130	-4	-40	0.03	77%	-0.37	-86.8	6.06%	0	-0.7	35	0
17	Mar_1_2011	84.75	78.54	75.19	73.11	73.35	71.3	69.44(-2.75%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-41	-190	-36	-57	0.02	75%	-0.46	-83	6.02%	0	-1.9	22	0
18	Feb_28_2011	85.14	79.53	76.18	74.66	75.11	73.74	71.4(-3.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-31	-110	-27	-44	0.01	75%	-0.44	-74	5.98%	0	-1.7	31	0
19	Feb_25_2011	85.52	80.47	76.76	75.99	76.53	75.4	74.03(-1.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-24	-80	-18	-40	0.02	75%	-0.41	-65.1	5.98%	0	-1.3	26	0
20	Feb_24_2011	85.87	81.37	77.34	76.72	77.68	76.49	75.08(-0.69%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-23	-70	-16	-44	0.01	75%	-0.36	-51.7	6.03%	0	-1.2	23	0

21	Feb_23_2011	86.18	82.08	77.99	77.25	78.48	77.65	75.6(-2.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-21	-30	-13	-44	0.02	75%	-0.4	-51	6.07%	0	-1.2	30	0
22	Feb_22_2011	86.53	82.71	78.51	77.59	78.8	78.86	77.18(-1.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-16	50	-6	-45	0.01	75%	-0.64	-56.1	6.1%	0	-1.1	31	0
23	Feb_18_2011	87.09	83.23	78.74	77.94	78.94	79.31	78.06(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-7	70	7	-49	0.01	75%	-0.18	-58.5	6.07%	0	-1	29	0
24	Feb_17_2011	87.25	83.77	79.37	77.66	78.71	78.74	77.7(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-16	40	-1	-60	0.01	75%	-0.18	-66.2	6.1%	0	-1.2	27	0
25	Feb_16_2011	87.41	84.17	80.35	78.08	78.76	78.56	77.7(0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-22	10	-8	-65	0.01	75%		-74.2	6.11%	0	-1.3	25	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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