Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Nov. 18, 2010

Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 24, 2005 - Fri. Jan. 29, 2021)

(Pacific Ethanol, Inc.)
PEIX latest price $77.9100 (-4.87%) ($76.9500 - $83.9900) on Thu. Nov. 18, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.07% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $77.9100(-4.87%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PEIX declines -4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEIX declines -1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(4%)    EWI(3%)    JNK(3%)    EWY(2%)    FXI(2%)
Factors Impacting PEIX price   PEIX will decline at least -3.035% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-10%)    TLT(-5%)    LQD(-4%)    TIP(-3%)    GLD(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.035% (StdDev 6.07%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -4.9%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $75.55(-3.03%)
Resistance Level   $87.79
5 Day Moving Average   $84.28(-7.56%)
10 Day Moving Average   $86.31(-9.73%)
20 Day Moving Average   $87.79(-11.25%)
To recent high   -32.5%
To recent low   30.2%
Market Cap   $4.323b

Pacific Ethanol, Inc. engages in the production and marketing of carbon renewable fuel. It operates through the Ethanol Production, and Marketing and Distribution business segments. The Ethanol Production segment includes the production and sale of ethanol and co-products. The Marketing and Distribution segment comprises of the marketing and merchant trading of company-produced ethanol; and co-products and third-party ethanol. The company was founded by William L. Jones and Neil M. Koehler on January 30, 2003 and is headquartered in Sacramento, CA.

$. PEIX price fluctuates within 5.93% (three month std-dev: 6.07%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 4.59%(75%) Average negative next day return: -10.94%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 6.43%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -4.38%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 5.13%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.18%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20101218

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_18_2010	76.02	87.79	86.31	84.28	84.73	81.57	77.91(-4.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-51	-250	-57	-33	0.02	89%	0.13	-80.9	6.07%	0	-1.9	42	0
2	Nov_17_2010	75.92	88.79	87.23	87.8	87.95	84.99	81.9(-3.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-28	-230	-35	-7	0.01	92%	0.45	-77.5	6.17%	0	-1.3	42	0
3	Nov_16_2010	75.58	89.66	87.63	88.22	89.93	87.9	84.53(-2.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-16	-100	-20	-3	0.01	92%	0.41	-81.5	7.73%	0	-0.9	47	0
4	Nov_15_2010	75.27	90.54	87.84	88.75	89.63	90.92	86.95(-3.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-9	130	-10	-4	0.01	92%	0.36	-72.4	7.72%	0	-0.6	43	0
5	Nov_12_2010	75	91.44	87.41	89.21	90.06	91.95	90.09(-5.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	22	180	28	3	0.02	92%	0.35	-64.7	7.71%	0	-0.2	45	0

6	Nov_11_2010	74.74	92.22	87.19	88.66	89.17	88.35	95.55(13.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	4	-50	10	-14	0.03	92%	0.35	-57.7	7.66%	0	0.4	47	0
7	Nov_10_2010	74.48	92.99	86.59	86.77	88.28	88.17	84(-3.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-20	40	-14	-39	0.01	91%	0.13	-53.6	7.5%	0	-0.9	31	0
8	Nov_9_2010	74.38	94.5	87.13	86.98	88.47	89.99	87.15(-2.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	3	170	15	-35	0.02	91%	0.11	-49.7	7.49%	0	-0.8	31	0
9	Nov_8_2010	74.3	95.39	87.79	86.77	87.64	88.38	89.24(2.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	5	90	20	-41	0.02	91%	0.05	-52.3	7.48%	0	-0.6	30	0
10	Nov_5_2010	74.26	96.26	88.28	85.3	86.2	86.95	87.36(1.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-13	90	3	-62	0.01	91%	0.01	-57	7.48%	0	-0.9	24	0

11	Nov_4_2010	74.25	97.3	89.23	85.5	85.52	86.89	86.09(1.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-14	110	4	-68	0.01	91%	0.01	-57.2	7.48%	0	-1.1	20	0
12	Nov_3_2010	74.24	98.41	90.35	86.49	86.25	85.44	85.05(-1.22%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-18	-70	2	-76	0.01	85%	0	-50.9	7.49%	0	-1.4	15	0
13	Nov_2_2010	74.24	99.46	91.8	87.33	87.14	84.15	86.1(5.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-47	-250	-31	-95	0.01	85%	0.03	-45.3	7.59%	0	-1.5	15	0
14	Nov_1_2010	74.22	100.69	93.44	89.01	88.99	87.06	81.9(-7.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-53	-150	-39	-93	0.03	85%	-0.03	-39.8	7.63%	0	-2.1	28	0
15	Oct_29_2010	74.24	102.18	95.88	91.63	91.76	90.14	88.35(-2.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-33	-120	-18	-76	0.01	87%	0.08	-38.6	7.56%	0	-1.8	30	0

16	Oct_28_2010	74.18	103.22	97.74	93.49	93.69	90.93	91.04(2.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-38	-200	-27	-71	0.02	87%	0.15	-38.1	7.85%	0	-1.7	31	0
17	Oct_27_2010	74.07	103.47	99.91	94.82	95.68	93.38	89.25(-5.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-41	-140	-33	-65	0.03	87%	0.18	-46.6	7.92%	0	-2	28	0
18	Oct_26_2010	73.94	103.8	102.52	96.92	97.71	96.45	94.5(-0.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-26	-70	-20	-45	0.01	88%	0.26	-52.4	7.89%	0	-1.4	39	0
19	Oct_25_2010	73.75	104.33	103.65	98.59	99.27	97.98	95.03(-2.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-23	-70	-17	-40	0.01	88%	0.19	-53.5	8.3%	0	-1.5	34	0
20	Oct_22_2010	73.61	105.25	104.94	100.8	100.95	98.98	97.65(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-27	-130	-24	-37	0.01	88%	0.14	-36.3	8.28%	0	-1.2	36	0

21	Oct_21_2010	73.51	106.09	106.05	102.69	103.7	100.56	97.65(-2.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-32	-180	-31	-33	0.02	88%	0.12	-9.1	8.28%	0	-1.3	40	0
22	Oct_20_2010	73.42	106.93	107.18	105.84	106.32	102.91	99.75(-3.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-35	-210	-41	-17	0.01	88%	0.25	32.5	8.28%	0	-1.2	61	0
23	Oct_19_2010	73.24	107.3	107.82	108.99	109.07	106.85	102.89(-2.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-19	-140	-28	8	0.03	88%	0.41	68.2	8.28%	0	-0.7	65	0
24	Oct_18_2010	72.94	107.86	108.6	109.41	111.76	109.73	106.05(-0.98%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	2	-60	-5	23	0.04	88%	0.33	100.4	8.26%	0	-0.3	54	0
25	Oct_15_2010	72.7	107.6	109.03	109.62	110.53	111.3	107.1(-5.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-5	70	-13	19	0.03	84%		94.9	8.4%	0	-0.1	47	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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