Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ PEIX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Nov. 2, 2010

Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 24, 2005 - Fri. Jan. 29, 2021)

(Pacific Ethanol, Inc.)
PEIX latest price $86.1000 (5.13%) ($80.8500 - $87.1500) on Tue. Nov. 2, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   7.59% (three month average)
RSI   15
Latest Price   $86.1000(5.13%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PEIX declines -1.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEIX declines -10.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(4%)    JNK(4%)    EWI(3%)    EWY(2%)    FXI(2%)
Factors Impacting PEIX price   PEIX will decline at least -3.795% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-10%)    TLT(-5%)    LQD(-4%)    GLD(-3%)    USO(-2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.795% (StdDev 7.59%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 6.5%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $72.92(-15.31%)
Resistance Level   $99.46
5 Day Moving Average   $87.33(-1.41%)
10 Day Moving Average   $91.8(-6.21%)
20 Day Moving Average   $99.46(-13.43%)
To recent high   -25.5%
To recent low   69%
Market Cap   $4.777b

Pacific Ethanol, Inc. engages in the production and marketing of carbon renewable fuel. It operates through the Ethanol Production, and Marketing and Distribution business segments. The Ethanol Production segment includes the production and sale of ethanol and co-products. The Marketing and Distribution segment comprises of the marketing and merchant trading of company-produced ethanol; and co-products and third-party ethanol. The company was founded by William L. Jones and Neil M. Koehler on January 30, 2003 and is headquartered in Sacramento, CA.

$. PEIX price fluctuates within 9.22% (three month std-dev: 7.59%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0.64%(75%) Average negative next day return: -12.9%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 5.04%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -4.04%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 7.79%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.44%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20101202

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_2_2010	74.24	99.46	91.8	87.33	87.14	84.15	86.1(5.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-47	-250	-31	-95	0.01	85%	0.03	-45.3	7.59%	0	-1.5	15	0
2	Nov_1_2010	74.22	100.69	93.44	89.01	88.99	87.06	81.9(-7.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-53	-150	-39	-93	0.03	85%	-0.03	-39.8	7.63%	0	-2.1	28	0
3	Oct_29_2010	74.24	102.18	95.88	91.63	91.76	90.14	88.35(-2.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-33	-120	-18	-76	0.01	87%	0.08	-38.6	7.56%	0	-1.8	30	0
4	Oct_28_2010	74.18	103.22	97.74	93.49	93.69	90.93	91.04(2.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-38	-200	-27	-71	0.02	87%	0.15	-38.1	7.85%	0	-1.7	31	0
5	Oct_27_2010	74.07	103.47	99.91	94.82	95.68	93.38	89.25(-5.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-41	-140	-33	-65	0.03	87%	0.18	-46.6	7.92%	0	-2	28	0

6	Oct_26_2010	73.94	103.8	102.52	96.92	97.71	96.45	94.5(-0.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-26	-70	-20	-45	0.01	88%	0.26	-52.4	7.89%	0	-1.4	39	0
7	Oct_25_2010	73.75	104.33	103.65	98.59	99.27	97.98	95.03(-2.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-23	-70	-17	-40	0.01	88%	0.19	-53.5	8.3%	0	-1.5	34	0
8	Oct_22_2010	73.61	105.25	104.94	100.8	100.95	98.98	97.65(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-27	-130	-24	-37	0.01	88%	0.14	-36.3	8.28%	0	-1.2	36	0
9	Oct_21_2010	73.51	106.09	106.05	102.69	103.7	100.56	97.65(-2.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-32	-180	-31	-33	0.02	88%	0.12	-9.1	8.28%	0	-1.3	40	0
10	Oct_20_2010	73.42	106.93	107.18	105.84	106.32	102.91	99.75(-3.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-35	-210	-41	-17	0.01	88%	0.25	32.5	8.28%	0	-1.2	61	0

11	Oct_19_2010	73.24	107.3	107.82	108.99	109.07	106.85	102.89(-2.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-19	-140	-28	8	0.03	88%	0.41	68.2	8.28%	0	-0.7	65	0
12	Oct_18_2010	72.94	107.86	108.6	109.41	111.76	109.73	106.05(-0.98%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	2	-60	-5	23	0.04	88%	0.33	100.4	8.26%	0	-0.3	54	0
13	Oct_15_2010	72.7	107.6	109.03	109.62	110.53	111.3	107.1(-5.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-5	70	-13	19	0.03	84%	0.36	94.9	8.4%	0	-0.1	47	0
14	Oct_14_2010	72.44	106.66	109.17	109.83	109.97	113.79	113.4(-1.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	32	250	31	34	0.03	84%	0.47	85.9	8.4%	0	0.7	50	0
15	Oct_13_2010	72.1	105.02	107.29	108.78	108.79	109.76	115.5(10%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	28	60	31	18	0.09	84%	0.54	79.9	8.4%	0	1	51	0

16	Oct_12_2010	71.71	103.37	105.07	106.68	107.41	106.15	105(-1.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-15	-60	-14	-16	0.02	83%	0.36	73.6	8.42%	0	0.1	52	0
17	Oct_11_2010	71.45	102.04	104.98	107.73	107.92	107.82	107.1(-0.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-10	-0	-8	-16	0.02	83%	0.25	78.5	8.42%	0	0.4	46	0
18	Oct_8_2010	71.27	100.8	105.49	107.73	108.42	108.68	108.15(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	4	20	6	-1	0.02	83%	0.55	79.2	8.41%	0	0.5	58	0
19	Oct_7_2010	70.88	98.92	106	108.36	107.85	108.02	108.15(3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	16	-0	14	20	0.03	83%	0.44	77.6	8.43%	0	0.6	66	0
20	Oct_6_2010	70.57	97.08	106.52	105.46	105.61	108.17	105(-4.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	23	170	19	34	0.03	79%	0.24	70.6	8.45%	0	0.5	69	0

21	Oct_5_2010	70.4	95.28	106.65	103.05	102.63	107.67	110.25(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	43	330	41	49	0.03	79%	0.13	64.1	8.52%	0	0.8	69	0
22	Oct_4_2010	70.31	92.94	106.95	101.79	99.44	103.06	110.25(1.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	39	190	30	66	0.03	79%	-0.01	62.8	8.58%	0	1	72	0
23	Oct_1_2010	70.32	90.58	105.94	102.42	99.49	97.59	108.15(15.47%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	16	-220	-3	71	0.04	73%	-0.09	62.2	8.58%	0	1	67	0
24	Sep_30_2010	70.38	88.21	103.9	103.68	102.58	95.82	93.66(0.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-28	-490	-60	70	0.02	76%	-0.28	61.7	8.69%	0	0.3	69	0
25	Sep_29_2010	70.58	86.67	102.75	107.84	108.12	101.39	92.93(-10.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-18	-430	-54	89	0.06	72%		67.2	9.9%	0	0.3	68	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.