Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Sep. 16, 2010

Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 24, 2005 - Fri. Jan. 29, 2021)

(Pacific Ethanol, Inc.)
PEIX latest price $78.4400 (-3.61%) ($77.7000 - $82.9500) on Thu. Sep. 16, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   9.67% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $78.4400(-3.61%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PEIX advances 2.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEIX advances 12% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(4%)    EWI(4%)    JNK(4%)    EWY(3%)    FXI(3%)
Factors Impacting PEIX price   PEIX will decline at least -4.835% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-9%)    TLT(-5%)    LQD(-4%)    GLD(-3%)    USO(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.835% (StdDev 9.67%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -4.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $76.89(2.02%)
10 Day Moving Average   $70.9(10.63%)
20 Day Moving Average   $67.35(16.47%)
To recent high   -8.9%
To recent low   82.2%
Market Cap   $4.352b

Pacific Ethanol, Inc. engages in the production and marketing of carbon renewable fuel. It operates through the Ethanol Production, and Marketing and Distribution business segments. The Ethanol Production segment includes the production and sale of ethanol and co-products. The Marketing and Distribution segment comprises of the marketing and merchant trading of company-produced ethanol; and co-products and third-party ethanol. The company was founded by William L. Jones and Neil M. Koehler on January 30, 2003 and is headquartered in Sacramento, CA.

$. PEIX price fluctuates within 9.87% (three month std-dev: 9.67%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.9%(100%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 1.06%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -6.43%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 3.6%(83%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.28%(17%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20101016

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_16_2010	71.34	67.35	70.9	76.89	78.74	80.59	78.44(-3.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	34	240	18	81	0.02	66%	-0.59	68	9.67%	0	1.7	64	0
2	Sep_15_2010	71.76	66.77	69.12	75.06	76.31	79.45	81.38(7.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	40	340	28	76	0.04	66%	-0.53	79.5	9.66%	0	2.4	70	0
3	Sep_14_2010	72.14	66.35	66.93	72.18	74.23	76.89	75.73(-6.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	44	340	37	64	0.02	66%	-0.65	95.2	9.62%	0	1.7	68	0
4	Sep_13_2010	72.61	65.3	65.43	69.43	71.26	73.16	80.64(18.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	35	270	32	42	0.04	66%	-0.59	80.8	9.59%	0	2.7	64	0
5	Sep_10_2010	73.04	63.92	63.59	65.69	67.57	71.57	68.25(-1.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	23	500	25	17	0.02	63%	-0.76	70.7	9.32%	0	0.9	51	0

6	Sep_9_2010	73.6	63.12	63.32	64.01	65.15	69.36	69.3(3.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	39	510	47	16	0.08	63%	-0.7	54.2	9.33%	0	1.1	54	0
7	Sep_8_2010	74.12	62.23	62.62	62.28	62.09	63.57	66.99(8.14%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.8	15	160	22	-8	0.03	63%	-0.68	41.2	9.34%	0	0.8	47	0
8	Sep_7_2010	74.63	61.48	62.04	60.92	61.11	60.94	61.95(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-8	-10	2	-37	0	63%	-1.28	33.1	9.28%	0	0.1	28	0
9	Sep_3_2010	75.6	61.04	62.47	60.77	61.13	60.61	61.95(3.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-13	-40	-7	-31	0.01	63%	-0.87	27.6	9.3%	0	0.1	63	0
10	Sep_2_2010	76.26	60.57	62.95	61.19	61.82	61.28	59.85(-1.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-14	-30	-12	-20	0.01	63%	-0.97	22.6	9.29%	0	-0.1	63	0

11	Sep_1_2010	77.01	60.24	63.59	62.51	63.46	61.65	60.66(0.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-6	-150	-9	2	0.01	63%	-0.98	22.1	9.34%	0	0.1	66	0
12	Aug_31_2010	77.77	59.86	64.35	62.98	64.47	62.36	60.17(-1.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-9	-160	-18	18	0.01	63%	-0.97	24.2	9.34%	0	0	66	0
13	Aug_30_2010	78.53	59.47	65.84	63.27	64.8	65.27	61.24(-4.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	4	120	-10	46	0.01	63%	-1.07	22.8	9.41%	0	0.2	66	0
14	Aug_27_2010	79.38	59.25	65.34	64.36	64.75	66.58	64.05(-3.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	23	220	9	65	0.01	63%	-1.07	27.6	9.4%	0	0.7	68	0
15	Aug_26_2010	80.24	59.05	64.43	64.99	65.12	64.32	66.43(5.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	-80	5	73	0.02	63%	-0.95	40.5	9.39%	0	1	71	0

16	Aug_25_2010	81.01	58.72	63.03	64.93	65.96	62.93	63(2.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-1	-270	-22	64	0.01	63%	-1.09	51.5	9.37%	0	0.6	68	0
17	Aug_24_2010	81.9	58.15	61.94	66	66.84	65.93	61.62(-7.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-8	-60	-34	69	0.02	59%	-1.16	62.2	9.37%	0	0.5	67	0
18	Aug_23_2010	82.86	57.84	61.02	68.79	69.78	68.99	66.68(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	37	-40	12	111	0.01	59%	-0.19	85.9	9.46%	0	1.2	74	0
19	Aug_20_2010	83.02	57.29	59.6	66.38	70.53	67.76	67.2(1.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	25	-90	5	83	0.02	61%	-0.98	83.9	10.18%	0	1.4	64	0
20	Aug_19_2010	83.84	56.25	58.02	63.65	66.91	70.58	66.15(-3.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	540	6	57	0.02	59%	-0.6	75	10.27%	0	1.4	57	0

21	Aug_18_2010	84.35	55.24	56.59	60.71	63.55	73.3	68.33(-9.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	74	1210	78	60	0.07	56%	-0.58	60.7	10.37%	0	1.9	59	0
22	Aug_17_2010	84.84	54.03	54.89	57.23	57.43	63.24	75.6(38.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.7	68	720	77	40	0.17	54%	-0.57	47.5	10.44%	0	3.2	74	0
23	Aug_16_2010	85.33	52.34	52.25	52.4	52.56	53.8	54.6(1.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	8	170	17	-20	0.02	47%	-1.81	33.6	9.3%	0	0.5	50	0
24	Aug_13_2010	86.9	51.86	52.4	51.95	51.53	51.62	53.55(4.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-3	-10	5	-28	0.01	47%	-1.72	24.3	9.3%	0	0.3	47	0
25	Aug_12_2010	88.42	51.4	53.04	51.57	51	51.32	51.45(1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-6	10	-2	-18	0.01	47%		17.6	9.29%	0	0	62	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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