Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Aug. 18, 2010

Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 24, 2005 - Fri. Jan. 29, 2021)

(Pacific Ethanol, Inc.)
PEIX latest price $68.3300 (-9.62%) ($68.2500 - $84.9500) on Wed. Aug. 18, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   10.37% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $68.3300(-9.62%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PEIX advances 6.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEIX advances 4.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(5%)    EWI(4%)    EWY(4%)    JNK(4%)    FXI(3%)
Factors Impacting PEIX price   PEIX will decline at least -5.185% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-10%)    TLT(-5%)    LQD(-4%)    GLD(-3%)    XOP(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -5.185% (StdDev 10.37%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -13.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $60.71(12.55%)
10 Day Moving Average   $56.59(20.75%)
20 Day Moving Average   $55.24(23.7%)
To recent high   -24.3%
To recent low   58.7%
Market Cap   $3.791b

Pacific Ethanol, Inc. engages in the production and marketing of carbon renewable fuel. It operates through the Ethanol Production, and Marketing and Distribution business segments. The Ethanol Production segment includes the production and sale of ethanol and co-products. The Marketing and Distribution segment comprises of the marketing and merchant trading of company-produced ethanol; and co-products and third-party ethanol. The company was founded by William L. Jones and Neil M. Koehler on January 30, 2003 and is headquartered in Sacramento, CA.

$. PEIX price fluctuates within 12.71% (three month std-dev: 10.37%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100918

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_18_2010	84.35	55.24	56.59	60.71	63.55	73.3	68.33(-9.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	74	1210	78	60	0.07	56%	-0.58	60.7	10.37%	0	1.9	59	NAN
2	Aug_17_2010	84.84	54.03	54.89	57.23	57.43	63.24	75.6(38.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.7	68	720	77	40	0.17	54%	-0.57	47.5	10.44%	0	3.2	74	NAN
3	Aug_16_2010	85.33	52.34	52.25	52.4	52.56	53.8	54.6(1.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	8	170	17	-20	0.02	47%	-1.81	33.6	9.3%	0	0.5	50	NAN
4	Aug_13_2010	86.9	51.86	52.4	51.95	51.53	51.62	53.55(4.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-3	-10	5	-28	0.01	47%	-1.72	24.3	9.3%	0	0.3	47	NAN
5	Aug_12_2010	88.42	51.4	53.04	51.57	51	51.32	51.45(1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-6	10	-2	-18	0.01	47%	-1.8	17.6	9.29%	0	0	62	NAN

6	Aug_11_2010	90.04	51.28	53.93	51.76	51.28	51.45	50.94(-0.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	2	-0	3	0	0.02	47%	-1.82	18.1	9.29%	0	-0.1	62	NAN
7	Aug_10_2010	91.71	51.02	54.04	51.76	51.3	50.67	51.45(-1.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-1	-130	-3	7	0	47%	-1.66	14.9	9.29%	0	0.1	64	NAN
8	Aug_9_2010	93.26	50.77	54.48	52.05	51.51	51.11	52.36(1.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-4	-90	-11	18	0.01	47%	-1.63	9.6	9.31%	0	0.3	67	NAN
9	Aug_6_2010	94.81	50.66	54.92	52.94	52.5	51.92	51.66(-1.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-1	-100	-14	38	0	45%	-1.59	8.1	9.32%	0	0.2	64	NAN
10	Aug_5_2010	96.34	50.52	54.52	54.79	54.5	51.91	52.37(-0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-1	-350	-20	55	0.01	45%	-1.53	12	9.41%	0	0.3	66	NAN

11	Aug_4_2010	97.84	50.35	53.99	56.49	56.8	53.07	52.4(1.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-3	-440	-26	65	0.01	45%	-1.58	5.7	9.42%	0	0.4	57	NAN
12	Aug_3_2010	99.41	50.23	53.33	56.3	58.54	57.1	51.45(-9.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	1	-50	-21	67	0.02	45%	-1.53	6.4	9.43%	0	0.2	60	NAN
13	Aug_2_2010	100.95	50.27	52.61	57.14	58.35	60.52	56.81(-6.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	25	320	5	84	0.01	47%	-1.53	8.9	9.38%	0	1.2	64	NAN
14	Jul_30_2010	102.52	50.23	51.41	57.12	57.83	59.98	60.9(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	54	300	40	94	0.01	47%	-1.33	7	9.42%	0	1.9	61	NAN
15	Jul_29_2010	103.9	49.89	49.64	54.22	55.27	56.17	60.89(18.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	34	170	25	60	0.04	47%	-1.25	-15.4	9.43%	0	2.2	62	NAN

16	Jul_28_2010	105.22	50.05	48.3	51.24	52.11	55.67	51.45(-7.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	23	530	19	36	0.01	43%	-1.41	-29.2	9.12%	0	0.2	54	NAN
17	Jul_27_2010	106.73	49.9	47.65	49.89	50.33	54.36	55.64(-1.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	50	590	55	33	0.04	43%	-1.4	-52.6	9.09%	0	1	57	NAN
18	Jul_26_2010	108.24	49.79	46.61	47.37	46.94	48.55	56.7(22.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	22	210	31	-4	0.06	43%	-1.47	-80.2	9.09%	0	1.2	54	NAN
19	Jul_23_2010	109.86	49.85	45.81	44.95	44.81	46.29	46.41(0.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-3	220	10	-42	0.01	37%	-1.53	-101.6	8.61%	0	-0.6	32	NAN
20	Jul_22_2010	111.57	50.69	46.01	44.39	44.52	45.33	45.98(2.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-7	140	9	-55	0.01	37%	-1.59	-105.9	8.6%	0	-0.7	35	NAN

21	Jul_21_2010	113.37	51.83	46.3	44.98	44.41	43.32	44.72(3.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-26	-210	-8	-79	0.01	37%	-1.54	-96.9	8.6%	0	-0.9	25	NAN
22	Jul_20_2010	115.14	53.2	46.84	45.04	46.05	43.72	43.05(-3.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-32	-290	-16	-81	0.03	37%	-1.61	-90.6	8.59%	0	-1.1	51	NAN
23	Jul_19_2010	117.02	54.96	47.78	45.65	46.82	45.5	44.6(2.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-39	-120	-24	-82	0.01	35%	-1.56	-80.1	8.62%	0	-1	47	NAN
24	Jul_16_2010	118.87	56.89	49.04	46.78	47.36	48.38	43.58(-10.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-24	190	-8	-70	0.03	35%	-1.48	-68.5	8.65%	0	-1.1	43	NAN
25	Jul_15_2010	120.65	58.95	50.27	47.83	48.63	48.14	48.93(8.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-8	-20	11	-64	0.07	37%		-61.1	8.59%	0	-0.8	43	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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