Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ PEIX: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jul. 29, 2010

Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 24, 2005 - Fri. Jan. 29, 2021)

(Pacific Ethanol, Inc.)
PEIX latest price $60.8900 (18.35%) ($53.5500 - $65.0900) on Thu. Jul. 29, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   9.43% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $60.8900(18.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PEIX advances 5.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEIX advances 7.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(5%)    EWI(4%)    JNK(4%)    EWY(3%)    FXI(3%)
Factors Impacting PEIX price   PEIX will decline at least -4.715% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-9%)    TLT(-5%)    LQD(-4%)    GLD(-3%)    TIP(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.715% (StdDev 9.43%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 9.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $54.22(12.3%)
10 Day Moving Average   $49.64(22.66%)
20 Day Moving Average   $49.89(22.05%)
To recent high   -50.9%
To recent low   41.4%
Market Cap   $3.378b

Pacific Ethanol, Inc. engages in the production and marketing of carbon renewable fuel. It operates through the Ethanol Production, and Marketing and Distribution business segments. The Ethanol Production segment includes the production and sale of ethanol and co-products. The Marketing and Distribution segment comprises of the marketing and merchant trading of company-produced ethanol; and co-products and third-party ethanol. The company was founded by William L. Jones and Neil M. Koehler on January 30, 2003 and is headquartered in Sacramento, CA.

$. PEIX price fluctuates within 10.18% (three month std-dev: 9.43%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100829

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_29_2010	103.9	49.89	49.64	54.22	55.27	56.17	60.89(18.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	34	170	25	60	0.04	47%	-1.25	-15.4	9.43%	0	2.2	62	0
2	Jul_28_2010	105.22	50.05	48.3	51.24	52.11	55.67	51.45(-7.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	23	530	19	36	0.01	43%	-1.41	-29.2	9.12%	0	0.2	54	0
3	Jul_27_2010	106.73	49.9	47.65	49.89	50.33	54.36	55.64(-1.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	50	590	55	33	0.04	43%	-1.4	-52.6	9.09%	0	1	57	0
4	Jul_26_2010	108.24	49.79	46.61	47.37	46.94	48.55	56.7(22.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	22	210	31	-4	0.06	43%	-1.47	-80.2	9.09%	0	1.2	54	0
5	Jul_23_2010	109.86	49.85	45.81	44.95	44.81	46.29	46.41(0.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-3	220	10	-42	0.01	37%	-1.53	-101.6	8.61%	0	-0.6	32	0

6	Jul_22_2010	111.57	50.69	46.01	44.39	44.52	45.33	45.98(2.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-7	140	9	-55	0.01	37%	-1.59	-105.9	8.6%	0	-0.7	35	0
7	Jul_21_2010	113.37	51.83	46.3	44.98	44.41	43.32	44.72(3.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-26	-210	-8	-79	0.01	37%	-1.54	-96.9	8.6%	0	-0.9	25	0
8	Jul_20_2010	115.14	53.2	46.84	45.04	46.05	43.72	43.05(-3.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-32	-290	-16	-81	0.03	37%	-1.61	-90.6	8.59%	0	-1.1	51	0
9	Jul_19_2010	117.02	54.96	47.78	45.65	46.82	45.5	44.6(2.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-39	-120	-24	-82	0.01	35%	-1.56	-80.1	8.62%	0	-1	47	0
10	Jul_16_2010	118.87	56.89	49.04	46.78	47.36	48.38	43.58(-10.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-24	190	-8	-70	0.03	35%	-1.48	-68.5	8.65%	0	-1.1	43	0

11	Jul_15_2010	120.65	58.95	50.27	47.83	48.63	48.14	48.93(8.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-8	-20	11	-64	0.07	37%	-1.47	-61.1	8.59%	0	-0.8	43	0
12	Jul_14_2010	122.45	60.68	51.95	47.86	48.33	46.34	45.05(-2.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-39	-260	-25	-82	0.01	35%	-1.65	-56.6	8.5%	0	-1.1	37	0
13	Jul_13_2010	124.51	62.65	52.41	48.93	49.19	49.12	46.08(-8.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-38	10	-18	-97	0.02	35%	-1.53	-52.2	8.5%	0	-1.2	36	0
14	Jul_12_2010	126.45	64.54	53.32	50.21	50.7	50.32	50.25(2.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-31	-20	-5	-108	0.01	35%	-1.2	-48.4	8.46%	0	-1	35	0
15	Jul_9_2010	127.98	66.22	54.25	51.71	51.92	49.25	48.83(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-51	-350	-25	-130	0.01	35%	-1.24	-45.5	8.47%	0	-1.2	32	0

16	Jul_8_2010	129.59	67.95	55.75	53.12	54.28	51.08	49.09(-2.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-72	-350	-47	-148	0.02	35%	-1.29	-45.9	8.47%	0	-1.4	32	0
17	Jul_7_2010	131.29	69.55	57.81	56.74	57.43	54.6	50.4(-4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-51	-310	-24	-131	0.01	35%	-1.25	-44.5	8.5%	0	-1.4	33	0
18	Jul_6_2010	132.95	70.94	60.06	56.33	59.84	57.48	52.5(-9.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-45	-90	-15	-136	0.01	35%	-1.18	-50	8.51%	0	-1.5	34	0
19	Jul_2_2010	134.54	72.19	62.7	56.75	59.07	60.27	57.75(3.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-43	260	-12	-135	0.01	36%	-1.04	-56	8.44%	0	-1.2	37	0
20	Jul_1_2010	135.96	73.39	65.27	57.17	58.77	62.21	55.86(-16.88%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-15	490	19	-117	0.02	44%	-1	-56.7	8.49%	0	-1.5	35	0

21	Jun_30_2010	137.34	75.03	68.21	58.81	58.89	57.87	67.2(39.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-22	-120	7	-107	0.07	48%	-0.92	-53.5	8.85%	0	-0.7	42	0
22	Jun_29_2010	138.62	76.06	69.86	59.43	60.34	55.34	48.33(-11.48%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-93	-530	-73	-154	0.02	28%	-1.04	-49.6	7.33%	0	-2.5	14	0
23	Jun_28_2010	140.08	77.88	73.66	64.46	65.45	59.92	54.6(-8.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-74	-550	-64	-102	0.01	29%	-1.06	-45.2	8.77%	0	-2.5	25	0
24	Jun_25_2010	141.58	79.41	76.74	69.51	70.31	65.35	59.85(-6.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-68	-460	-65	-75	0.01	31%	-0.97	-43.1	8.74%	0	-2.6	32	0
25	Jun_24_2010	142.97	80.62	79.3	74.53	75.41	70.98	64.05(-8.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-50	-380	-51	-45	0.01	31%		-23.8	8.72%	0	-2.8	30	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.