Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jun. 28, 2010

Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 24, 2005 - Fri. Jan. 29, 2021)

(Pacific Ethanol, Inc.)
PEIX latest price $54.6000 (-8.77%) ($54.6000 - $61.9500) on Mon. Jun. 28, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   8.77% (three month average)
RSI   25
Latest Price   $54.6000(-8.77%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PEIX declines -7.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEIX declines -11.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(5%)    EWI(4%)    EWY(4%)    JNK(4%)    FXI(3%)
Factors Impacting PEIX price   PEIX will decline at least -4.385% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-9%)    TLT(-5%)    LQD(-4%)    GLD(-2%)    USO(-1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.385% (StdDev 8.77%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -9.6%

Resistance Level   $77.88
5 Day Moving Average   $64.46(-15.3%)
10 Day Moving Average   $73.66(-25.88%)
20 Day Moving Average   $77.88(-29.89%)
To recent high   -65.1%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $3.029b

Pacific Ethanol, Inc. engages in the production and marketing of carbon renewable fuel. It operates through the Ethanol Production, and Marketing and Distribution business segments. The Ethanol Production segment includes the production and sale of ethanol and co-products. The Marketing and Distribution segment comprises of the marketing and merchant trading of company-produced ethanol; and co-products and third-party ethanol. The company was founded by William L. Jones and Neil M. Koehler on January 30, 2003 and is headquartered in Sacramento, CA.

$. PEIX price fluctuates within 11.86% (three month std-dev: 8.77%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 11.06%(50%) Average negative next day return: -15.39%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 19.77%(75%) Average negative next three day return: -17.61%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 19.01%(75%) Average negative next weekly return: -32.22%(25%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100728

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_28_2010	140.08	77.88	73.66	64.46	65.45	59.92	54.6(-8.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-74	-550	-64	-102	0.01	29%	-1.06	-45.2	8.77%	0	-2.5	25	NAN
2	Jun_25_2010	141.58	79.41	76.74	69.51	70.31	65.35	59.85(-6.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-68	-460	-65	-75	0.01	31%	-0.97	-43.1	8.74%	0	-2.6	32	NAN
3	Jun_24_2010	142.97	80.62	79.3	74.53	75.41	70.98	64.05(-8.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-50	-380	-51	-45	0.01	31%	-1	-23.8	8.72%	0	-2.8	30	NAN
4	Jun_23_2010	144.42	81.52	81.35	78.94	79.45	75.27	70.31(-4.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-40	-350	-44	-26	0.01	32%	-0.88	-2.8	8.67%	0	-2.4	29	NAN
5	Jun_22_2010	145.7	81.96	82.46	81.88	82.22	79.85	73.5(-7.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-31	-190	-36	-15	0.01	32%	-0.91	5.6	8.7%	0	-2.2	31	NAN

6	Jun_21_2010	147.04	82.29	82.94	84.19	84.55	83.64	79.82(-6.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-6	-60	-9	3	0.01	32%	-0.94	-4.7	8.66%	0	-0.7	49	NAN
7	Jun_18_2010	148.44	82.79	82.63	85.03	84.96	84.6	84.95(-1.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-3	-30	-5	3	0.01	32%	-0.95	-22.3	8.64%	0	0.6	54	NAN
8	Jun_17_2010	149.87	82.06	82.2	84.84	85.14	85.47	86.1(1.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	4	40	4	5	0	32%	-0.87	-59.4	8.65%	0	0.8	57	NAN
9	Jun_16_2010	151.19	81.64	82.3	84.21	84.8	85.33	85.05(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	9	60	9	10	0	32%	-0.96	-93	8.65%	0	0.7	59	NAN
10	Jun_15_2010	152.65	81.74	82.52	83.18	83.84	84.82	85.05(1.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	9	110	8	13	0.01	32%	-0.95	-113	8.66%	0	0.7	62	NAN

11	Jun_14_2010	154.12	82.46	82.19	81.5	83.91	84.28	84(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	19	120	21	13	0.01	32%	-0.84	-96.4	8.66%	0	0.2	59	NAN
12	Jun_11_2010	155.43	83.66	82.06	79.82	81.54	82.87	84(1.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-1	180	2	-8	0	32%	-0.96	-72.4	8.72%	0	0	43	NAN
13	Jun_10_2010	156.93	85.02	81.83	79.19	80.49	83.54	82.95(3.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	310	17	4	0	32%	-1	-59	8.73%	0	-0.2	65	NAN
14	Jun_9_2010	158.51	86.37	81.53	80.24	80.33	80.21	79.91(4.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	9	-10	9	8	0.01	32%	-1	-54.6	8.72%	0	-0.5	56	NAN
15	Jun_8_2010	160.11	87.75	81.36	81.9	81	77.44	76.65(1.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-23	-340	-28	-7	0	32%	-0.53	-52.1	8.7%	0	-0.8	47	NAN

16	Jun_7_2010	160.97	89.34	81.65	82.97	83.18	80.46	75.6(-6.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-29	-220	-32	-21	0	32%	-0.94	-50.9	8.71%	0	-1	40	NAN
17	Jun_4_2010	162.5	90.82	83.11	84.44	84.48	84.56	80.85(-8.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-13	10	-10	-21	0	32%	-0.65	-51.2	8.68%	0	-0.7	38	NAN
18	Jun_3_2010	163.57	92.25	82.12	84.66	84.97	85.89	88.2(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	3	90	17	-41	0	32%	-0.89	-51.6	8.64%	0	-0.3	40	NAN
19	Jun_2_2010	165.04	93.9	81.03	82.99	83.78	84.41	88.2(7.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-10	80	11	-74	0.01	32%	-1.03	-48.8	8.65%	0	-0.4	41	NAN
20	Jun_1_2010	166.75	95.38	80.86	80.87	83.01	84.04	82.01(-1.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-13	170	14	-95	0.01	32%	-0.84	-49.7	8.59%	0	-0.8	39	NAN

21	May_28_2010	168.17	97.04	82.63	80.21	81.12	83.15	82.95(1.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-24	210	4	-106	0.01	32%	-0.07	-52.4	8.59%	0	-0.9	40	NAN
22	May_27_2010	168.28	98.52	85.18	81.68	80.83	81.98	81.95(2.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-3	70	25	-87	0.01	32%	0	-53.4	8.66%	0	-1	42	NAN
23	May_26_2010	168.28	100.21	88.19	79.15	80.6	79.09	79.85(2.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-20	-80	6	-99	0.01	32%	-0.03	-59.2	8.71%	0	-1.2	38	NAN
24	May_25_2010	168.33	102.23	91.32	78.72	78.14	79.68	77.57(-1.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-49	120	-26	-118	0.01	32%	-0.02	-62.1	8.72%	0	-1.5	33	NAN
25	May_24_2010	168.37	104.35	94.49	80.84	79.85	82.11	78.75(-12.79%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-18	160	10	-101	0.01	32%		-62.2	8.72%	0	-1.7	35	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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