Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Feb. 4, 2010

Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 24, 2005 - Fri. Jan. 29, 2021)

(Pacific Ethanol, Inc.)
PEIX latest price $195.3000 (-5.58%) ($192.1500 - $208.9500) on Thu. Feb. 4, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   15.98% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $195.3000(-5.58%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PEIX declines -2.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEIX declines -4.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JNK(7%)    EWG(6%)    EWI(6%)    EWY(6%)    EEM(5%)
Factors Impacting PEIX price   PEIX will decline at least -7.99% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-11%)    TLT(-6%)    LQD(-4%)    TIP(-2%)    GLD(-2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -7.99% (StdDev 15.98%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.6%

Resistance Level   $210.97
5 Day Moving Average   $203.91(-4.22%)
10 Day Moving Average   $212.38(-8.04%)
20 Day Moving Average   $210.97(-7.43%)
To recent high   -23.1%
To recent low   423.9%
Market Cap   $10.836b

Pacific Ethanol, Inc. engages in the production and marketing of carbon renewable fuel. It operates through the Ethanol Production, and Marketing and Distribution business segments. The Ethanol Production segment includes the production and sale of ethanol and co-products. The Marketing and Distribution segment comprises of the marketing and merchant trading of company-produced ethanol; and co-products and third-party ethanol. The company was founded by William L. Jones and Neil M. Koehler on January 30, 2003 and is headquartered in Sacramento, CA.

$. PEIX price fluctuates within 16.64% (three month std-dev: 15.98%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_4_2010	90.12	210.97	212.38	203.91	202.91	200.42	195.3(-5.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-15	-100	-13	-22	0.03	81%	1.67	91.8	15.98%	0	-0.4	58	NAN
2	Feb_3_2010	88.64	206.09	215.98	209.79	208.43	200.29	206.85(5.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-25	-290	-26	-22	0.13	81%	1.85	78.6	15.93%	0	0	48	NAN
3	Feb_2_2010	87.03	200.57	219.03	211.47	213.28	205.41	195.3(-4.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-45	-230	-49	-32	0.04	80%	1.72	70.4	15.98%	0	-0.1	40	NAN
4	Feb_1_2010	85.56	195.52	223.26	218.19	218.53	216.56	204.75(-5.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-25	-60	-27	-18	0.03	80%	1.91	70.1	16%	0	0.2	46	NAN
5	Jan_29_2010	83.96	189.56	225.38	223.02	223.98	221.16	217.35(-3.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	1	-80	-1	8	0.01	78%	2.05	73.4	16.02%	0	0.5	70	NAN

6	Jan_28_2010	82.27	183	222.63	221.97	223.98	220.5	224.7(4.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-11	-110	-20	15	0.04	77%	2.16	68.9	16%	0	0.6	80	NAN
7	Jan_27_2010	80.53	176.03	223.14	223.23	225.88	226.8	215.25(-5.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-8	60	-25	42	0.03	77%	2.13	68.1	16.07%	0	0.6	81	NAN
8	Jan_26_2010	78.85	169.62	226.82	227.85	230.67	231.26	228.9(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	35	60	13	99	0.03	77%	2.02	71.1	16.05%	0	0.8	82	NAN
9	Jan_25_2010	77.29	161.91	227.62	229.32	233.82	224.96	228.9(7.92%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	17	-210	-21	131	0.04	77%	2.51	72.6	16.05%	0	0.9	82	NAN
10	Jan_22_2010	75.4	154.13	220.46	228.27	236.78	230.08	212.1(-8.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	17	-90	-31	159	0.03	77%	2.38	73.5	16.08%	0	0.8	82	NAN

11	Jan_21_2010	73.65	147.24	209.94	228.27	233.89	242.68	231(-3.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	57	410	13	189	0.04	77%	2.69	70.5	16.02%	0	1.1	83	NAN
12	Jan_20_2010	71.72	139.36	196.06	222.81	225.42	243.47	238.35(0.89%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	103	600	59	236	0.06	77%	2.88	73.2	16%	0	1.4	83	NAN
13	Jan_19_2010	69.71	130.85	181.15	225.96	223.65	225.09	236.25(5.63%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	111	10	54	283	0.15	77%	3.29	80.5	16.01%	0	1.5	81	NAN
14	Jan_15_2010	67.49	122.5	165.94	226.38	224.5	207.37	223.65(21.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	48	-560	-40	311	0.35	77%	2.74	89.9	15.92%	0	1.5	82	NAN
15	Jan_14_2010	65.69	114.77	151.16	211.58	225.75	222.21	184.8(-20%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	74	90	-11	330	0.11	75%	2.11	83.4	15.76%	0	1.1	81	NAN

16	Jan_13_2010	64.33	108.98	140.74	193.31	205.51	241.63	231(-9.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	189	1420	132	360	0.1	79%	2.88	68.9	15.51%	0	2	87	NAN
17	Jan_12_2010	62.53	100.86	125.06	163.61	169.68	229.29	254.1(6.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.7	319	2570	306	359	0.25	79%	3.37	51.9	15.44%	0	2.9	89	NAN
18	Jan_11_2010	60.49	91.34	106.71	129.59	129.54	169.38	238.35(59.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.8	291	2150	297	271	0.5	79%	3.49	38.4	15.44%	0	3.8	89	NAN
19	Jan_8_2010	58.45	82.56	88.8	98.25	96.99	110.06	149.63(60.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	3.1	125	900	126	123	0.14	76%	2.02	29.8	13.71%	0	4	80	NAN
20	Jan_7_2010	57.29	79.14	80.49	83.24	85.45	89.7	93.47(13.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	45	430	44	46	0.02	70%	1.02	12.2	11.59%	0	2.8	65	NAN

21	Jan_6_2010	56.71	78.98	78.4	80.22	80.59	83.92	82.51(-1.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	17	300	15	23	0	68%	0.87	-11.2	11.5%	0	0.8	62	NAN
22	Jan_5_2010	56.22	79.24	77.78	79.71	79.61	81.2	84(2.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	20	140	19	21	0.01	68%	0.92	10.7	11.49%	0	0.9	54	NAN
23	Jan_4_2010	55.71	78.58	76.69	79.45	79.23	77.26	81.65(9.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	4	-180	2	10	0	68%	1.13	28.4	11.5%	0	0.5	52	NAN
24	Dec_31_2009	55.09	77.88	76.13	77.57	78.94	78.02	74.55(-4.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-8	-30	-10	-3	0	68%	0.68	38.6	11.45%	0	-0.5	47	NAN
25	Dec_30_2009	54.72	78.53	76.35	77.15	77.86	81.19	78.39(-1.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	8	330	12	-4	0	68%		70.8	11.43%	0	-0	39	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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