Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Dec. 4, 2009

Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 24, 2005 - Fri. Jan. 29, 2021)

(Pacific Ethanol, Inc.)
PEIX latest price $70.3500 (5.5%) ($62.9900 - $80.3100) on Fri. Dec. 4, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   11.16% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $70.3500(5.5%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PEIX advances 7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEIX advances 50.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(6%)    EWI(6%)    EWY(6%)    JNK(6%)    EEM(5%)
Factors Impacting PEIX price   PEIX will decline at least -5.58% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-13%)    TLT(-6%)    LQD(-3%)    TIP(-1%)    GLD(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -5.58% (StdDev 11.16%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 8.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $77.28(-8.97%)
10 Day Moving Average   $59.47(18.29%)
20 Day Moving Average   $49.85(41.12%)
To recent high   -29.5%
To recent low   91.4%
Market Cap   $3.903b

Pacific Ethanol, Inc. engages in the production and marketing of carbon renewable fuel. It operates through the Ethanol Production, and Marketing and Distribution business segments. The Ethanol Production segment includes the production and sale of ethanol and co-products. The Marketing and Distribution segment comprises of the marketing and merchant trading of company-produced ethanol; and co-products and third-party ethanol. The company was founded by William L. Jones and Neil M. Koehler on January 30, 2003 and is headquartered in Sacramento, CA.

$. PEIX price fluctuates within 35.89% (three month std-dev: 11.16%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100104

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_4_2009	47.57	49.85	59.47	77.28	79.4	71.92	70.35(5.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	51	-580	-20	264	0.03	68%	0.78	71.3	11.16%	0	1.1	74	0
2	Dec_3_2009	47.2	48.35	56.49	72.24	75.8	81.31	66.68(-24.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	72	660	12	250	0.03	68%	0.64	61.5	11.16%	0	1.1	73	0
3	Dec_2_2009	46.9	46.9	53.84	66.36	67.95	86.88	88.17(-11.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	178	2020	146	274	0.05	76%	1.21	48	10.68%	0	2.5	84	0
4	Dec_1_2009	46.34	44.13	48.61	56.39	55.26	70.29	99.75(62.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	3.1	194	1840	187	216	0.13	80%	1.51	28.3	10.55%	0	4	89	0
5	Nov_30_2009	45.65	40.79	41.89	44.1	43.55	49.02	61.43(36.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	3.3	107	840	109	100	0.03	72%	0.59	-6.2	7.2%	0	4	76	0

6	Nov_27_2009	45.38	39.69	39.48	39.61	39.51	40.24	45.16(21.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.6	26	120	32	7	0	62%	0.4	-90.8	5.69%	0	2.6	50	0
7	Nov_25_2009	45.2	39.64	38.78	38.61	38.86	38.08	37.28(-2.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-23	-120	-18	-38	0	52%	0.11	-107.7	5.12%	0	-1	36	0
8	Nov_24_2009	45.15	40.02	38.91	39.16	39.9	38.79	38.33(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-17	-140	-13	-30	0	67%	0.07	-89.2	5.12%	0	-0.6	51	0
9	Nov_23_2009	45.12	40.53	38.97	39.26	40.56	39.64	38.31(-1.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-12	-60	-10	-18	0	67%	-0.15	-75.7	6.8%	0	-0.6	57	0
10	Nov_20_2009	45.19	41.12	39.22	39.16	40.64	41.01	38.96(-2.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-5	180	-2	-12	0	70%	0	-68.4	6.94%	0	-0.5	52	0

11	Nov_19_2009	45.19	41.71	39.69	39.26	40.17	41.48	40.16(0.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	11	300	14	-0	0	72%	-0.02	-59.1	6.94%	0	-0.3	47	0
12	Nov_18_2009	45.2	42.38	39.85	39	39.5	40.26	40.02(3.01%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.2	9	170	15	-9	0	72%	-0.02	-57.4	7.02%	0	-0.4	41	0
13	Nov_17_2009	45.21	42.92	39.74	39	38.94	38.87	38.85(2.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-6	10	2	-30	0	72%	0.02	-59.2	7.01%	0	-0.7	39	0
14	Nov_16_2009	45.2	43.53	39.57	38.66	38.77	38.75	37.8(-4.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-19	0	-7	-56	0	72%	0.2	-61.2	7.08%	0	-1	31	0
15	Nov_13_2009	45.11	44.25	39.72	39.29	39.03	39.01	39.48(1.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-25	-20	-9	-71	0	72%	0	-59.4	7.06%	0	-0.8	31	0

16	Nov_12_2009	45.11	44.89	39.96	40.22	40.07	38.79	38.85(1.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-27	-230	-10	-79	0	72%	-0.02	-55	7.06%	0	-1	29	0
17	Nov_11_2009	45.12	45.66	40.56	40.85	40.99	39.05	38.33(-1.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-37	-320	-19	-91	0	72%	-0.11	-51.7	7.06%	0	-1.2	25	0
18	Nov_10_2009	45.17	46.48	41.22	40.95	41.42	41.35	38.85(-5.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-29	20	-7	-95	0	72%	-0.07	-50.4	7.09%	0	-1.2	33	0
19	Nov_9_2009	45.2	47.36	42.22	40.53	41.19	42.92	40.95(-7.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-9	340	19	-92	0	72%	0.02	-52.8	7.06%	0	-1.1	35	0
20	Nov_6_2009	45.19	48	43.14	40.15	39.76	41.49	44.1(5%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-10	280	20	-98	0	75%	0.07	-56.5	7.01%	0	-0.7	37	0

21	Nov_5_2009	45.16	48.47	43.81	39.73	39.18	39.45	42(8.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-26	10	2	-110	0	75%	-0.02	-58.1	6.99%	0	-1.1	32	0
22	Nov_4_2009	45.17	49.06	44.99	40.38	40.08	38.02	38.87(5.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-45	-380	-22	-115	0	74%	-0.15	-57.2	6.93%	0	-1.8	21	0
23	Nov_3_2009	45.24	49.83	46.26	41.64	41.64	38.92	36.75(-5.79%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-67	-460	-49	-120	0	74%	-0.2	-57.2	6.89%	0	-2.4	14	0
24	Nov_2_2009	45.33	50.78	47.81	44.16	43.77	42.14	39.01(-7.12%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-57	-290	-42	-102	0	74%	-0.26	-57	6.86%	0	-2.6	14	0
25	Oct_30_2009	45.45	51.61	49.22	46.52	46.25	44.35	42(-7.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-39	-300	-26	-78	0	78%		-58.1	6.81%	0	-2.7	28	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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