Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Oct. 22, 2009

Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 24, 2005 - Fri. Jan. 29, 2021)

(Pacific Ethanol, Inc.)
PEIX latest price $54.6000 (6.12%) ($50.4000 - $57.7500) on Thu. Oct. 22, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.64% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $54.6000(6.12%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Weekly Trend   PEIX declines -1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(7%)    EEM(6%)    EWG(6%)    EWY(6%)    JNK(6%)
Factors Impacting PEIX price   PEIX will decline at least -3.32% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-12%)    TLT(-6%)    LQD(-3%)    TIP(-2%)    GLD(-1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.32% (StdDev 6.64%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 6.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $47.7(-12.64%)
5 Day Moving Average   $52.5(4%)
10 Day Moving Average   $53.5(2.06%)
20 Day Moving Average   $54(1.11%)
To recent high   -17.5%
To recent low   57.6%
Market Cap   $3.029b

Pacific Ethanol, Inc. engages in the production and marketing of carbon renewable fuel. It operates through the Ethanol Production, and Marketing and Distribution business segments. The Ethanol Production segment includes the production and sale of ethanol and co-products. The Marketing and Distribution segment comprises of the marketing and merchant trading of company-produced ethanol; and co-products and third-party ethanol. The company was founded by William L. Jones and Neil M. Koehler on January 30, 2003 and is headquartered in Sacramento, CA.

$. PEIX price fluctuates within 2.96% (three month std-dev: 6.64%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_22_2009	45.87	54	53.5	52.5		52.88	54.6(6.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	2	40	6	-9	0	91%	0.24	-101	6.64%	0	0.4	58	0
2	Oct_21_2009	45.76	54.04	53.37	52.49	52.65	52.11	51.45(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-11	-60	-9	-15	0	91%	0.24	-90.1	6.61%	0	-1.3	46	0
3	Oct_20_2009	45.65	54.45	53.61	53.12	53.44	52.41	51.45(-2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-15	-120	-15	-13	0	92%	0.22	-70.5	6.61%	0	-1.6	42	0
4	Oct_19_2009	45.55	54.67	53.94	54.17	54.22	53.18	52.5(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.8	-11	-130	-13	-5	0	92%	0.29	-41.4	6.87%	0	-1	36	0
5	Oct_16_2009	45.42	55.02	54.16	54.38	54.22	54.46	52.5(-3.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-6	-20	-7	-4	0	92%	0.26	-16	6.89%	0	-0.8	36	0

6	Oct_15_2009	45.3	55.66	54.19	54.59	54.73	55.25	54.53(-0.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	3	70	5	-3	0	92%	0.33	9.6	6.97%	0	-0.4	43	0
7	Oct_14_2009	45.15	55.92	54.05	54.37	54.33	54.99	54.6(-3.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	4	80	8	-7	0	92%	0.29	16.6	7.08%	0	-0.4	46	0
8	Oct_13_2009	45.02	55.84	53.99	54.16	54.12	54.21	56.7(5.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	1	10	7	-18	0	92%	0.27	9.2	7.07%	0	0.3	38	0
9	Oct_12_2009	44.9	55.55	53.93	53.74	54	53.66	53.55(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-12	-30	-7	-26	0	92%	0.31	3.4	7.14%	0	-0.6	46	0
10	Oct_9_2009	44.76	55.53	54.24	53.95	54.66	54.04	53.55(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-6	-40	0	-25	0	92%	0.36	11.2	7.16%	0	-0.5	37	0

11	Oct_8_2009	44.6	55.37	54.51	53.74	54.3	54.35	53.45(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-13	40	-4	-41	0	93%	0.31	15.5	7.18%	0	-0.5	28	0
12	Oct_7_2009	44.46	55.39	54.73	53.66	53.72	55.28	53.55(-1.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-6	210	7	-43	0	93%	0.18	25.7	7.32%	0	-0.5	43	0
13	Oct_6_2009	44.38	55.53	55.33	53.76	53.74	54.24	54.6(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	3	60	14	-30	0	93%	0.5	40.5	7.42%	0	-0.3	56	0
14	Oct_5_2009	44.16	55.44	55.44	54.18	53.28	52.15	54.6(4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-20	-200	-15	-33	0	93%	-0.11	53.7	7.5%	0	-0.2	59	0
15	Oct_2_2009	44.21	55.12	55.93	54.63	54.78	53.24	52.5(-1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-19	-190	-18	-22	0	93%	-0.14	53	7.55%	0	-0.6	54	0

16	Oct_1_2009	44.27	54.8	57.24	55.41	56.35	54.42	53.03(-1.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-12	-190	-17	5	0	93%	-0.11	48.1	7.58%	0	-0.4	58	0
17	Sep_30_2009	44.32	54.47	57.95	55.93	56.92	56.31	54.08(-4.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-14	-20	-24	15	0	93%	-0.23	40.7	7.57%	0	-0.1	53	0
18	Sep_29_2009	44.42	54.07	57.9	57.09	58.27	58.29	56.71(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	14	60	7	33	0	94%	-0.45	34.6	7.6%	0	0.5	52	0
19	Sep_28_2009	44.62	53.47	57.36	56.87	57.94	57.53	56.81(0.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-1	10	-8	21	0	94%	-0.18	22.4	8.34%	0	0.6	57	0
20	Sep_25_2009	44.7	52.99	56.98	57.48	58.16	58.24	56.42(1.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-2	50	-12	29	0	81%	-0.02	30.1	8.92%	0	0.6	62	0

21	Sep_24_2009	44.71	52.63	56.37	59.43	59.52	58.34	55.65(-7.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	10	-130	-5	54	0	81%	-0.2	50.9	8.93%	0	0.5	64	0
22	Sep_23_2009	44.8	52.45	56.19	60.27	60.54	58.07	59.85(7.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	10	-270	-10	71	0	81%	-0.04	69.3	8.94%	0	1.3	67	0
23	Sep_22_2009	44.82	52.23	55.77	58.8	60.67	60.7	55.63(-7.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	18	100	-3	79	0.01	81%	0.27	84.2	8.9%	0	0.6	65	0
24	Sep_21_2009	44.7	52.19	55.47	57.76	58.94	63	59.85(-9.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	45	540	28	97	0.01	81%	0.52	98.9	8.86%	0	1.3	70	0
25	Sep_18_2009	44.47	51.25	54.24	56.29	56.25	60.64	66.17(10.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	69	540	58	101	0.02	86%		91.6	8.79%	0	2.5	71	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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