Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jul. 14, 2009

Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 24, 2005 - Fri. Jan. 29, 2021)

(Pacific Ethanol, Inc.)
PEIX latest price $33.0800 (5.02%) ($33.0800 - $35.7000) on Tue. Jul. 14, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   12.28% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $33.0800(5.02%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PEIX advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEIX declines -4.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(7%)    EWG(7%)    EWI(7%)    EWY(7%)    JNK(7%)
Factors Impacting PEIX price   PEIX will decline at least -6.14% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-11%)    TLT(-5%)    LQD(-3%)    TIP(-1%)    GLD(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -6.14% (StdDev 12.28%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.7%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $14.96(-54.78%)
Resistance Level   $37.85
5 Day Moving Average   $34.29(-3.53%)
10 Day Moving Average   $35.87(-7.78%)
20 Day Moving Average   $37.85(-12.6%)
To recent high   -56.2%
To recent low   12.5%
Market Cap   $1.835b

Pacific Ethanol, Inc. engages in the production and marketing of carbon renewable fuel. It operates through the Ethanol Production, and Marketing and Distribution business segments. The Ethanol Production segment includes the production and sale of ethanol and co-products. The Marketing and Distribution segment comprises of the marketing and merchant trading of company-produced ethanol; and co-products and third-party ethanol. The company was founded by William L. Jones and Neil M. Koehler on January 30, 2003 and is headquartered in Sacramento, CA.

$. PEIX price fluctuates within 11.1% (three month std-dev: 12.28%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_14_2009	40.98	37.85	35.87	34.29	35.02	34.48	33.08(5.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-6	-40	0	-24	0	67%	-0.17	-94	12.28%	0	-1.1	43	0
2	Jul_13_2009	41.05	38.5	36.36	34.18	35.17	34.5	31.5(-8.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-14	-50	-8	-32	0	67%	-0.27	-97.5	12.27%	0	-1.6	43	0
3	Jul_10_2009	41.16	39.45	36.28	35.02	35.23	35.55	34.44(-3.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-16	80	-8	-39	0	67%	-0.12	-89.3	12.23%	0	-1	48	0
4	Jul_9_2009	41.21	40.37	36.72	35.9	36.29	35.84	35.7(-2.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-11	-50	-3	-34	0	67%	-0.24	-72.9	12.31%	0	-0.8	47	0
5	Jul_8_2009	41.31	41.31	37.13	36.95	37.01	34.91	36.71(12.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-20	-390	-15	-36	0	67%	-0.27	-54.3	12.32%	0	-0.7	47	0

6	Jul_7_2009	41.42	42.26	37.71	37.8	38.78	36.75	32.55(-8.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-21	-290	-17	-33	0	67%	-0.22	-37.9	12.23%	0	-1.4	39	0
7	Jul_6_2009	41.51	43.31	38.67	38.85	40.1	39.11	35.7(-8.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-7	-80	-1	-24	0	67%	-0.6	-27.5	12.39%	0	-1.1	41	0
8	Jul_2_2009	41.76	44.3	39.12	38.85	40.03	40.82	38.85(-5.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-9	330	2	-42	0	67%	-0.29	-22.6	12.33%	0	-0.8	39	0
9	Jul_1_2009	41.88	44.85	39.37	37.59	38.78	41.08	40.95(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-5	510	10	-50	0	67%	-0.24	-17.8	12.32%	0	-0.6	39	0
10	Jun_30_2009	41.98	45.04	39.53	37.38	38.25	39.24	40.95(8.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-9	250	9	-64	0	67%	-0.21	-16.2	12.22%	0	-0.6	37	0

11	Jun_29_2009	42.07	45.09	39.88	37.8	38.48	36.47	37.8(28.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-28	-310	-10	-80	0.01	67%	-0.38	-14.7	12.19%	0	-1	32	0
12	Jun_26_2009	42.23	45.32	40.68	38.64	39.6	37.26	29.4(-24.34%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-43	-340	-27	-90	0.09	60%	-0.57	-11	11.86%	0	-2.3	18	0
13	Jun_25_2009	42.47	45.96	42.89	40.74	41.51	40.49	38.86(-2.61%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-28	-120	-11	-78	0	66%	-0.38	-2	11.51%	0	-1.2	22	0
14	Jun_24_2009	42.63	46.13	44.31	41.29	42.33	41.94	39.9(-7.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-22	10	-6	-69	0	66%	-0.44	1.3	11.54%	0	-1	38	0
15	Jun_23_2009	42.82	46.2	45.83	41.92	42.55	42.52	43.05(2.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-16	40	-3	-55	0	66%	-0.35	0.4	11.51%	0	-0.5	52	0

16	Jun_22_2009	42.97	46.14	47.13	42.34	42.87	42.72	42(5.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-14	10	-5	-40	0	66%	-0.37	8.1	11.52%	0	-0.7	56	0
17	Jun_19_2009	43.13	46.09	48.29	43.18	43.66	42.58	39.9(-4.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-17	-140	-13	-27	0.01	72%	-0.46	-2.9	11.84%	0	-1	54	0
18	Jun_18_2009	43.33	46.08	49.9	45.42	44.8	43.01	41.58(-3.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-17	-320	-21	-4	0	72%	-0.37	-7.1	12.23%	0	-0.7	59	0
19	Jun_17_2009	43.49	46.05	50.84	47.81	47.15	44.74	43.05(-4.65%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-13	-400	-23	18	0	72%	-0.28	-9.2	12.22%	0	-0.5	58	0
20	Jun_16_2009	43.61	46.17	51.11	50.33	49.92	46.59	45.15(-2.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-10	-490	-26	37	0	72%	-0.23	-11.6	12.2%	0	-0.2	63	0

21	Jun_15_2009	43.71	45.66	50.86	52.64	52.55	49.57	46.2(-9.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-5	-400	-25	54	0	72%	-0.16	-28	12.25%	0	0.1	62	0
22	Jun_12_2009	43.78	46.26	50.49	54.11	54.71	53.24	51.11(-4.56%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	7	-150	-15	73	0	72%	0.02	-23.6	12.17%	0	0.6	72	0
23	Jun_11_2009	43.77	46.53	49.44	55.02	55.85	55.53	53.55(-3.77%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	22	10	-1	91	0	72%	-0.02	-19.5	12.15%	0	0.9	78	0
24	Jun_10_2009	43.78	46.63	48.21	54.29	56.11	56.18	55.65(-1.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	34	110	13	98	0	73%	0.11	-24.7	12.13%	0	1.1	76	0
25	Jun_9_2009	43.73	46.91	46.62	51.98	53.78	56.17	56.7(5.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	34	410	19	80	0	73%		-28.8	12.25%	0	1.1	64	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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