Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 28, 2009

Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 24, 2005 - Fri. Jan. 29, 2021)

(Pacific Ethanol, Inc.)
PEIX latest price $40.9500 (2.63%) ($38.0600 - $40.9500) on Thu. May. 28, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   13.06% (three month average)
RSI   47
Latest Price   $40.9500(2.63%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PEIX advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEIX declines -21.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWG(8%)    JNK(8%)    EEM(7%)    EWI(7%)    EWY(7%)
Factors Impacting PEIX price   PEIX will decline at least -6.53% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-12%)    TLT(-6%)    LQD(-3%)    TIP(-1%)    GLD(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -6.53% (StdDev 13.06%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

Resistance Level   $49.83
5 Day Moving Average   $39.96(2.48%)
10 Day Moving Average   $43.35(-5.54%)
20 Day Moving Average   $49.83(-17.82%)
To recent high   -45.8%
To recent low   77.3%
Market Cap   $2.272b

Pacific Ethanol, Inc. engages in the production and marketing of carbon renewable fuel. It operates through the Ethanol Production, and Marketing and Distribution business segments. The Ethanol Production segment includes the production and sale of ethanol and co-products. The Marketing and Distribution segment comprises of the marketing and merchant trading of company-produced ethanol; and co-products and third-party ethanol. The company was founded by William L. Jones and Neil M. Koehler on January 30, 2003 and is headquartered in Sacramento, CA.

$. PEIX price fluctuates within 24.34% (three month std-dev: 13.06%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090628

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_28_2009	44.21	49.83	43.35	39.96	40.23	40.26	40.95(2.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-24	30	1	-98	0	63%	-0.52	-1.5	13.06%	0	-0.7	47	0
2	May_27_2009	44.44	49.88	44.92	39.75	39.85	40.49	39.9(-2.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-28	120	-3	-102	0	63%	-0.63	-1.6	13.16%	0	-0.8	43	0
3	May_26_2009	44.72	49.85	47.21	40.8	40.14	40.2	40.95(2.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-15	-40	10	-90	0	63%	-0.56	-0.6	13.16%	0	-0.7	45	0
4	May_22_2009	44.97	49.76	50.49	39.31	39.75	39.21	39.8(4.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-33	-60	-15	-86	0	63%	-0.11	-4.3	12.9%	0	-0.8	57	0
5	May_21_2009	45.02	49.88	53.02	43.32	38.49	40.08	38.22(-4.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-33	-50	-25	-56	0	63%	-0.18	3.6	13%	0	-0.9	60	0

6	May_20_2009	45.1	50.01	55.12	47.33	43.51	40.29	39.9(-11.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-9	-760	-6	-19	0.01	63%	0.04	11.2	13.09%	0	-0.8	60	0
7	May_19_2009	45.08	50.07	57.63	50.9	47.15	36.89	45.15(34.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-47	-1740	-60	-7	0.03	61%	-0.27	20.5	13%	0	-0.4	62	0
8	May_18_2009	45.2	49.93	59.43	54.68	52.35	46.73	33.49(-44.04%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.7	-61	-880	-89	25	0.06	57%	-0.88	30.8	12.36%	0	-1.3	58	0
9	May_15_2009	45.6	50.3	60.96	63.11	62.38	57.42	59.85(2.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	23	-590	-13	130	0	66%	0.33	54.8	10.97%	0	0.8	72	0
10	May_14_2009	45.45	49.44	58.9	64.16	65.2	57.97	58.28(0.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-3	-730	-47	131	0	66%	-0.37	60.5	11.05%	0	0.7	67	0

11	May_13_2009	45.62	48.65	57.16	64.05	66.9	67.33	57.75(-9.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	15	180	-29	147	0.01	66%	-0.33	63.1	11.14%	0	0.8	68	0
12	May_12_2009	45.77	47.65	55.52	65.28	67.93	72.42	64.05(-15.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	76	580	35	198	0.03	66%	-0.5	68.5	11.06%	0	1.4	72	0
13	May_11_2009	46	46.34	52.86	64.86	65.39	66.46	75.6(16.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	86	140	44	211	0.01	69%	-0.37	75.7	10.86%	0	2.6	75	0
14	May_8_2009	46.17	44.41	48.84	58.56	61.71	63.45	65.1(12.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	66	360	32	166	0.01	67%	-0.09	71.9	10.56%	0	2.2	74	0
15	May_7_2009	46.21	43.1	46.2	52.9	56.17	64.31	57.75(-9.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	71	1200	53	125	0.01	66%	-0.15	62.7	10.53%	0	1.8	64	0

16	May_6_2009	46.28	42.08	44.19	49.12	49.75	59.98	63.92(3.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	99	1480	96	107	0.02	66%	-0.09	55.4	10.53%	0	3	68	0
17	May_5_2009	46.32	40.67	41.48	44.32	43.22	48.04	61.95(40.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	3.3	75	710	78	64	0.04	66%	0	51	10.53%	0	4	72	0
18	May_4_2009	46.32	39.08	39.13	39.28	38.69	39.51	44.1(19.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	14	100	18	1	0.01	59%	-0.39	39.8	9.21%	0	1.9	59	0
19	May_1_2009	46.5	38.56	38.46	37.81	37.74	38.4	36.78(-5.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-6	120	0	-24	0	55%	-0.47	24.3	8.76%	0	-0.7	47	0
20	Apr_30_2009	46.72	38.57	39.06	38.43	37.48	37.88	38.85(-2.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	1	0	5	-13	0	55%	-0.53	25.9	8.8%	0	0.1	48	0

21	Apr_29_2009	46.97	38.38	39.44	38.33	37.61	37.09	39.9(8.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-3	-150	-1	-10	0	55%	-0.51	8.4	8.8%	0	0.5	54	0
22	Apr_28_2009	47.21	38.13	39.25	38.12	38.2	37.08	36.75(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-14	-200	-13	-17	0	55%	-0.59	-13.5	8.74%	0	-0.5	51	0
23	Apr_27_2009	47.49	38.05	39.49	38.96	38.69	38.13	36.75(-7.89%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.7	-7	-120	-10	3	0	55%	-0.52	-25.5	8.76%	0	-0.4	63	0
24	Apr_24_2009	47.74	37.92	39.84	39.17	39.21	39.31	39.9(4.1%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	2	20	-4	18	0	55%	-0.4	-45.9	8.67%	0	0.6	64	0
25	Apr_23_2009	47.93	37.9	39.93	39.8	39.46	39.25	38.33(-1.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	3	-60	-7	31	0	55%		-42.6	8.73%	0	0.1	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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