Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Apr. 8, 2009

Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 24, 2005 - Fri. Jan. 29, 2021)

(Pacific Ethanol, Inc.)
PEIX latest price $38.8500 (2.78%) ($34.7000 - $39.9000) on Wed. Apr. 8, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   8.94% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $38.8500(2.78%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PEIX advances 2.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEIX declines -12.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JNK(9%)    EEM(7%)    EWG(7%)    EWI(7%)    EWY(7%)
Factors Impacting PEIX price   PEIX will decline at least -4.47% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-10%)    TLT(-5%)    TIP(-1%)    LQD(-1%)    GLD(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.47% (StdDev 8.94%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $35.74(8.7%)
10 Day Moving Average   $35.62(9.07%)
20 Day Moving Average   $37.37(3.96%)
To recent high   -38.3%
To recent low   68.2%
Market Cap   $2.156b

Pacific Ethanol, Inc. engages in the production and marketing of carbon renewable fuel. It operates through the Ethanol Production, and Marketing and Distribution business segments. The Ethanol Production segment includes the production and sale of ethanol and co-products. The Marketing and Distribution segment comprises of the marketing and merchant trading of company-produced ethanol; and co-products and third-party ethanol. The company was founded by William L. Jones and Neil M. Koehler on January 30, 2003 and is headquartered in Sacramento, CA.

$. PEIX price fluctuates within 15.81% (three month std-dev: 8.94%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090508

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_8_2009	50.11	37.37	35.62	35.74	35.18	37.22	38.85(2.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	1	360	25	-71	0	51%	-0.61	34.5	8.94%	0	0.3	50	0
2	Apr_7_2009	50.42	36.98	36.02	34.9	34.2	34.38	37.8(19.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-8	-20	13	-69	0.01	51%	-0.75	33.3	8.93%	0	0.1	61	0
3	Apr_6_2009	50.8	36.64	36.84	34.27	33.57	33.15	31.71(-5.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-26	-150	-12	-68	0	45%	-0.9	34.4	8.58%	0	-0.8	54	0
4	Apr_3_2009	51.26	36.45	38.45	34.27	34.41	34.01	33.6(-8.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-9	-120	-1	-34	0	52%	-1.21	32.3	9.08%	0	-0.4	56	0
5	Apr_2_2009	51.89	36.06	40.08	34.86	34.67	33.99	36.75(6.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-11	-150	-11	-9	0.01	52%	-0.75	22.7	9.09%	0	0.1	64	0

6	Apr_1_2009	52.28	35.44	40.54	35.49	35.31	34.82	34.65(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-14	-110	-21	8	0	52%	-0.95	16.2	9.1%	0	-0.1	62	0
7	Mar_31_2009	52.78	35.07	40.48	37.38	37.48	35.34	34.65(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-12	-390	-25	29	0	57%	-1.2	15.7	9.17%	0	-0.1	62	0
8	Mar_30_2009	53.42	34.55	40.47	39.9	40.21	35.81	34.65(3.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-19	-740	-42	52	0	49%	-1.51	15.1	9.6%	0	0	63	0
9	Mar_27_2009	54.24	34.36	40.51	42.63	43.1	39.61	33.6(-15.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-11	-530	-43	86	0	45%	-1.26	19.9	10.76%	0	-0.1	68	0
10	Mar_26_2009	54.93	34.46	40.37	45.99	45.47	44.61	39.9(-9.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	30	-170	-12	154	0	48%	-1.44	29.1	10.67%	0	0.7	79	0

11	Mar_25_2009	55.73	34.25	39.52	46.2	46.33	46.58	44.1(-6.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	62	50	18	195	0	48%	-1.87	28.4	10.61%	0	1.2	86	0
12	Mar_24_2009	56.79	33.85	38.18	43.89	43.71	46.34	47.25(-2.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	65	410	24	187	0	48%	-1.05	15.6	10.66%	0	1.7	79	0
13	Mar_23_2009	57.39	33.37	36.46	41.06	40.1	46.07	48.3(-4.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	83	970	48	189	0	45%	-0.83	0.8	10.66%	0	2	83	0
14	Mar_20_2009	57.87	32.83	34.21	38.12	36.66	41.08	50.4(23.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	87	730	63	158	0.01	45%	-0.72	-18	10.78%	0	2.6	69	0
15	Mar_19_2009	58.29	32.26	31.48	34.13	33.38	34.13	40.95(25.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	40	90	26	81	0.01	48%	-0.83	-43.6	10.43%	0	1.5	56	0

16	Mar_18_2009	58.78	32.12	29.66	32.03	32	32.24	32.55(-1.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	7	50	2	22	0	43%	-0.76	-55.9	10.9%	0	0.1	46	0
17	Mar_17_2009	59.23	32.68	29.02	31.61	31.34	32.63	33.08(-1.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	7	260	9	1	0	43%	-0.6	-54.9	10.92%	0	0.1	45	0
18	Mar_16_2009	59.59	33.31	28.03	31.08	30.78	31.76	33.6(10.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	7	190	19	-28	0	43%	-0.73	-57.4	10.92%	0	0	43	0
19	Mar_13_2009	60.03	34.11	27.62	29.61	29.86	30.06	30.45(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-6	70	12	-61	0	43%	-0.86	-55.8	10.81%	0	-0.5	39	0
20	Mar_12_2009	60.55	35.05	28.02	28.35	28.75	29.8	30.45(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-9	300	14	-79	0	43%	-0.93	-56.2	10.9%	0	-0.5	37	0

21	Mar_11_2009	61.12	36.02	28.54	26.88	27.44	29.67	30.45(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-9	630	19	-91	0	43%	-1.05	-58.2	10.94%	0	-0.6	40	0
22	Mar_10_2009	61.77	36.98	29.16	26.04	26.12	27.69	30.45(16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-8	430	24	-103	0	43%	-1.17	-61.4	10.99%	0	-0.7	36	0
23	Mar_9_2009	62.5	37.96	29.99	24.57	25.39	25.2	26.25(8.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-35	50	-3	-132	0	39%	-1.28	-65.9	10.77%	0	-1.2	26	0
24	Mar_6_2009	63.31	39.31	31.31	25.41	25.26	24.54	24.15(4.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-59	-220	-29	-148	0	39%	-1.22	-66	10.63%	0	-1.5	19	0
25	Mar_5_2009	64.09	40.76	33.09	27.72	28.15	25.57	23.1(-12%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-55	-600	-27	-138	0	39%		-66.7	10.69%	0	-1.8	18	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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