Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Mar. 23, 2009

Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 24, 2005 - Fri. Jan. 29, 2021)

(Pacific Ethanol, Inc.)
PEIX latest price $48.3000 (-4.17%) ($44.1000 - $48.3000) on Mon. Mar. 23, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   10.66% (three month average)
RSI   83
Latest Price   $48.3000(-4.17%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PEIX advances 7.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEIX advances 30.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JNK(9%)    EWG(7%)    EWI(7%)    EWY(7%)    EEM(6%)
Factors Impacting PEIX price   PEIX will decline at least -5.33% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-10%)    TLT(-5%)    LQD(-2%)    TIP(-1%)    GLD(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -5.33% (StdDev 10.66%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 9.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $41.06(17.63%)
10 Day Moving Average   $36.46(32.47%)
20 Day Moving Average   $33.37(44.74%)
To recent high   -35.2%
To recent low   109.1%
Market Cap   $2.68b

Pacific Ethanol, Inc. engages in the production and marketing of carbon renewable fuel. It operates through the Ethanol Production, and Marketing and Distribution business segments. The Ethanol Production segment includes the production and sale of ethanol and co-products. The Marketing and Distribution segment comprises of the marketing and merchant trading of company-produced ethanol; and co-products and third-party ethanol. The company was founded by William L. Jones and Neil M. Koehler on January 30, 2003 and is headquartered in Sacramento, CA.

$. PEIX price fluctuates within 22% (three month std-dev: 10.66%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090423

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_23_2009	57.39	33.37	36.46	41.06	40.1	46.07	48.3(-4.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	83	970	48	189	0	45%	-0.83	0.8	10.66%	0	2	83	0
2	Mar_20_2009	57.87	32.83	34.21	38.12	36.66	41.08	50.4(23.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	87	730	63	158	0.01	45%	-0.72	-18	10.78%	0	2.6	69	0
3	Mar_19_2009	58.29	32.26	31.48	34.13	33.38	34.13	40.95(25.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	40	90	26	81	0.01	48%	-0.83	-43.6	10.43%	0	1.5	56	0
4	Mar_18_2009	58.78	32.12	29.66	32.03	32	32.24	32.55(-1.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	7	50	2	22	0	43%	-0.76	-55.9	10.9%	0	0.1	46	0
5	Mar_17_2009	59.23	32.68	29.02	31.61	31.34	32.63	33.08(-1.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	7	260	9	1	0	43%	-0.6	-54.9	10.92%	0	0.1	45	0

6	Mar_16_2009	59.59	33.31	28.03	31.08	30.78	31.76	33.6(10.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	7	190	19	-28	0	43%	-0.73	-57.4	10.92%	0	0	43	0
7	Mar_13_2009	60.03	34.11	27.62	29.61	29.86	30.06	30.45(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-6	70	12	-61	0	43%	-0.86	-55.8	10.81%	0	-0.5	39	0
8	Mar_12_2009	60.55	35.05	28.02	28.35	28.75	29.8	30.45(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-9	300	14	-79	0	43%	-0.93	-56.2	10.9%	0	-0.5	37	0
9	Mar_11_2009	61.12	36.02	28.54	26.88	27.44	29.67	30.45(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-9	630	19	-91	0	43%	-1.05	-58.2	10.94%	0	-0.6	40	0
10	Mar_10_2009	61.77	36.98	29.16	26.04	26.12	27.69	30.45(16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-8	430	24	-103	0	43%	-1.17	-61.4	10.99%	0	-0.7	36	0

11	Mar_9_2009	62.5	37.96	29.99	24.57	25.39	25.2	26.25(8.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-35	50	-3	-132	0	39%	-1.28	-65.9	10.77%	0	-1.2	26	0
12	Mar_6_2009	63.31	39.31	31.31	25.41	25.26	24.54	24.15(4.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-59	-220	-29	-148	0	39%	-1.22	-66	10.63%	0	-1.5	19	0
13	Mar_5_2009	64.09	40.76	33.09	27.72	28.15	25.57	23.1(-12%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-55	-600	-27	-138	0	39%	-1.07	-66.7	10.69%	0	-1.8	18	0
14	Mar_4_2009	64.78	42.37	34.83	30.45	31.11	25.99	26.25(13.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-67	-1090	-44	-137	0.01	41%	-1.01	-66.7	10.63%	0	-1.8	20	0
15	Mar_3_2009	65.44	44.01	36.73	32.76	34.01	30.73	23.1(-24.14%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-73	-560	-53	-131	0.01	37%	-1.4	-62.2	10.46%	0	-2.4	11	0

16	Mar_2_2009	66.37	45.8	39.21	36.12	37.19	36.23	30.45(-14.71%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-39	-90	-18	-101	0	42%	-1.09	-61.1	10.03%	0	-2	14	0
17	Feb_27_2009	67.1	47.19	41.3	38.01	37.98	37.3	35.7(-2.86%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-32	-130	-14	-87	0	40%	-0.83	-57.7	10.21%	0	-1.6	15	0
18	Feb_26_2009	67.66	48.36	42.76	39.27	39.09	38.15	36.75(-2.78%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-25	-180	-8	-77	0	40%	-0.98	-51.2	10.29%	0	-1.6	20	0
19	Feb_25_2009	68.33	49.41	44.17	39.9	40	38.67	37.8(-5.26%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-33	-230	-17	-79	0	40%	-1.03	-50.6	10.41%	0	-1.7	19	0
20	Feb_24_2009	69.04	50.29	45.45	41.37	41.28	40.03	39.9(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-33	-220	-18	-79	0	40%	-1.27	-47	10.39%	0	-1.7	18	0

21	Feb_23_2009	69.93	51.12	46.53	42.84	43.21	41.33	39.9(-5%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-35	-280	-21	-78	0	40%	-1.38	-43.2	10.42%	0	-1.9	21	0
22	Feb_20_2009	70.91	51.81	47.91	45.15	44.99	42.53	42(5.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-37	-390	-26	-71	0	37%	-1.49	-36	10.42%	0	-1.9	22	0
23	Feb_19_2009	71.98	52.3	48.99	46.83	47.25	45.08	39.9(-11.65%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.5	-34	-290	-24	-65	0	37%	-1.55	-33.7	10.65%	0	-2.6	14	0
24	Feb_18_2009	73.11	53.09	50.52	49.04	48.97	47.45	45.16(-4.42%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-25	-220	-16	-53	0	39%	-1.42	-28.6	10.57%	0	-2.1	24	0
25	Feb_17_2009	74.16	53.42	51.87	50.09	50.09	49.42	47.25(-8.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-17	-90	-9	-41	0	39%		-22.5	10.58%	0	-1.9	36	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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