Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Dec. 18, 2008

Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 24, 2005 - Fri. Jan. 29, 2021)

(Pacific Ethanol, Inc.)
PEIX latest price $68.2500 (4.84%) ($63.0000 - $71.4000) on Thu. Dec. 18, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   13.21% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $68.2500(4.84%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PEIX advances 3.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEIX advances 3.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JNK(13%)    EWY(10%)    EEM(9%)    IWM(9%)    VWO(9%)
Factors Impacting PEIX price   PEIX will decline at least -6.605% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-10%)    TLT(-7%)    TIP(-2%)    LQD(-2%)    GLD(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -6.605% (StdDev 13.21%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $64.89(5.18%)
10 Day Moving Average   $63.32(7.79%)
20 Day Moving Average   $61.81(10.42%)
To recent high   -68.8%
To recent low   27.5%
Market Cap   $3.787b

Pacific Ethanol, Inc. engages in the production and marketing of carbon renewable fuel. It operates through the Ethanol Production, and Marketing and Distribution business segments. The Ethanol Production segment includes the production and sale of ethanol and co-products. The Marketing and Distribution segment comprises of the marketing and merchant trading of company-produced ethanol; and co-products and third-party ethanol. The company was founded by William L. Jones and Neil M. Koehler on January 30, 2003 and is headquartered in Sacramento, CA.

$. PEIX price fluctuates within 7.18% (three month std-dev: 13.21%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 1.09%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -1.13%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.49%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_18_2008	131.28	61.81	63.32	64.89	63.8	65.76	68.25(4.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	18	160	16	24	0.01	50%	-1	-48.6	13.21%	0	1.5	49	NAN
2	Dec_17_2008	132.6	61.6	62.27	62.79	62.02	63.94	65.1(-3.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	10	180	11	6	0	49%	-0.99	-73	13.22%	0	0.8	49	NAN
3	Dec_16_2008	133.93	61.75	61.63	62.37	61.09	61.83	67.2(8.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	8	20	9	3	0	49%	-0.91	-83.9	13.29%	0	1.2	58	NAN
4	Dec_15_2008	135.16	61.97	60.94	61.53	60.95	60.11	61.95(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-4	-120	-4	-5	0	48%	-0.98	-96.3	13.27%	0	-0	56	NAN
5	Dec_12_2008	136.5	62.63	60.26	61.74	61.94	60.35	61.95(7.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-7	-170	-7	-7	0	48%	-0.96	-104.6	13.31%	0	-0.1	59	NAN

6	Dec_11_2008	137.82	64.05	60.97	61.74	62.69	61.79	57.75(-8.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-4	-40	-6	3	0	50%	-1.11	-73.9	13.31%	0	-0.7	59	NAN
7	Dec_10_2008	139.36	64.87	61.99	61.53	62.38	63.53	63(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	5	170	3	9	0	49%	-1	-89.9	13.34%	0	-0.2	51	NAN
8	Dec_9_2008	140.77	65.79	61.78	60.69	61.91	63.59	63(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	10	250	12	4	0.01	47%	-1.14	-106.7	13.36%	0	-0.3	48	NAN
9	Dec_8_2008	142.39	67.28	61.47	60.27	60.86	61.23	63(3.45%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.2	7	70	11	-7	0	47%	-1.19	-94.3	13.44%	0	-0.4	45	NAN
10	Dec_5_2008	144.1	69.59	60.87	58.59	59.58	60.23	60.9(5.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-14	130	-7	-33	0	47%	-0.96	-71.6	13.43%	0	-0.6	41	NAN

11	Dec_4_2008	145.49	71.43	60.21	60.48	60.04	60.49	57.75(-1.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-16	30	-5	-49	0	47%	-0.85	-63.5	13.44%	0	-0.8	32	NAN
12	Dec_3_2008	146.74	74.22	60.93	62.58	62.54	58.93	58.8(-3.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-17	-410	-6	-48	0	47%	-0.72	-49.2	13.45%	0	-0.8	46	NAN
13	Dec_2_2008	147.81	78.31	61.92	63	63.59	59.59	60.9(11.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-35	-410	-26	-62	0	47%	-0.69	-28.1	13.44%	0	-0.7	43	NAN
14	Dec_1_2008	148.83	80.48	63.08	62.79	64.44	66.15	54.6(-22.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-20	260	-5	-65	0	47%	-0.81	-22.6	13.35%	0	-1.1	35	NAN
15	Nov_28_2008	150.05	82.57	65.25	63.21	63.85	67.59	70.35(3.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	10	440	35	-65	0	49%	-0.75	-19.9	13.08%	0	-0.5	35	NAN

16	Nov_26_2008	151.19	83.61	67.23	59.85	60.31	62.74	68.25(12.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-11	310	14	-85	0.01	49%	-0.62	-22.7	12.98%	0	-0.7	41	NAN
17	Nov_25_2008	152.13	84.68	67.78	59.22	59.38	60.11	60.9(1.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-28	90	-0	-110	0	49%	-0.63	-23.3	12.89%	0	-1.1	33	NAN
18	Nov_24_2008	153.09	85.62	69.93	60.9	61.42	57.88	59.85(5.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-47	-380	-18	-134	0	49%	-0.62	-25	12.89%	0	-1.2	28	NAN
19	Nov_21_2008	154.04	86.29	73.38	63.63	64.83	58.65	56.7(5.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-68	-610	-44	-140	0	49%	-0.63	-28.8	12.87%	0	-1.4	42	NAN
20	Nov_20_2008	155.02	87.47	78.88	67.62	69.16	64.95	53.55(-17.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-71	-360	-53	-125	0	49%	-0.64	-31.1	12.84%	0	-1.7	44	NAN

21	Nov_19_2008	156.02	89.07	83.62	75.6	74.49	71.01	65.1(-6.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-40	-370	-22	-92	0	51%	-0.65	-27.3	12.68%	0	-1.3	48	NAN
22	Nov_18_2008	157.04	90.23	88.68	77.49	78.36	73.37	69.3(-5.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-40	-410	-27	-78	0	51%	-0.77	-27.1	12.67%	0	-1.2	50	NAN
23	Nov_17_2008	158.26	91.49	96.03	80.22	79.61	77.98	73.5(-4.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-40	-170	-37	-47	0	51%	-0.86	-23.8	12.66%	0	-1	56	NAN
24	Nov_14_2008	159.64	92.91	99.38	84.63	82.7	83.36	76.65(-17.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-19	-10	-20	-14	0	51%	-0.83	-20.7	12.66%	0	-0.9	60	NAN
25	Nov_13_2008	160.98	94.31	101.51	91.98	89.51	81.24	93.45(25.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-14	-730	-23	13	0	53%		-8.9	12.47%	0	-0.1	61	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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