Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Sep. 11, 2008

Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 24, 2005 - Fri. Jan. 29, 2021)

(Pacific Ethanol, Inc.)
PEIX latest price $162.2300 (9.58%) ($148.0500 - $166.9500) on Thu. Sep. 11, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.51% (three month average)
RSI   29
Latest Price   $162.2300(9.58%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PEIX declines -4.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEIX declines -11% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PCY(19%)    EEM(15%)    EWY(15%)    IWM(15%)    VWO(15%)
Factors Impacting PEIX price   PEIX will decline at least -3.255% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-9%)    LQD(-9%)    TLT(-8%)    TIP(-2%)    GLD(3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.255% (StdDev 6.51%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 8%

Resistance Level   $201.95
5 Day Moving Average   $167.48(-3.13%)
10 Day Moving Average   $187.83(-13.63%)
20 Day Moving Average   $201.95(-19.67%)
To recent high   -44.4%
To recent low   9.6%
Market Cap   $9.001b

Pacific Ethanol, Inc. engages in the production and marketing of carbon renewable fuel. It operates through the Ethanol Production, and Marketing and Distribution business segments. The Ethanol Production segment includes the production and sale of ethanol and co-products. The Marketing and Distribution segment comprises of the marketing and merchant trading of company-produced ethanol; and co-products and third-party ethanol. The company was founded by William L. Jones and Neil M. Koehler on January 30, 2003 and is headquartered in Sacramento, CA.

$. PEIX price fluctuates within 11.33% (three month std-dev: 6.51%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 2.78%(50%) Average negative next day return: -2.64%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 10.9%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -6.47%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 6.18%(83%) Average negative next weekly return: -15.2%(17%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_11_2008	263.49	201.95	187.83	167.48	168.82	156.78	162.23(9.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-118	-480	-109	-145	0.01	40%	-0.66	-63.4	6.51%	0	-1.7	29	0
2	Sep_10_2008	265.25	205.39	192.82	175.35	178.56	163.28	148.05(-7.24%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-205	-540	-216	-171	0.01	36%	-0.77	-53.4	6.41%	0	-2.7	21	0
3	Sep_9_2008	267.31	209.23	199.04	187.74	191.1	180.85	159.6(-12.64%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.7	-158	-320	-168	-128	0.01	38%	-0.83	-46.7	6.37%	0	-2.9	22	0
4	Sep_8_2008	269.56	212.28	204.94	198.66	201.4	193.85	182.7(-1.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-95	-220	-99	-81	0.01	42%	-0.75	-37.3	6.2%	0	-2.4	25	0
5	Sep_5_2008	271.59	215.57	207.8	205.38	207.18	201.34	184.8(-8.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-87	-170	-93	-70	0.01	42%	-0.72	-5.6	6.2%	0	-2.4	25	0

6	Sep_4_2008	273.57	217.57	210.96	211.05	211.9	208.95	201.6(-4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-43	-90	-43	-43	0	45%	-0.65	19.3	6.14%	0	-1.5	32	0
7	Sep_3_2008	275.37	217.56	211.93	212.94	213.41	213.02	210(-1.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-17	-10	-11	-33	0.01	45%	-0.6	23.1	6.14%	0	-0.7	35	0
8	Sep_2_2008	277.03	217.46	212.82	212.1	212.82	214.86	214.2(-0.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	6	80	16	-25	0	45%	-1.17	24.7	6.16%	0	-0.3	47	0
9	Aug_29_2008	280.32	216.98	214.02	212.31	211.12	213.81	216.3(1.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	21	70	33	-14	0.01	45%	-0.8	29.4	6.12%	0	-0.1	52	0
10	Aug_28_2008	282.59	216.28	215.21	210.84	209.87	210.79	213.15(1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	8	20	20	-30	0	41%	-0.83	26.5	6.12%	0	-0.3	33	0

11	Aug_27_2008	284.95	215.56	216.68	211.05	209.74	208.43	211.05(2.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-15	-60	-7	-37	0	41%	-0.84	27.9	6.3%	0	-0.3	48	0
12	Aug_26_2008	287.37	215.1	218.42	210.84	210.46	208.95	205.8(-4.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-32	-60	-31	-36	0	41%	-0.88	23.1	6.28%	0	-0.7	57	0
13	Aug_25_2008	289.91	214.77	219.94	213.57	212.69	211.05	215.25(3.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-26	-70	-27	-23	0.01	41%	-0.88	25.3	6.31%	0	0	57	0
14	Aug_22_2008	292.49	213.59	220.05	216.09	216.1	211.97	208.95(-2.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-40	-130	-47	-20	0	35%	-0.86	18.9	6.69%	0	-0.3	56	0
15	Aug_21_2008	295.03	213.02	223.89	220.29	221.42	214.33	214.2(2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-54	-210	-71	-3	0.01	35%	-0.86	15.3	6.72%	0	0.1	59	0

16	Aug_20_2008	297.6	212.02	224.78	223.23	226.67	220.24	210(-4.31%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.9	-57	-150	-80	11	0.01	39%	-0.91	19	6.71%	0	-0.1	59	0
17	Aug_19_2008	300.33	212.03	223.97	223.23	229.56	228.51	219.45(-3.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-20	0	-39	37	0.01	56%	-0.81	34.6	6.84%	0	0.5	61	0
18	Aug_18_2008	302.78	211.19	222.84	227.01	230.87	233.1	227.85(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	32	120	26	49	0.01	56%	-0.93	46.1	10.26%	0	1.1	66	0
19	Aug_15_2008	305.62	210.81	220.45	224.49	226.87	230.61	229.95(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	150	21	48	0.01	56%	-0.79	59.8	10.26%	0	1.2	69	0
20	Aug_14_2008	308.05	210.68	217.58	228.27	221.88	228.64	228.9(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	30	130	21	57	0.01	56%	-0.81	87.7	10.27%	0	1.2	65	0

21	Aug_13_2008	310.55	209.11	214.38	226.8	224.37	223.13	228.9(4.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	58	-70	54	71	0.01	56%	-0.81	93.1	10.27%	0	1.2	66	0
22	Aug_12_2008	313.09	206.78	211.4	220.5	221.29	215.12	219.45(1.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-24	-180	-39	21	0.01	56%	-0.96	78.2	10.26%	0	0.7	54	0
23	Aug_11_2008	316.11	204.19	209.12	217.77	218.01	225.62	215.25(-13.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	8	250	0	32	0.03	56%	-0.32	68.2	10.25%	0	0.6	56	0
24	Aug_8_2008	317.14	201.67	206.61	215.25	215.71	227.46	248.85(12.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	107	390	120	67	0.02	60%	-0.72	64.3	10.12%	0	2.3	56	0
25	Aug_7_2008	319.45	197.85	200.84	205.59	206.85	210.39	221.55(12.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	44	140	53	15	0.03	58%		61.7	10%	0	1.3	44	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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