Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jul. 22, 2008

Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 24, 2005 - Fri. Jan. 29, 2021)

(Pacific Ethanol, Inc.)
PEIX latest price $202.6500 (-9.39%) ($194.2500 - $219.4500) on Tue. Jul. 22, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   10.37% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $202.6500(-9.39%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PEIX advances 3.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEIX advances 15.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PCY(19%)    EEM(15%)    EWY(15%)    IWM(15%)    VWO(15%)
Factors Impacting PEIX price   PEIX will decline at least -5.185% in a week (0% probabilities).
LQD(-10%)    SHY(-9%)    TLT(-8%)    TIP(-2%)    GLD(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -5.185% (StdDev 10.37%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -4.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $207.69(-2.43%)
10 Day Moving Average   $188.76(7.36%)
20 Day Moving Average   $184.01(10.13%)
To recent high   -65.8%
To recent low   33.1%
Market Cap   $11.244b

Pacific Ethanol, Inc. engages in the production and marketing of carbon renewable fuel. It operates through the Ethanol Production, and Marketing and Distribution business segments. The Ethanol Production segment includes the production and sale of ethanol and co-products. The Marketing and Distribution segment comprises of the marketing and merchant trading of company-produced ethanol; and co-products and third-party ethanol. The company was founded by William L. Jones and Neil M. Koehler on January 30, 2003 and is headquartered in Sacramento, CA.

$. PEIX price fluctuates within 12.9% (three month std-dev: 10.37%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080822

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_22_2008	355.23	184.01	188.76	207.69	213.68	219.06	202.65(-9.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	22	260	-1	91	0.02	56%	-0.88	-19.5	10.37%	0	0.8	64	0
2	Jul_21_2008	358.37	184.42	184.74	200.13	205.08	225.88	223.65(-3.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	142	780	147	127	0.02	56%	-0.83	-33.7	10.35%	0	1.6	59	0
3	Jul_18_2008	361.38	184.5	177.89	187.74	188.02	208.29	232.05(16.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	148	760	166	94	0.03	56%	-0.92	-46.1	10.34%	0	1.9	53	0
4	Jul_17_2008	364.74	183.79	169.68	176.4	175.22	184.28	198.45(9.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	90	340	109	33	0.01	52%	-1.07	-61.3	10.11%	0	0.6	44	0
5	Jul_16_2008	368.67	185.15	164.87	170.1	175.22	167.74	181.65(10.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	-0	-60	11	-34	0.01	52%	-1.12	-71.1	10.03%	0	-0.1	41	0

6	Jul_15_2008	372.84	188.77	163.07	167.37	168.59	166.16	164.85(1.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-33	-80	-23	-62	0.01	49%	-1.2	-69	9.94%	0	-0.8	39	0
7	Jul_14_2008	377.37	193.05	165.3	166.74	171.02	169.44	161.7(-7.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-16	10	0	-62	0.01	49%	-1.11	-72.7	9.95%	0	-0.9	31	0
8	Jul_11_2008	381.62	197.04	169.73	165.9	168.66	171.02	175.35(5.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-15	150	3	-68	0.01	49%	-1.16	-81.3	9.94%	0	-0.6	30	0
9	Jul_10_2008	386.11	200.59	172.74	161.7	166.82	172.59	166.95(-0.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	21	340	48	-61	0.01	49%	-1.2	-90.2	9.92%	0	-0.9	29	0
10	Jul_9_2008	390.79	206.57	176.29	158.76	162.62	166.29	168(3.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	7	230	35	-77	0.04	49%	-1.2	-87.1	9.92%	0	-1	29	0

11	Jul_8_2008	395.55	213.37	178.87	158.34	159.86	161.04	161.7(2.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-35	80	-10	-111	0.01	49%	-0.61	-82.2	9.9%	0	-1.2	21	0
12	Jul_7_2008	397.96	221.21	184.19	164.01	164.26	158.94	157.5(2.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-61	-220	-40	-123	0.01	49%	-1.7	-76.7	9.88%	0	-1.3	22	0
13	Jul_3_2008	404.83	229.65	191.81	174.51	173.97	158.68	154.35(1.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-117	-620	-110	-138	0.01	49%	-1.23	-67.3	9.81%	0	-1.4	26	0
14	Jul_2_2008	409.86	238.83	199.29	185.64	187.75	169.58	152.25(-8.23%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-144	-640	-145	-141	0.02	49%	-1.12	-65.6	9.81%	0	-1.6	24	0
15	Jul_1_2008	414.49	247.86	207.54	196.14	198.91	189.26	165.9(-12.71%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-112	-300	-108	-124	0.02	49%	-1.12	-65.7	9.77%	0	-1.5	21	0

16	Jun_30_2008	419.2	256.88	217.09	201.81	204.29	205.93	190.05(-9.5%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-39	90	-21	-91	0.02	50%	-1.03	-69	9.66%	0	-1.2	22	0
17	Jun_27_2008	423.56	265.31	223.48	207.06	204.95	208.56	210(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-11	90	13	-84	0.06	52%	-1.01	-70.4	9.67%	0	-1	23	0
18	Jun_26_2008	427.89	273.2	226.74	212.1	208.92	202.65	210(2.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-37	-260	-14	-105	0.01	52%	-1.06	-77.2	9.67%	0	-1.1	22	0
19	Jun_25_2008	432.47	280.98	230.63	215.67	214.43	201.34	204.75(5.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-113	-440	-100	-152	0.02	50%	-1.07	-86.6	9.66%	0	-1.3	19	0
20	Jun_24_2008	437.14	289.57	239.07	221.13	221.78	215.19	194.25(-10.19%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-121	-200	-110	-155	0.02	53%	-1.03	-90.4	9.66%	0	-1.5	18	0

21	Jun_23_2008	441.69	301.33	250.5	234.57	232.67	227.52	216.3(-8.04%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-59	-180	-39	-117	0.02	55%	-0.89	-97.8	9.68%	0	-1.4	19	0
22	Jun_20_2008	445.66	312.27	260.93	242.13	241.89	228.38	235.2(3.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-81	-390	-66	-125	0.03	55%	-0.91	-87.6	9.71%	0	-1.2	19	0
23	Jun_19_2008	449.76	326.98	270.05	243.6	247.01	237.83	227.85(-1.81%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-119	-220	-110	-146	0.02	52%	-0.95	-64.1	9.72%	0	-1.3	15	0
24	Jun_18_2008	454.09	343.92	281.15	247.8	252.07	255.41	232.05(-11.24%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-49	140	-28	-111	0.02	55%	-0.79	-45.7	9.83%	0	-1.2	17	0
25	Jun_17_2008	457.69	361.38	291.27	259.77	256.76	256.2	261.45(2.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-22	-50	2	-93	0.03	56%		-29.7	9.94%	0	-1	19	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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