Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Mar. 28, 2008

Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 24, 2005 - Fri. Jan. 29, 2021)

(Pacific Ethanol, Inc.)
PEIX latest price $509.2500 (8.26%) ($447.3000 - $509.2500) on Fri. Mar. 28, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.11% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $509.2500(8.26%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PEIX advances 1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEIX declines -2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PCY(18%)    EEM(15%)    EWY(15%)    IWM(15%)    VWO(15%)
Factors Impacting PEIX price   PEIX will decline at least -3.055% in a week (0% probabilities).
LQD(-9%)    TLT(-7%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-2%)    GLD(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.055% (StdDev 6.11%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 5.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $490.98(3.72%)
10 Day Moving Average   $485.46(4.9%)
20 Day Moving Average   $493.37(3.22%)
To recent high   -45.2%
To recent low   14.1%
Market Cap   $28.255b

Pacific Ethanol, Inc. engages in the production and marketing of carbon renewable fuel. It operates through the Ethanol Production, and Marketing and Distribution business segments. The Ethanol Production segment includes the production and sale of ethanol and co-products. The Marketing and Distribution segment comprises of the marketing and merchant trading of company-produced ethanol; and co-products and third-party ethanol. The company was founded by William L. Jones and Neil M. Koehler on January 30, 2003 and is headquartered in Sacramento, CA.

$. PEIX price fluctuates within 6.12% (three month std-dev: 6.11%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080428

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_28_2008	632.35	493.37	485.46	490.98	484.51	478.67	509.25(8.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	13	-120	21	-11	0.01	47%	-0.52	-68.5	6.11%	0	0.5	56	0
2	Mar_27_2008	635.63	495.5	489.85	484.05	487.53	474.86	470.4(-1.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-178	-160	-207	-90	0.01	44%	-0.59	-74.4	6%	0	-0.8	56	0
3	Mar_26_2008	639.43	500.86	497.4	480.9	503.48	490.35	475.65(-1.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-59	-40	-69	-30	0	44%	-0.59	-72.9	6%	0	-0.7	50	0
4	Mar_25_2008	643.24	506.27	498.57	489.72	499.6	500.19	480.9(-7.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-112	70	-134	-45	0.01	44%	-0.59	-65.7	6%	0	-0.6	53	0
5	Mar_24_2008	647.05	512.3	499.92	483.63	499.93	516.6	518.7(9.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	160	330	189	74	0	46%	-0.74	-62.8	5.99%	0	0.1	53	0

6	Mar_20_2008	651.89	514.93	495.45	479.64	492.12	499.01	474.6(4.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	103	180	125	35	0.01	42%	-0.59	-61.9	5.8%	0	-0.8	48	0
7	Mar_19_2008	655.73	521.69	493.36	497.49	491.86	483.26	454.65(-12.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-121	-160	-138	-71	0.01	49%	-0.57	-53.2	5.76%	0	-1.2	42	0
8	Mar_18_2008	659.47	530.12	498.37	516.39	512.6	485.23	519.75(15.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-123	-400	-142	-66	0	56%	-0.48	-42.5	6.08%	0	-0.2	45	0
9	Mar_17_2008	662.63	535.38	494.48	509.04	516.93	500.46	450.45(-9.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-321	-180	-366	-184	0.01	51%	-0.54	-44.8	5.86%	0	-1.5	35	0
10	Mar_14_2008	666.25	543.54	500.83	517.23	521.46	539.96	498.75(-11.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	91	270	121	2	0.01	59%	-0.45	-43.4	5.82%	0	-0.8	37	0

11	Mar_13_2008	669.29	549.38	502.65	512.19	509.64	533.4	563.85(2.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	302	310	374	87	0	64%	-0.38	-46.6	5.78%	0	0.3	48	0
12	Mar_12_2008	671.84	553.01	501.01	488.67	491.47	502.95	549.15(13.7%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1	164	180	221	-8	0.01	64%	-0.44	-54.6	5.8%	0	-0.1	42	0
13	Mar_11_2008	674.82	555.63	503.08	479.01	478.47	485.89	483(-1.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-9	110	24	-109	0	60%	-0.57	-61.7	5.51%	0	-1.2	30	0
14	Mar_10_2008	678.66	562.91	513.22	478.8	483.92	479.98	491.4(3.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	18	-20	58	-101	0	60%	-0.57	-64.2	5.59%	0	-1.2	30	0
15	Mar_7_2008	682.56	569.37	524.35	482.58	487.53	471.06	473.55(6.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-216	-210	-218	-209	0	60%	-0.69	-64.3	5.57%	0	-1.6	31	0

16	Mar_6_2008	687.29	577.66	535	491.61	498.82	487.86	446.25(-10.9%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-249	-110	-257	-223	0	60%	-0.73	-64.9	5.51%	0	-2.3	24	0
17	Mar_5_2008	692.35	588.69	552.25	514.5	516.08	504	500.86(3.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-162	-150	-160	-169	0.01	67%	-0.66	-62.5	5.42%	0	-1.8	26	0
18	Mar_4_2008	696.93	596.92	564.69	531.09	533.27	509.78	481.95(-5.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-282	-300	-306	-210	0.01	67%	-0.69	-50.8	5.41%	0	-2.4	32	0
19	Mar_3_2008	701.75	605.27	580.29	552.72	555.19	528.15	510.3(-1.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-349	-330	-391	-222	0	71%	-0.65	-42.2	5.36%	0	-2.4	33	0
20	Feb_29_2008	706.31	610.62	590.97	572.46	575.07	556.76	518.7(-7.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-286	-210	-322	-176	0.01	76%	-0.69	-29.7	5.46%	0	-2.8	36	0

21	Feb_28_2008	711.2	616.96	601.49	584.43	589.84	582.23	560.7(-3.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-98	-60	-107	-71	0	80%	-0.61	-13.6	7.49%	0	-2.2	39	0
22	Feb_27_2008	715.56	621.68	610.26	595.35	596.79	593.38	583.8(-1.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-72	-30	-78	-53	0	80%	-0.59	16.1	7.47%	0	-1.6	38	0
23	Feb_26_2008	719.83	622.16	612.85	603.75	608.54	597.45	590.1(-3.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-52	-100	-54	-45	0	81%	-0.51	38.5	7.47%	0	-1.4	38	0
24	Feb_25_2008	723.5	622.62	616.68	612.57	616.32	600.21	609(5.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-145	-160	-165	-85	0	81%	-0.5	54.3	7.55%	0	-0.6	46	0
25	Feb_22_2008	727.12	620.7	617.61	612.99	625.31	619.63	578.55(-5.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-91	-0	-102	-58	0.01	81%		45.5	7.54%	0	-1.6	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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