Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Mar. 5, 2008

Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 24, 2005 - Fri. Jan. 29, 2021)

(Pacific Ethanol, Inc.)
PEIX latest price $500.8600 (3.92%) ($489.3000 - $520.8000) on Wed. Mar. 5, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.42% (three month average)
RSI   26
Latest Price   $500.8600(3.92%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PEIX declines -3.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEIX declines -9.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PCY(18%)    EEM(15%)    EWY(15%)    IWM(15%)    VWO(15%)
Factors Impacting PEIX price   PEIX will decline at least -2.71% in a week (0% probabilities).
LQD(-9%)    TLT(-8%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-2%)    GLD(3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.71% (StdDev 5.42%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.8%

Resistance Level   $588.69
5 Day Moving Average   $514.5(-2.65%)
10 Day Moving Average   $552.25(-9.31%)
20 Day Moving Average   $588.69(-14.92%)
To recent high   -47.9%
To recent low   3.9%
Market Cap   $27.789b

Pacific Ethanol, Inc. engages in the production and marketing of carbon renewable fuel. It operates through the Ethanol Production, and Marketing and Distribution business segments. The Ethanol Production segment includes the production and sale of ethanol and co-products. The Marketing and Distribution segment comprises of the marketing and merchant trading of company-produced ethanol; and co-products and third-party ethanol. The company was founded by William L. Jones and Neil M. Koehler on January 30, 2003 and is headquartered in Sacramento, CA.

$. PEIX price fluctuates within 8.49% (three month std-dev: 5.42%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.65%(33%) Average negative next day return: -4.75%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 3.31%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -8.98%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.84%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_5_2008	692.35	588.69	552.25	514.5	516.08	504	500.86(3.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-162	-150	-160	-169	0.01	67%	-0.66	-62.5	5.42%	0	-1.8	26	0
2	Mar_4_2008	696.93	596.92	564.69	531.09	533.27	509.78	481.95(-5.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-282	-300	-306	-210	0.01	67%	-0.69	-50.8	5.41%	0	-2.4	32	0
3	Mar_3_2008	701.75	605.27	580.29	552.72	555.19	528.15	510.3(-1.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-349	-330	-391	-222	0	71%	-0.65	-42.2	5.36%	0	-2.4	33	0
4	Feb_29_2008	706.31	610.62	590.97	572.46	575.07	556.76	518.7(-7.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-286	-210	-322	-176	0.01	76%	-0.69	-29.7	5.46%	0	-2.8	36	0
5	Feb_28_2008	711.2	616.96	601.49	584.43	589.84	582.23	560.7(-3.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-98	-60	-107	-71	0	80%	-0.61	-13.6	7.49%	0	-2.2	39	0

6	Feb_27_2008	715.56	621.68	610.26	595.35	596.79	593.38	583.8(-1.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-72	-30	-78	-53	0	80%	-0.59	16.1	7.47%	0	-1.6	38	0
7	Feb_26_2008	719.83	622.16	612.85	603.75	608.54	597.45	590.1(-3.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-52	-100	-54	-45	0	81%	-0.51	38.5	7.47%	0	-1.4	38	0
8	Feb_25_2008	723.5	622.62	616.68	612.57	616.32	600.21	609(5.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-145	-160	-165	-85	0	81%	-0.5	54.3	7.55%	0	-0.6	46	0
9	Feb_22_2008	727.12	620.7	617.61	612.99	625.31	619.63	578.55(-5.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-91	-0	-102	-58	0.01	81%	-0.57	45.5	7.54%	0	-1.6	48	0
10	Feb_21_2008	731.27	620.51	623.5	620.76	625.31	632.43	615.3(-1.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	3	80	7	-10	0	77%	-0.43	38.2	7.55%	0	-0.2	47	0

11	Feb_20_2008	734.44	617.97	627.65	627.27	628.66	630.99	625.8(-1.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	36	30	44	10	0	78%	-0.44	19.9	7.64%	0	0.3	46	0
12	Feb_19_2008	737.65	613.36	631.01	623.28	628.16	624.88	634.2(3.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	6	-10	7	1	0	68%	-0.84	-13.1	7.68%	0	0.6	60	0
13	Feb_15_2008	743.89	610.39	631.43	621.81	624.16	626.33	611.1(-1.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-30	40	-36	-12	0	66%	-0.53	-32.3	8.14%	0	0	56	0
14	Feb_14_2008	747.86	608.96	631.42	623.07	625.34	631.44	617.4(-4.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	58	80	66	34	0	65%	-0.41	-51.1	8.18%	0	0.2	61	0
15	Feb_13_2008	750.91	610.12	633.53	626.43	622.72	621.99	647.85(6.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	6	-30	1	19	0	65%	-0.35	-64.1	8.17%	0	1	65	0

16	Feb_12_2008	753.52	611.89	633.6	628.74	626.72	619.24	605.85(-3.35%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-50	-90	-68	4	0	63%	-0.49	-69	8.13%	0	-0.1	62	0
17	Feb_11_2008	757.23	618.2	632.33	640.08	637.09	623.44	626.85(1.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-72	-160	-99	8	0	63%	-0.56	-61	8.15%	0	0.2	71	0
18	Feb_8_2008	761.53	622.66	629.32	642.6	645.88	634.2	617.4(-2.65%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-80	-110	-109	8	0	59%	-0.61	-68.9	8.28%	0	-0.1	58	0
19	Feb_7_2008	766.24	628.83	624.64	640.29	648.57	650.74	634.2(-3.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-6	60	-22	41	0	59%	-0.72	-73.8	8.28%	0	0.1	59	0
20	Feb_6_2008	771.79	635.88	618.06	640.92	643.15	657.56	659.4(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	76	170	77	73	0.01	59%	-0.63	-68.1	8.26%	0	0.3	51	0

21	Feb_5_2008	776.65	642.6	607.93	639.45	640.66	646.41	662.55(3.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	109	70	120	74	0.01	59%	-0.57	-63.5	8.26%	0	0.2	45	0
22	Feb_4_2008	781.09	651.3	594.29	623.91	638.62	628.74	639.45(5.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-4	-40	-2	-9	0.01	59%	-0.64	-61.4	8.25%	0	-0.1	38	0
23	Feb_1_2008	786.15	664.44	587.29	614.46	629.9	634.91	605.85(-4.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-42	130	-40	-47	0.01	59%	-0.72	-54.1	8.26%	0	-0.5	36	0
24	Jan_31_2008	791.88	679.49	584.47	605.85	619.17	648.51	637.35(-2.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	165	400	210	29	0.01	59%	-0.68	-50.7	8.28%	0	-0.3	37	0
25	Jan_30_2008	797.32	689.66	584.03	591.15	602.16	624.88	652.05(11.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	228	320	291	39	0.01	59%		-54.2	8.29%	0	-0.3	34	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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