Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Feb. 5, 2008

Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 24, 2005 - Fri. Jan. 29, 2021)

(Pacific Ethanol, Inc.)
PEIX latest price $662.5500 (3.61%) ($630.0000 - $687.7500) on Tue. Feb. 5, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   8.26% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $662.5500(3.61%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PEIX advances 2.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEIX advances 3.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PCY(18%)    EEM(15%)    EWY(15%)    IWM(15%)    VWO(15%)
Factors Impacting PEIX price   PEIX will decline at least -4.13% in a week (0% probabilities).
LQD(-9%)    TLT(-8%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-2%)    GLD(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.13% (StdDev 8.26%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $639.45(3.61%)
10 Day Moving Average   $607.93(8.98%)
20 Day Moving Average   $642.6(3.1%)
To recent high   -31%
To recent low   49.5%
Market Cap   $36.76b

Pacific Ethanol, Inc. engages in the production and marketing of carbon renewable fuel. It operates through the Ethanol Production, and Marketing and Distribution business segments. The Ethanol Production segment includes the production and sale of ethanol and co-products. The Marketing and Distribution segment comprises of the marketing and merchant trading of company-produced ethanol; and co-products and third-party ethanol. The company was founded by William L. Jones and Neil M. Koehler on January 30, 2003 and is headquartered in Sacramento, CA.

$. PEIX price fluctuates within 12.81% (three month std-dev: 8.26%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_5_2008	776.65	642.6	607.93	639.45	640.66	646.41	662.55(3.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	109	70	120	74	0.01	59%	-0.57	-63.5	8.26%	0	0.2	45	NAN
2	Feb_4_2008	781.09	651.3	594.29	623.91	638.62	628.74	639.45(5.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-4	-40	-2	-9	0.01	59%	-0.64	-61.4	8.25%	0	-0.1	38	NAN
3	Feb_1_2008	786.15	664.44	587.29	614.46	629.9	634.91	605.85(-4.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-42	130	-40	-47	0.01	59%	-0.72	-54.1	8.26%	0	-0.5	36	NAN
4	Jan_31_2008	791.88	679.49	584.47	605.85	619.17	648.51	637.35(-2.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	165	400	210	29	0.01	59%	-0.68	-50.7	8.28%	0	-0.3	37	NAN
5	Jan_30_2008	797.32	689.66	584.03	591.15	602.16	624.88	652.05(11.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	228	320	291	39	0.01	59%	-0.69	-54.2	8.29%	0	-0.3	34	NAN

6	Jan_29_2008	802.89	699.55	586.6	572.25	582.21	589.84	584.85(-1.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	76	140	119	-53	0.01	57%	-0.77	-58.9	8.16%	0	-0.9	23	NAN
7	Jan_28_2008	809.15	715.19	601.15	560.28	568.56	579.43	592.2(5.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	37	180	78	-85	0.01	57%	-0.77	-62.2	8.17%	0	-0.9	21	NAN
8	Jan_25_2008	815.45	731.02	613.71	556.5	555.83	574.58	562.8(-0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	54	230	102	-92	0.01	57%	-0.86	-63.4	8.14%	0	-1.2	13	NAN
9	Jan_24_2008	822.54	748.67	632.15	559.86	555.91	557.68	563.85(1.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	34	0	82	-110	0.01	57%	-0.82	-61	8.14%	0	-1.4	14	NAN
10	Jan_23_2008	829.3	767.06	654.38	576.24	566.08	537.08	557.55(6.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-218	-410	-216	-225	0.01	57%	-0.85	-55.3	8.15%	0	-1.6	24	NAN

11	Jan_22_2008	836.39	786.43	679.81	604.17	593.32	554.14	525(-8.42%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-410	-520	-444	-306	0.01	57%	-0.84	-46.4	8.11%	0	-2.1	18	NAN
12	Jan_18_2008	843.49	808.85	713.62	648.27	640.57	595.09	573.3(-1.09%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-365	-530	-396	-270	0.01	58%	-0.77	-30.9	8.02%	0	-2	19	NAN
13	Jan_17_2008	850.04	828.87	748.9	679.35	680.93	632.49	579.6(-10.24%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-418	-490	-464	-281	0.01	58%	-0.74	-14.8	8.02%	0	-2.3	19	NAN
14	Jan_16_2008	856.39	842.08	783.98	714.21	712.49	686.04	645.75(-7.38%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-354	-270	-393	-236	0.01	61%	-0.66	-0.3	7.92%	0	-2.1	21	NAN
15	Jan_15_2008	862.1	848.72	805.77	743.61	741.43	729.36	697.2(-6.48%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-145	-120	-150	-131	0.01	61%	-0.62	16.6	7.87%	0	-1.9	23	NAN

16	Jan_14_2008	867.48	850.33	823.11	767.13	762.89	738.94	745.5(2.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-178	-240	-190	-143	0.01	61%	-0.57	30	7.83%	0	-1.4	26	NAN
17	Jan_11_2008	872.47	846.53	839.18	790.23	786.19	753.51	728.7(-3.34%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-339	-310	-381	-213	0.01	60%	-0.59	37.2	7.84%	0	-1.5	21	NAN
18	Jan_10_2008	877.63	845.05	858.34	830.34	827.07	786.84	753.9(-4.9%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-318	-350	-360	-191	0.01	60%	-0.59	51.2	7.83%	0	-1	22	NAN
19	Jan_9_2008	882.83	842.35	875.07	864.78	865.07	818.87	792.75(-2.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-344	-370	-397	-183	0.01	61%	-0.52	62.9	7.81%	0	-0.5	54	NAN
20	Jan_8_2008	887.47	835.53	889.03	876.75	886.72	867.3	814.8(-5.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-272	-120	-318	-132	0.01	61%	-0.5	64.5	7.83%	0	-0.2	63	NAN

21	Jan_7_2008	891.93	827.95	901.67	886.2	895.78	911.27	861(-7.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	59	150	64	44	0.01	61%	-0.44	62.3	7.8%	0	0.3	72	NAN
22	Jan_4_2008	895.85	817.33	911.48	894.81	886.99	906.15	929.25(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	156	120	169	118	0.01	62%	-0.33	59.1	7.75%	0	0.9	83	NAN
23	Jan_3_2008	898.85	800.84	913.95	891.66	886.79	880.29	926.1(8.62%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	78	-70	69	104	0.01	62%	-0.41	61.4	7.79%	0	1	77	NAN
24	Jan_2_2008	902.59	784.95	903.4	889.14	889.81	867.83	852.6(-1.1%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.3	-167	-170	-223	2	0.01	59%	-0.99	63.9	7.72%	0	0.5	73	NAN
25	Dec_31_2007	911.62	772.84	894.79	904.05	903.72	893.29	862.05(-4.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-131	-80	-188	41	0.01	58%		69.9	7.73%	0	0.6	77	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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