Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jan. 4, 2008

Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 24, 2005 - Fri. Jan. 29, 2021)

(Pacific Ethanol, Inc.)
PEIX latest price $929.2500 (0.34%) ($866.2500 - $966.0000) on Fri. Jan. 4, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   7.75% (three month average)
RSI   83
Latest Price   $929.2500(0.34%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PEIX advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEIX advances 6.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PCY(18%)    EEM(15%)    EWY(15%)    IWM(15%)    VWO(15%)
Factors Impacting PEIX price   PEIX will decline at least -3.875% in a week (0% probabilities).
LQD(-9%)    TLT(-8%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-2%)    GLD(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.875% (StdDev 7.75%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $894.81(3.85%)
10 Day Moving Average   $911.48(1.95%)
20 Day Moving Average   $817.33(13.69%)
To recent high   -6.4%
To recent low   109.7%
Market Cap   $51.558b

Pacific Ethanol, Inc. engages in the production and marketing of carbon renewable fuel. It operates through the Ethanol Production, and Marketing and Distribution business segments. The Ethanol Production segment includes the production and sale of ethanol and co-products. The Marketing and Distribution segment comprises of the marketing and merchant trading of company-produced ethanol; and co-products and third-party ethanol. The company was founded by William L. Jones and Neil M. Koehler on January 30, 2003 and is headquartered in Sacramento, CA.

$. PEIX price fluctuates within 14.98% (three month std-dev: 7.75%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -3.79%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -7.27%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -8.03%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_4_2008	895.85	817.33	911.48	894.81	886.99	906.15	929.25(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	156	120	169	118	0.01	62%	-0.33	59.1	7.75%	0	0.9	83	0
2	Jan_3_2008	898.85	800.84	913.95	891.66	886.79	880.29	926.1(8.62%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	78	-70	69	104	0.01	62%	-0.41	61.4	7.79%	0	1	77	0
3	Jan_2_2008	902.59	784.95	903.4	889.14	889.81	867.83	852.6(-1.1%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.3	-167	-170	-223	2	0.01	59%	-0.99	63.9	7.72%	0	0.5	73	0
4	Dec_31_2007	911.62	772.84	894.79	904.05	903.72	893.29	862.05(-4.65%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.3	-131	-80	-188	41	0.01	58%	-0.54	69.9	7.73%	0	0.6	77	0
5	Dec_28_2007	916.56	761.9	880.44	918.96	920.13	911.79	904.05(-1.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-6	-60	-47	118	0.01	58%	-0.51	82.8	7.73%	0	1	79	0

6	Dec_27_2007	921.26	750.89	855.52	930.09	927.61	914.16	913.5(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-100	-110	-163	89	0.01	60%	-0.47	100.6	7.73%	0	1.2	81	0
7	Dec_26_2007	925.62	730.17	831.88	939.54	945.2	928.46	913.5(-1.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-9	-110	-63	153	0.01	60%	-0.69	101.6	7.81%	0	1.3	83	0
8	Dec_24_2007	932.06	708.98	808.14	919.17	942.11	941.06	927.15(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	56	70	12	187	0.01	56%	-0.36	95	7.79%	0	1.5	81	0
9	Dec_21_2007	935.45	686.89	778.49	882.63	907	961.93	936.6(-2.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	332	510	341	304	0.02	55%	-0.4	82.6	7.85%	0	1.7	82	0
10	Dec_20_2007	939.23	661.96	748.26	834.33	853.03	943.16	959.7(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	781	810	877	491	0.03	54%	-0.38	69.3	7.85%	0	2.2	76	0

11	Dec_19_2007	942.79	635.85	714.04	769.23	780.91	852.08	960.75(18.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	729	680	831	423	0.05	54%	-0.38	49.9	7.92%	0	2.7	68	0
12	Dec_18_2007	946.41	611.37	675.1	710.43	715.55	762.91	811.65(9.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	417	480	470	257	0.02	51%	-0.53	33.9	7.59%	0	2	77	0
13	Dec_17_2007	951.48	593.59	653.29	682.42	687.86	709.75	744.45(7.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	323	250	361	210	0.02	49%	-0.58	16.3	7.52%	0	1.7	76	0
14	Dec_14_2007	957.03	585.33	638.28	659.32	669.02	668.19	695.1(9.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	84	40	79	97	0.01	48%	-0.68	2.9	7.47%	0	1.3	74	0
15	Dec_13_2007	963.54	580.36	632.17	648.61	654.19	665.96	634.2(-4.88%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	13	150	-11	83	0.01	46%	-0.75	-12.2	7.36%	0	0.7	75	0

16	Dec_12_2007	970.81	580.39	637.59	648.4	650.45	669.85	666.75(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	255	220	263	230	0.01	46%	-0.73	-22.1	7.34%	0	1.1	77	0
17	Dec_11_2007	977.97	579.69	621.24	633.07	633.45	642.42	671.6(6.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	154	100	147	175	0.01	46%	-0.75	-35.6	7.34%	0	1.1	69	0
18	Dec_10_2007	985.32	579.19	603.48	619.5	617.99	631.05	628.95(-1.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	93	140	76	144	0.01	46%	-0.79	-47.6	7.28%	0	0.6	70	0
19	Dec_7_2007	993.16	582.87	590.29	619.5	611.17	624.49	641.55(1.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	155	140	154	158	0.01	45%	-0.78	-52	7.28%	0	0.7	56	0
20	Dec_6_2007	1000.92	590.26	571.22	613.83	606.38	604.93	633.15(7.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	-50	-0	76	0.01	46%	-0.8	-44.2	7.29%	0	0.4	54	0

21	Dec_5_2007	1008.99	598.69	553.41	626.22	616.88	597.84	590.1(-2.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-34	-260	-58	38	0.01	44%	-0.87	-37.6	7.23%	0	-0.1	49	0
22	Dec_4_2007	1017.8	609.87	544.01	606.69	616.42	607.82	603.75(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-55	-50	-70	-9	0.01	45%	-0.85	-37.8	7.23%	0	-0	48	0
23	Dec_3_2007	1026.55	620.7	530.12	583.38	589.18	635.91	600.6(-6.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	174	590	214	55	0.01	45%	-0.86	-39.1	7.24%	0	-0.2	47	0
24	Nov_30_2007	1035.49	631.8	528.29	561.12	558.34	625.01	641.55(-7.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	646	820	779	246	0.02	45%	-0.85	-39.8	7.21%	0	0.1	46	0
25	Nov_29_2007	1044.32	638.35	523.1	521.43	513.71	542.46	695.1(41.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	427	350	537	95	0.02	46%		-45.6	7.16%	0	0.4	43	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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