Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Aug. 28, 2007

Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 24, 2005 - Fri. Jan. 29, 2021)

(Pacific Ethanol, Inc.)
PEIX latest price $1199.1000 (-1.64%) ($1186.5000 - $1223.2500) on Tue. Aug. 28, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.18% (three month average)
RSI   25
Latest Price   $1199.1000(-1.64%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PEIX declines -0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEIX declines -4.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(15%)    EWY(15%)    IWM(15%)    VWO(15%)    EWG(14%)
Factors Impacting PEIX price   PEIX will decline at least -1.09% in a week (0% probabilities).
LQD(-9%)    TLT(-7%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-1%)    GLD(3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.09% (StdDev 2.18%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.4%

Resistance Level   $1269.67
5 Day Moving Average   $1227.03(-2.28%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1236.63(-3.03%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1269.67(-5.56%)
To recent high   -23.1%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $66.53b

Pacific Ethanol, Inc. engages in the production and marketing of carbon renewable fuel. It operates through the Ethanol Production, and Marketing and Distribution business segments. The Ethanol Production segment includes the production and sale of ethanol and co-products. The Marketing and Distribution segment comprises of the marketing and merchant trading of company-produced ethanol; and co-products and third-party ethanol. The company was founded by William L. Jones and Neil M. Koehler on January 30, 2003 and is headquartered in Sacramento, CA.

$. PEIX price fluctuates within 3.83% (three month std-dev: 2.18%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.53%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0.53%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0.7%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_28_2007	1429.46	1269.67	1236.63	1227.03	1224.37	1214.85	1199.1(-1.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-359	-60	-389	-270	0	55%	-0.37	-49.9	2.18%	0	-1.5	25	0
2	Aug_27_2007	1434.83	1275.87	1247.88	1235.85	1234.47	1225.48	1219.05(-0.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-249	-50	-265	-202	0	55%	-0.15	-52.9	2.19%	0	-1.2	46	0
3	Aug_24_2007	1437.03	1280.75	1258.1	1241.52	1239.53	1233.88	1229.55(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-269	-40	-295	-189	0	55%	-0.34	-61	2.19%	0	-1.2	55	0
4	Aug_23_2007	1441.94	1284.2	1269.27	1243.83	1244.97	1243.46	1229.55(-2.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-93	-10	-94	-91	0	55%	-0.35	-71	2.2%	0	-1.2	48	0
5	Aug_22_2007	1447.07	1289.75	1282.39	1241.94	1249.11	1245.17	1257.9(1.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-35	-0	-27	-57	0.01	57%	-0.29	-79.4	2.18%	0	-0.7	45	0

6	Aug_21_2007	1451.32	1294.39	1290.46	1248.24	1248.52	1246.48	1243.2(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-290	-10	-331	-166	0	57%	-0.31	-79.8	2.19%	0	-1.1	43	0
7	Aug_20_2007	1455.87	1300.89	1293.27	1262.52	1260.98	1253.04	1247.4(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-159	-50	-178	-100	0	57%	-0.38	-75.9	2.19%	0	-1.1	43	0
8	Aug_17_2007	1461.39	1308.31	1291.38	1278.06	1277.33	1250.55	1241.1(1.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-621	-150	-722	-318	0.01	57%	-0.38	-71.2	2.2%	0	-1.3	43	0
9	Aug_16_2007	1466.9	1316.4	1294.39	1299.06	1298.59	1268.93	1220.1(-5.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-981	-160	-1151	-472	0.01	57%	-0.33	-66.4	2.18%	0	-1.8	44	0
10	Aug_15_2007	1471.76	1325.99	1304.25	1328.04	1322.15	1304.1	1289.4(-1.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-670	-110	-793	-299	0	64%	-0.28	-61.7	2.1%	0	-0.7	44	0

11	Aug_14_2007	1475.83	1332.81	1306.54	1338.33	1336.91	1328.25	1314.6(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-283	-50	-340	-113	0.01	64%	-0.27	-58.7	2.1%	0	-0.3	45	0
12	Aug_13_2007	1479.84	1339.61	1306.81	1327.83	1341.31	1340.19	1325.1(-1.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	217	20	255	101	0	64%	-0.27	-63	2.1%	0	-0.2	43	0
13	Aug_10_2007	1483.78	1346.28	1305.35	1305.78	1315.58	1345.58	1346.1(-1.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	314	180	382	109	0.01	69%	-0.24	-71.6	2.11%	0	-0	42	0
14	Aug_9_2007	1487.38	1352.57	1299.71	1288.98	1294.85	1342.43	1365(1.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	1184	270	1415	491	0.01	69%	-0.2	-72.4	2.4%	0	0.2	43	0
15	Aug_8_2007	1490.34	1359.24	1296	1278.27	1276.92	1285.59	1340.85(6.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	739	40	899	259	0.02	67%	-0.19	-70.6	2.39%	0	-0.2	39	0

16	Aug_7_2007	1493.24	1367.9	1296.17	1272.39	1269.51	1247.27	1262.1(3.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-606	-130	-676	-397	0.01	63%	-0.23	-63.6	2.27%	0	-1.2	23	0
17	Aug_6_2007	1496.66	1381.26	1307.18	1283.94	1285.06	1268.25	1214.85(-3.74%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-684	-90	-765	-440	0.01	60%	-0.26	-53.9	2.22%	0	-1.7	9	0
18	Aug_3_2007	1500.5	1398.62	1325.91	1303.68	1301.48	1291.75	1262.1(-3.76%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-307	-60	-323	-258	0.01	65%	-0.24	-44.2	2.18%	0	-1.5	10	0
19	Aug_2_2007	1504.17	1411.51	1340.23	1309.98	1307.79	1301.87	1311.45(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-259	-40	-263	-245	0.01	72%	-0.19	-36.2	2.13%	0	-1.2	11	0
20	Aug_1_2007	1507.1	1422.36	1349.8	1315.65	1310.61	1311.21	1311.45(-0.64%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0	-183	-10	-170	-220	0.01	68%	-0.2	-25.1	2.16%	0	-1.3	10	0

21	Jul_31_2007	1510.11	1428.95	1361.58	1324.05	1318.27	1313.7	1319.85(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-96	-40	-66	-187	0	68%	-0.22	-18.2	2.17%	0	-1.4	9	0
22	Jul_30_2007	1513.44	1434.67	1375.33	1335.18	1328.63	1310.01	1313.55(1.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-504	-110	-546	-379	0.01	68%	-0.21	-10.5	2.19%	0	-1.6	7	0
23	Jul_27_2007	1516.66	1439.29	1390.85	1352.4	1346.27	1322.84	1293.6(-3.45%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.8	-743	-140	-827	-492	0	68%	-0.23	-2.2	2.18%	0	-2	0	0
24	Jul_26_2007	1520.1	1443.61	1410.37	1374.66	1364.58	1347.26	1339.8(-1.01%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-718	-110	-801	-468	0.01	73%	-0.18	11.7	2.14%	0	-1.6	19	0
25	Jul_25_2007	1522.8	1444.03	1427.88	1388.73	1383.62	1369.7	1353.45(-1.6%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-435	-80	-472	-325	0	73%		19.2	2.14%	0	-1.3	19	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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