Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jul. 10, 2007

Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 24, 2005 - Fri. Jan. 29, 2021)

(Pacific Ethanol, Inc.)
PEIX latest price $1533.0000 (-1.75%) ($1491.0000 - $1568.7000) on Tue. Jul. 10, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.16% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $1533.0000(-1.75%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PEIX advances 1.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEIX advances 7.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(15%)    EWY(15%)    IWM(15%)    VWO(15%)    EWG(14%)
Factors Impacting PEIX price   PEIX will decline at least -1.08% in a week (0% probabilities).
LQD(-9%)    SHY(-8%)    TLT(-7%)    TIP(-2%)    GLD(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.08% (StdDev 2.16%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $1513.26(1.3%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1442.69(6.26%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1384(10.77%)
To recent high   -10.8%
To recent low   19.2%
Market Cap   $85.055b

Pacific Ethanol, Inc. engages in the production and marketing of carbon renewable fuel. It operates through the Ethanol Production, and Marketing and Distribution business segments. The Ethanol Production segment includes the production and sale of ethanol and co-products. The Marketing and Distribution segment comprises of the marketing and merchant trading of company-produced ethanol; and co-products and third-party ethanol. The company was founded by William L. Jones and Neil M. Koehler on January 30, 2003 and is headquartered in Sacramento, CA.

$. PEIX price fluctuates within 6.15% (three month std-dev: 2.16%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070810

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_10_2007	1554.37	1384	1442.69	1513.26	1528.01	1546.52	1533(-1.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	541	110	575	439	0.01	69%	-0.01	54.8	2.16%	0	1.8	74	0
2	Jul_9_2007	1554.6	1373.28	1422.71	1490.58	1500.52	1538.77	1560.29(2.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	1092	200	1230	679	0.01	69%	-0.11	48.7	2.16%	0	2.4	75	0
3	Jul_6_2007	1556.28	1361.02	1400.36	1455.72	1462.32	1509.51	1515.15(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	1420	240	1625	805	0.01	67%	-0.11	38.7	2.13%	0	2.4	72	0
4	Jul_5_2007	1557.97	1351.34	1377.12	1423.38	1427.21	1462.26	1527.75(6.83%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.9	1449	180	1671	781	0.02	67%	-0.19	23.4	2.15%	0	3.3	76	0
5	Jul_3_2007	1560.86	1341.94	1352.92	1382.43	1387.97	1415.14	1430.1(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	871	150	1004	470	0.01	64%	-0.17	-12.5	2%	0	2.5	70	0

6	Jul_2_2007	1563.45	1338.84	1341.89	1361.64	1360.34	1392.17	1419.6(2.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	936	160	1088	481	0.01	57%	-0.2	-48.7	2%	0	2.6	69	0
7	Jun_29_2007	1566.61	1336.44	1332.95	1344.63	1340.92	1360.8	1386(2.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	793	100	925	396	0.01	59%	-0.24	-84.3	2.06%	0	1.7	59	0
8	Jun_28_2007	1570.39	1336.37	1327.41	1336.86	1331.6	1328.51	1353.45(2.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	174	-30	199	97	0.01	57%	-0.28	-97.4	2.14%	0	0.5	54	0
9	Jun_27_2007	1574.74	1338.87	1323.71	1323.42	1330.55	1321.03	1323(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-210	-30	-246	-100	0	55%	-0.29	-87	2.12%	0	-0.4	46	0
10	Jun_26_2007	1579.38	1346.44	1322.78	1318.17	1325.43	1334.68	1326.15(-0.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-40	70	-42	-34	0.01	55%	-0.31	-76.4	2.12%	0	-0.4	41	0

11	Jun_25_2007	1584.24	1354.34	1321.57	1318.38	1319.39	1340.06	1334.55(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	502	110	599	209	0.01	55%	-0.29	-75.4	2.12%	0	-0.4	37	0
12	Jun_22_2007	1588.9	1361.17	1321	1319.43	1316.83	1316.18	1347.15(4.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	310	-10	377	110	0.03	55%	-0.27	-70.4	2.12%	0	-0.2	39	0
13	Jun_21_2007	1593.21	1367.66	1319.2	1317.54	1319.39	1298.72	1286.25(-0.81%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-521	-110	-596	-296	0.01	49%	-0.28	-69.2	2.06%	0	-1.2	16	0
14	Jun_20_2007	1597.67	1378.52	1324.57	1324.05	1328.71	1317.49	1296.75(-2.29%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-537	-50	-613	-310	0.02	49%	-0.27	-67.2	2.08%	0	-1.2	15	0
15	Jun_19_2007	1602.05	1389.19	1331.05	1327.2	1333.43	1340.06	1327.2(-0.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	49	50	83	-52	0.01	52%	-0.23	-67.8	2.08%	0	-0.9	11	0

16	Jun_18_2007	1605.77	1397.25	1336.16	1324.47	1328.05	1339.93	1339.8(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	309	70	396	48	0.01	52%	-0.23	-75	2.08%	0	-0.8	11	0
17	Jun_15_2007	1609.51	1405.55	1340.26	1322.79	1322.54	1326.81	1337.7(1.43%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.2	200	20	274	-21	0.01	52%	-0.21	-80	2.09%	0	-0.9	17	0
18	Jun_14_2007	1612.9	1415.37	1345.65	1321.95	1321.23	1316.18	1318.8(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-119	-30	-96	-189	0.01	52%	-0.26	-80.3	2.09%	0	-1.2	10	0
19	Jun_13_2007	1617.15	1426.97	1354.79	1325.73	1324.25	1318.28	1312.5(-0.08%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-331	-30	-341	-302	0.01	52%	-0.35	-73.5	2.08%	0	-1.4	7	0
20	Jun_12_2007	1622.88	1440.23	1371.57	1335.6	1334.09	1326.28	1313.55(-1.34%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-248	-40	-245	-257	0.01	52%	-0.28	-64.3	2.1%	0	-1.6	7	0

21	Jun_11_2007	1627.5	1454.84	1389.46	1349.46	1344	1330.22	1331.4(-0.16%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-449	-80	-485	-339	0.01	52%	-0.19	-54.2	2.1%	0	-1.5	18	0
22	Jun_8_2007	1630.66	1468.99	1404.34	1360.38	1357.92	1341.9	1333.5(-0.31%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-555	-90	-612	-385	0	52%	-0.16	-46.4	2.1%	0	-1.6	16	0
23	Jun_7_2007	1633.28	1481.78	1419.89	1372.98	1373.67	1357.79	1337.7(-1.77%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-500	-80	-548	-356	0.01	52%	-0.18	-42.5	2.11%	0	-1.8	15	0
24	Jun_6_2007	1636.24	1488.55	1437.09	1388.1	1384.56	1373.93	1361.85(-1.52%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-549	-60	-608	-373	0.01	56%	-0.14	-47.4	2.11%	0	-1.7	15	0
25	Jun_5_2007	1638.58	1494.69	1452.54	1413.3	1400.11	1389.54	1382.85(-0.23%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-469	-80	-518	-322	0.01	51%		-45.2	2.14%	0	-1.6	15	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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