Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 31, 2007

Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 24, 2005 - Fri. Jan. 29, 2021)

(Pacific Ethanol, Inc.)
PEIX latest price $1413.3000 (-5.01%) ($1377.6000 - $1461.6000) on Thu. May. 31, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.24% (three month average)
RSI   24
Latest Price   $1413.3000(-5.01%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PEIX declines -1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEIX declines -3.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(15%)    EWY(15%)    IWM(15%)    VWO(15%)    EWG(14%)
Factors Impacting PEIX price   PEIX will decline at least -1.12% in a week (0% probabilities).
LQD(-8%)    TLT(-7%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-1%)    GLD(3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.12% (StdDev 2.24%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.7%

Resistance Level   $1516.99
5 Day Moving Average   $1473.57(-4.09%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1491.48(-5.24%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1516.99(-6.84%)
To recent high   -21%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $78.414b

Pacific Ethanol, Inc. engages in the production and marketing of carbon renewable fuel. It operates through the Ethanol Production, and Marketing and Distribution business segments. The Ethanol Production segment includes the production and sale of ethanol and co-products. The Marketing and Distribution segment comprises of the marketing and merchant trading of company-produced ethanol; and co-products and third-party ethanol. The company was founded by William L. Jones and Neil M. Koehler on January 30, 2003 and is headquartered in Sacramento, CA.

$. PEIX price fluctuates within 3.33% (three month std-dev: 2.24%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.96%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 1.4%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 5.7%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_31_2007	1645.16	1516.99	1491.48	1473.57	1473.61	1457.93	1413.3(-5.01%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-824	-70	-940	-474	0.02	51%	-0.08	-41.1	2.24%	0	-2.1	24	NAN
2	May_30_2007	1646.48	1524.35	1505.82	1492.47	1491.53	1488.77	1487.85(-0.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-117	-10	-117	-115	0	53%	-0.02	-38.8	2.17%	0	-0.8	58	NAN
3	May_29_2007	1646.83	1526.04	1514.47	1497.72	1498.88	1489.29	1497.3(1.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-157	-40	-171	-114	0	49%	0.08	-43.6	2.21%	0	-0.7	57	NAN
4	May_25_2007	1645.58	1528.9	1524.82	1496.46	1503.21	1494.28	1481.55(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-282	-30	-323	-158	0	45%	-0.02	-49.7	2.37%	0	-1.1	50	NAN
5	May_24_2007	1645.9	1533.66	1537.93	1502.13	1504.85	1508.46	1487.85(-1.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-141	20	-162	-76	0.01	45%	-0.05	-49.1	2.39%	0	-1.1	47	NAN

6	May_23_2007	1646.79	1538.07	1547.79	1512.42	1511.15	1512.13	1507.8(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	134	0	156	66	0.01	45%	-0.09	-44.8	2.41%	0	-0.7	47	NAN
7	May_22_2007	1648.22	1541.89	1543.71	1521.45	1516.4	1501.24	1514.1(1.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-301	-80	-353	-143	0.01	48%	-0.08	-43.5	2.41%	0	-0.6	47	NAN
8	May_21_2007	1649.62	1545.54	1540.13	1534.47	1529.33	1510.16	1491(-1.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-659	-100	-776	-308	0.01	48%	-0.08	-40.8	2.44%	0	-1.2	49	NAN
9	May_18_2007	1650.92	1551.04	1542.15	1557.78	1555.77	1531.56	1509.9(-1.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-568	-110	-673	-253	0.01	48%	-0.11	-37.2	2.43%	0	-0.9	46	NAN
10	May_17_2007	1652.69	1555.3	1544.82	1578.99	1581.17	1548.49	1539.3(-0.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-704	-140	-837	-306	0.01	48%	-0.1	-37.4	2.44%	0	-0.4	46	NAN

11	May_16_2007	1654.37	1557.74	1545.38	1588.02	1596.37	1579.99	1552.95(-1.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-727	-60	-865	-313	0.01	50%	-0.1	-41.2	2.46%	0	-0.1	48	NAN
12	May_15_2007	1655.96	1561.09	1545.08	1567.86	1611.73	1613.85	1579.2(-1.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	412	90	481	203	0.01	50%	-0.05	-54.3	2.48%	0	0.4	49	NAN
13	May_14_2007	1656.77	1564.01	1538.62	1545.39	1574.78	1612.75	1607.55(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	442	230	525	191	0.02	50%	-0.07	-62.4	2.47%	0	0.8	51	NAN
14	May_11_2007	1657.99	1567.49	1532.25	1524.18	1537.7	1609.6	1615.95(1.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	1468	350	1740	651	0.01	50%	-0.08	-66.4	2.47%	0	0.8	50	NAN
15	May_10_2007	1659.31	1571.59	1526.81	1507.38	1516.53	1536.81	1584.45(9.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	1406	110	1672	606	0.04	50%	-0.12	-68.6	2.48%	0	0.2	47	NAN

16	May_9_2007	1661.24	1576.61	1524.72	1499.4	1497.04	1465.8	1452.15(-1%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-882	-150	-1014	-487	0.01	42%	-0.19	-71.2	2.2%	0	-1.7	21	NAN
17	May_8_2007	1664.44	1588.13	1538.38	1519.35	1519.81	1496.25	1466.85(-2.31%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-812	-110	-935	-444	0.01	42%	-0.18	-67.3	2.2%	0	-1.8	19	NAN
18	May_7_2007	1667.46	1599.85	1550.97	1529.22	1534.58	1528.28	1501.5(-1.99%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-333	-20	-370	-220	0.01	44%	-0.19	-64.5	2.19%	0	-1.4	19	NAN
19	May_4_2007	1670.56	1611.23	1560.98	1539.72	1536.02	1543.37	1531.95(-0.82%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-41	30	-25	-88	0	44%	-0.2	-67.4	2.15%	0	-1.2	18	NAN
20	May_3_2007	1673.87	1620.13	1567.33	1548.54	1541.6	1540.88	1544.55(-0.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	142	-20	193	-13	0	44%	-0.14	-69.1	2.16%	0	-1.2	17	NAN

21	May_2_2007	1676.29	1629.42	1571.93	1554.63	1547.77	1528.67	1551.9(2.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-387	-100	-426	-271	0.01	44%	-0.13	-63.7	2.18%	0	-1.2	23	NAN
22	May_1_2007	1678.55	1635.82	1579.11	1561.35	1555.71	1542.32	1516.2(-2.43%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-720	-70	-816	-432	0.01	41%	-0.18	-64.6	2.16%	0	-1.9	21	NAN
23	Apr_30_2007	1681.61	1644.89	1592.45	1575.84	1572.94	1566.86	1554(-1.4%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-189	-30	-193	-178	0.01	43%	-0.18	-66.5	2.16%	0	-1.5	22	NAN
24	Apr_27_2007	1684.66	1656.41	1606.1	1585.08	1582.72	1569.09	1576.05(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-303	-60	-327	-229	0.01	43%	-0.18	-54.4	2.16%	0	-1.3	21	NAN
25	Apr_26_2007	1687.63	1666.55	1619.67	1588.86	1589.55	1579.02	1575(-0.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-478	-50	-534	-309	0.01	43%		-45.9	2.17%	0	-1.4	27	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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