Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. May. 1, 2007

Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 24, 2005 - Fri. Jan. 29, 2021)

(Pacific Ethanol, Inc.)
PEIX latest price $1516.2000 (-2.43%) ($1473.1500 - $1548.7500) on Tue. May. 1, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.16% (three month average)
RSI   21
Latest Price   $1516.2000(-2.43%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PEIX declines -0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEIX declines -3.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(15%)    EWY(15%)    IWM(15%)    VWO(15%)    PEJ(14%)
Factors Impacting PEIX price   PEIX will decline at least -1.08% in a week (0% probabilities).
LQD(-8%)    TLT(-7%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-1%)    GLD(3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.08% (StdDev 2.16%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.1%

Resistance Level   $1635.82
5 Day Moving Average   $1561.35(-2.89%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1579.11(-3.98%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1635.82(-7.31%)
To recent high   -18.5%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $84.123b

Pacific Ethanol, Inc. engages in the production and marketing of carbon renewable fuel. It operates through the Ethanol Production, and Marketing and Distribution business segments. The Ethanol Production segment includes the production and sale of ethanol and co-products. The Marketing and Distribution segment comprises of the marketing and merchant trading of company-produced ethanol; and co-products and third-party ethanol. The company was founded by William L. Jones and Neil M. Koehler on January 30, 2003 and is headquartered in Sacramento, CA.

$. PEIX price fluctuates within 3.95% (three month std-dev: 2.16%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 1.2%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 4.48%(80%) Average negative next three day return: -0.96%(20%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 5.6%(80%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.46%(20%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070601

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_1_2007	1678.55	1635.82	1579.11	1561.35	1555.71	1542.32	1516.2(-2.43%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-720	-70	-816	-432	0.01	41%	-0.18	-64.6	2.16%	0	-1.9	21	NAN
2	Apr_30_2007	1681.61	1644.89	1592.45	1575.84	1572.94	1566.86	1554(-1.4%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-189	-30	-193	-178	0.01	43%	-0.18	-66.5	2.16%	0	-1.5	22	NAN
3	Apr_27_2007	1684.66	1656.41	1606.1	1585.08	1582.72	1569.09	1576.05(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-303	-60	-327	-229	0.01	43%	-0.18	-54.4	2.16%	0	-1.3	21	NAN
4	Apr_26_2007	1687.63	1666.55	1619.67	1588.86	1589.55	1579.02	1575(-0.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-478	-50	-534	-309	0.01	43%	-0.21	-45.9	2.17%	0	-1.4	27	NAN
5	Apr_25_2007	1691.21	1673.01	1631.88	1591.8	1599.2	1596.34	1585.5(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-125	0	-118	-145	0.01	40%	-0.22	-44.9	2.19%	0	-1.4	25	NAN

6	Apr_24_2007	1695.01	1678.61	1641.29	1599.99	1601.2	1600.09	1588.65(-0.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-136	-0	-133	-143	0	35%	-0.22	-39.7	2.24%	0	-1.6	40	NAN
7	Apr_23_2007	1698.68	1684.95	1652.34	1611.96	1607.37	1602.06	1600.2(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-213	-30	-229	-165	0	41%	-0.22	-27.6	2.42%	0	-1.6	39	NAN
8	Apr_20_2007	1702.35	1690.89	1665.28	1631.07	1624.68	1602.3	1594.95(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-425	-110	-482	-252	0.01	48%	-0.24	-8.6	2.71%	0	-1.9	29	NAN
9	Apr_19_2007	1706.5	1696.63	1677.29	1655.85	1649.94	1612.67	1589.7(-2.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-809	-170	-937	-425	0.01	48%	-0.23	13.9	2.73%	0	-2.4	29	NAN
10	Apr_18_2007	1710.44	1700.74	1692.13	1677.69	1677.05	1647.06	1626.45(-1.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-773	-130	-900	-392	0.01	48%	-0.15	39.6	2.74%	0	-2	45	NAN

11	Apr_17_2007	1712.94	1701.52	1697.96	1687.98	1691.88	1687.22	1648.5(-2.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-358	-10	-413	-191	0.01	48%	-0.14	49.8	2.76%	0	-1.4	48	NAN
12	Apr_16_2007	1715.39	1699.8	1702.66	1697.85	1696.41	1707.04	1695.75(-1.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	134	40	164	44	0.01	49%	-0.13	46	2.75%	0	-0.1	50	NAN
13	Apr_13_2007	1717.69	1695.18	1711.14	1704.78	1698.57	1696.54	1718.85(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	136	-20	163	56	0.01	49%	0	41.3	2.74%	0	0.5	52	NAN
14	Apr_12_2007	1717.68	1690.53	1716.66	1703.1	1701.72	1685.78	1698.9(1.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-313	-70	-368	-148	0.01	49%	-0.13	38.5	2.76%	0	0.2	51	NAN
15	Apr_11_2007	1719.98	1685.95	1716.8	1709.82	1710.58	1700.61	1677.9(-1.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-289	-40	-343	-128	0	49%	-0.16	39.4	2.79%	0	-0.1	55	NAN

16	Apr_10_2007	1722.79	1682.82	1718.62	1709.19	1714.06	1717.67	1697.85(-1.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	42	20	44	34	0.01	49%	-0.09	38.5	2.79%	0	0.3	61	NAN
17	Apr_9_2007	1724.27	1680.28	1719.93	1707.3	1705.27	1720.56	1730.4(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	119	60	132	80	0.01	49%	-0.19	45.2	2.78%	0	0.9	68	NAN
18	Apr_5_2007	1727.61	1675.18	1718	1718.85	1709.47	1710.45	1710.45(-1.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	130	-10	138	106	0	49%	-0.18	53.1	2.77%	0	0.6	67	NAN
19	Apr_4_2007	1730.7	1671.19	1717.12	1733.13	1730.27	1689.98	1732.5(3.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-376	-170	-464	-113	0.01	49%	-0.05	56.1	2.77%	0	1.1	64	NAN
20	Apr_3_2007	1731.63	1664.75	1709.77	1725.78	1742.54	1708.48	1674.75(-0.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-985	-110	-1181	-397	0.01	47%	-0.06	42.4	2.79%	0	0.2	62	NAN

21	Apr_2_2007	1732.73	1661.27	1706.08	1728.51	1748.84	1770.56	1688.4(-5.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	22	120	2	82	0.01	47%	-0.1	31	2.8%	0	0.4	63	NAN
22	Mar_30_2007	1734.52	1654.74	1698.19	1732.29	1738.41	1776.6	1788.15(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	1026	160	1183	556	0.02	51%	-0.05	10.1	2.73%	0	2.2	68	NAN
23	Mar_29_2007	1735.33	1645.85	1678.45	1716.96	1713.86	1727.12	1781.85(5.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	550	50	627	319	0.02	51%	-0.03	-12.1	2.75%	0	2.6	70	NAN
24	Mar_28_2007	1735.93	1639.67	1661.63	1700.37	1701.85	1700.21	1695.75(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	70	-0	65	83	0.01	47%	-0	-36.3	2.72%	0	1.2	61	NAN
25	Mar_27_2007	1736	1641.05	1652.12	1692.18	1695.62	1700.61	1688.4(-1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	85	30	85	85	0	47%		-41.6	2.73%	0	0.9	65	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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