Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jan. 23, 2007

Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 24, 2005 - Fri. Jan. 29, 2021)

(Pacific Ethanol, Inc.)
PEIX latest price $1874.2500 (6.12%) ($1822.8000 - $1972.9500) on Tue. Jan. 23, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.42% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $1874.2500(6.12%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PEIX advances 3.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEIX advances 5.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(15%)    EWY(15%)    IWM(15%)    VWO(15%)    EWG(14%)
Factors Impacting PEIX price   PEIX will decline at least -1.71% in a week (0% probabilities).
LQD(-8%)    TLT(-7%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-1%)    GLD(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.71% (StdDev 3.42%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $1699.95(10.25%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1637.56(14.45%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1629.93(14.99%)
To recent high   -6.4%
To recent low   25.5%
Market Cap   $103.989b

Pacific Ethanol, Inc. engages in the production and marketing of carbon renewable fuel. It operates through the Ethanol Production, and Marketing and Distribution business segments. The Ethanol Production segment includes the production and sale of ethanol and co-products. The Marketing and Distribution segment comprises of the marketing and merchant trading of company-produced ethanol; and co-products and third-party ethanol. The company was founded by William L. Jones and Neil M. Koehler on January 30, 2003 and is headquartered in Sacramento, CA.

$. PEIX price fluctuates within 5.85% (three month std-dev: 3.42%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_23_2007	1704.76	1629.93	1637.56	1699.95	1706.59	1801.28	1874.25(6.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	2173	400	2529	1105	0.09	85%	0.1	-15.6	3.42%	0	2.6	67	0
2	Jan_22_2007	1702.98	1622.49	1601.01	1643.25	1642.41	1668.21	1766.1(7.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	933	110	1085	478	0.04	83%	-0.1	-41.2	3.37%	0	1.9	54	0
3	Jan_19_2007	1704.77	1620.45	1572.7	1611.75	1615.64	1611.91	1641.15(3.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-43	-10	-51	-17	0.01	81%	-0.19	-57.3	3.25%	0	0.3	42	0
4	Jan_18_2007	1707.97	1625.29	1559.6	1594.74	1614.05	1616.61	1589.7(-2.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	48	50	65	-2	0.01	81%	-0.2	-61.6	3.23%	0	-0.5	35	0
5	Jan_17_2007	1711.46	1634.99	1557.56	1585.08	1602.89	1619.36	1628.55(2.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	266	110	327	81	0.01	81%	-0.19	-61.1	3.23%	0	-0.1	36	0

6	Jan_16_2007	1714.68	1644.84	1554.82	1563.87	1581.76	1611.49	1590.75(-1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	507	170	619	171	0.02	84%	-0.41	-64.5	3.24%	0	-0.6	29	0
7	Jan_12_2007	1721.69	1653.72	1562.06	1551.27	1557.28	1586.42	1608.6(3.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	520	140	635	173	0.01	86%	-0.2	-68.4	3.76%	0	-0.5	28	0
8	Jan_11_2007	1725.12	1661.39	1569.39	1528.17	1536.02	1552.03	1556.1(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	333	90	421	69	0.01	86%	-0.29	-75	3.75%	0	-1	22	0
9	Jan_10_2007	1730.18	1673.85	1583.19	1519.56	1523.62	1528.14	1541.4(1.24%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.2	65	30	108	-65	0.01	87%	-0.32	-82.4	3.75%	0	-1.2	19	0
10	Jan_9_2007	1735.67	1688.92	1600.67	1526.28	1523.35	1520.01	1522.5(-0.34%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0	-137	-20	-129	-161	0.01	89%	-0.24	-87.5	3.84%	0	-1.5	13	0

11	Jan_8_2007	1739.77	1705.82	1622.18	1544.97	1540.61	1519.09	1527.75(2.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-307	-110	-330	-236	0.01	89%	-0.2	-92	4.04%	0	-1.7	12	0
12	Jan_5_2007	1743.23	1725.2	1646.04	1575.42	1571.06	1526.7	1493.1(-1.32%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-655	-210	-744	-388	0.01	83%	-0.14	-90.6	4.11%	0	-2.3	21	0
13	Jan_4_2007	1745.67	1748.14	1673.18	1617	1612.14	1562.14	1513.05(-3.93%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-828	-230	-953	-454	0.02	83%	-0.13	-86.8	4.11%	0	-2.6	23	0
14	Jan_3_2007	1747.9	1769.79	1698.47	1655.43	1652.37	1615.43	1575(-2.53%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-707	-160	-814	-387	0.01	79%	0.1	-81.7	4.08%	0	-2.4	24	0
15	Dec_29_2006	1746.08	1788.73	1721.22	1685.25	1684	1662.15	1615.95(-3.81%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-427	-90	-487	-246	0.01	79%	-0.07	-64.4	4.11%	0	-1.9	24	0

16	Dec_28_2006	1747.37	1807.43	1744.32	1710.24	1704.41	1689.32	1680(-1.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-283	-70	-320	-170	0.01	79%	-0.06	-54.7	4.09%	0	-1.4	27	0
17	Dec_27_2006	1748.34	1821.58	1754.31	1727.88	1719.83	1705.86	1701(-0.25%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-261	-70	-294	-162	0.01	80%	-0.08	-49	4.09%	0	-1.3	24	0
18	Dec_26_2006	1749.77	1830.26	1761.49	1738.8	1736.7	1719.51	1705.2(-1.1%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-212	-70	-234	-146	0	80%	-0.17	-47.3	4.13%	0	-1.4	22	0
19	Dec_22_2006	1752.79	1839.59	1771.94	1748.46	1744.77	1733.81	1724.1(-0.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-297	-50	-332	-190	0.01	75%	-0.17	-47.5	4.18%	0	-1.4	25	0
20	Dec_21_2006	1755.75	1849.42	1783.81	1762.95	1756.98	1753.89	1740.9(-1.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-167	-20	-179	-130	0.01	75%	-0.17	-44	4.21%	0	-1.4	25	0

21	Dec_20_2006	1758.8	1858.47	1795.29	1783.95	1778.24	1755.73	1768.2(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-142	-100	-149	-120	0.01	75%	-0.13	-43.9	4.2%	0	-1.2	24	0
22	Dec_19_2006	1761.12	1867.31	1809.17	1785.21	1791.83	1760.06	1755.6(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-459	-110	-521	-272	0.01	72%	-0.12	-37.6	4.21%	0	-1.5	27	0
23	Dec_18_2006	1763.27	1872.2	1827.62	1787.52	1797.08	1800.75	1753.5(-2.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-256	30	-284	-171	0.01	72%	-0.1	-35.7	4.25%	0	-1.7	42	0
24	Dec_15_2006	1764.97	1878.99	1845.88	1798.23	1798.91	1823.59	1796.55(-2.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	311	100	380	102	0.01	72%	-0.09	-33.8	4.23%	0	-1.3	44	0
25	Dec_14_2006	1766.55	1884.44	1860.75	1807.68	1795.3	1793.4	1845.9(4.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	127	-30	162	20	0.02	72%		-29.1	4.22%	0	-0.6	44	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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