Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jul. 24, 2006

Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 24, 2005 - Fri. Jan. 29, 2021)

(Pacific Ethanol, Inc.)
PEIX latest price $1957.2000 (-3.17%) ($1871.1000 - $2089.5000) on Mon. Jul. 24, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.47% (three month average)
RSI   20
Latest Price   $1957.2000(-3.17%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PEIX declines -3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEIX declines -9.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(16%)    IWM(16%)    EWY(15%)    SPY(15%)    VWO(15%)
Factors Impacting PEIX price   PEIX will decline at least -2.735% in a week (0% probabilities).
LQD(-8%)    TLT(-7%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-1%)    REMX(3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.735% (StdDev 5.47%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -6.3%

Resistance Level   $2340.22
5 Day Moving Average   $2153.97(-9.14%)
10 Day Moving Average   $2244.42(-12.8%)
20 Day Moving Average   $2340.22(-16.37%)
To recent high   -56%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $108.591b

Pacific Ethanol, Inc. engages in the production and marketing of carbon renewable fuel. It operates through the Ethanol Production, and Marketing and Distribution business segments. The Ethanol Production segment includes the production and sale of ethanol and co-products. The Marketing and Distribution segment comprises of the marketing and merchant trading of company-produced ethanol; and co-products and third-party ethanol. The company was founded by William L. Jones and Neil M. Koehler on January 30, 2003 and is headquartered in Sacramento, CA.

$. PEIX price fluctuates within 8.04% (three month std-dev: 5.47%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_24_2006	2725.98	2340.22	2244.42	2153.97	2170.82	2062.08	1957.2(-3.17%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-1434	-330	-1658	-763	0.03	42%	-0.02	-21.4	5.47%	0	-2	20	NAN
2	Jul_21_2006	2726.41	2362.83	2304.37	2220.12	2240.31	2200.55	2021.25(-8.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-825	-100	-948	-457	0.03	42%	-0.01	-8.4	5.61%	0	-2.1	34	NAN
3	Jul_20_2006	2726.8	2382.37	2363.74	2281.02	2284.08	2279.55	2220.75(-3.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-71	-10	-68	-80	0.01	45%	0.06	5.4	5.54%	0	-1.1	52	NAN
4	Jul_19_2006	2725.19	2385.1	2401.95	2295.72	2295.37	2280.08	2313.15(2.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-140	-50	-154	-96	0.01	45%	0.13	7.1	5.56%	0	-0.5	59	NAN
5	Jul_18_2006	2721.73	2380.58	2436.43	2313.36	2309.24	2288.61	2257.5(-1.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-356	-70	-416	-177	0.01	43%	0.07	12.7	5.55%	0	-0.8	60	NAN

6	Jul_17_2006	2719.86	2381.25	2469.14	2351.37	2348.41	2310.66	2287.95(-1.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-311	-120	-369	-138	0.01	48%	0.1	14.7	5.64%	0	-0.6	53	NAN
7	Jul_14_2006	2717.06	2376.89	2485.88	2403.87	2384.31	2329.87	2325.75(1.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-681	-180	-808	-299	0.01	48%	0.16	11	5.99%	0	-0.3	50	NAN
8	Jul_13_2006	2712.63	2374.48	2483.84	2460.57	2450.26	2386.17	2294.25(-4.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-690	-200	-822	-295	0.03	50%	0.15	8.9	6.03%	0	-0.5	49	NAN
9	Jul_12_2006	2708.5	2374.82	2479.98	2523.36	2526.1	2438.76	2401.35(-1.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-778	-240	-929	-323	0.02	48%	0.21	5.7	6.08%	0	0.2	60	NAN
10	Jul_11_2006	2702.88	2361.62	2460.33	2577.54	2586.94	2514.36	2447.55(-4.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-859	-190	-1028	-350	0.03	48%	-0.1	-1	6.14%	0	0.5	64	NAN

11	Jul_10_2006	2705.51	2359.27	2446.91	2602.95	2631.5	2613.45	2550.45(-2.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-252	-20	-317	-55	0.02	51%	0.3	-7.4	6.16%	0	1.1	65	NAN
12	Jul_7_2006	2697.35	2359.98	2427.86	2578.38	2620.54	2659.52	2609.25(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	394	150	442	251	0.02	53%	0.29	-19.8	6.31%	0	1.5	71	NAN
13	Jul_6_2006	2689.42	2360.56	2402.39	2509.08	2546.05	2649.54	2608.2(-2.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	918	330	1061	487	0.04	53%	0.25	-38.3	6.41%	0	1.4	64	NAN
14	Jul_5_2006	2682.84	2365.84	2364.69	2428.44	2434.89	2581.56	2672.25(3.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	1379	430	1610	687	0.03	57%	0.5	-52.1	6.41%	0	1.6	65	NAN
15	Jul_3_2006	2669.42	2363.32	2314.74	2327.01	2325.49	2442.56	2574.6(6.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	1288	350	1508	626	0.02	57%	0.26	-67.6	6.72%	0	1	69	NAN

16	Jun_30_2006	2662.44	2371.67	2279.05	2271.57	2246.48	2288.21	2427.6(7.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	552	100	648	264	0.05	57%	0.26	-70.8	6.64%	0	0.2	50	NAN
17	Jun_29_2006	2655.61	2394.13	2252.38	2259.39	2236.37	2208.41	2262.75(2.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-124	-120	-142	-71	0.03	58%	0.19	-68.6	6.58%	0	-0.5	38	NAN
18	Jun_28_2006	2650.56	2430.34	2251.95	2281.44	2272.91	2204.74	2205(1.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-525	-220	-610	-268	0.04	59%	0.2	-63.3	6.71%	0	-0.7	34	NAN
19	Jun_27_2006	2645.21	2471.1	2260.07	2288.79	2309.92	2264.33	2165.1(-5.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-510	-110	-588	-275	0.03	59%	0.15	-60.4	6.76%	0	-0.9	30	NAN
20	Jun_26_2006	2641.25	2516.11	2257.6	2294.67	2314.32	2341.08	2297.4(-2.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-35	110	-24	-67	0.01	59%	0.2	-56.2	6.73%	0	-0.7	37	NAN

21	Jun_23_2006	2635.92	2554.53	2267.54	2283.75	2295.88	2355.52	2366.7(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	523	200	637	182	0.02	59%	0.2	-54.7	6.72%	0	-0.6	36	NAN
22	Jun_22_2006	2630.63	2599.02	2287.76	2244.06	2267.54	2287.56	2373(5.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	434	90	537	124	0.04	59%	0.3	-51.4	6.73%	0	-0.6	33	NAN
23	Jun_21_2006	2622.8	2637.61	2314.06	2221.59	2233.35	2236.24	2241.75(2.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-152	20	-148	-164	0.03	59%	0.1	-54.2	6.7%	0	-1	26	NAN
24	Jun_20_2006	2620.1	2682.37	2365.04	2229.99	2247.43	2247.53	2194.5(-2.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	73	20	118	-64	0.03	59%	0.26	-61.2	6.7%	0	-1.3	24	NAN
25	Jun_19_2006	2613.4	2709.97	2413.8	2214.03	2250.02	2230.46	2242.8(3.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-114	-10	-97	-163	0.04	59%		-78.7	6.69%	0	-1.3	24	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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