Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Apr. 27, 2006

Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 24, 2005 - Fri. Jan. 29, 2021)

(Pacific Ethanol, Inc.)
PEIX latest price $3363.1500 (-2.94%) ($3229.8000 - $3425.0900) on Thu. Apr. 27, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   7.4% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $3363.1500(-2.94%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PEIX advances 2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEIX advances 6.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(16%)    IWM(16%)    VWO(16%)    EWY(15%)    OIH(15%)
Factors Impacting PEIX price   PEIX will decline at least -3.7% in a week (0% probabilities).
LQD(-8%)    TLT(-7%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-1%)    REMX(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.7% (StdDev 7.4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $3390.45(-0.81%)
10 Day Moving Average   $3313.89(1.49%)
20 Day Moving Average   $3018.56(11.42%)
To recent high   -5.5%
To recent low   161.9%
Market Cap   $186.598b

Pacific Ethanol, Inc. engages in the production and marketing of carbon renewable fuel. It operates through the Ethanol Production, and Marketing and Distribution business segments. The Ethanol Production segment includes the production and sale of ethanol and co-products. The Marketing and Distribution segment comprises of the marketing and merchant trading of company-produced ethanol; and co-products and third-party ethanol. The company was founded by William L. Jones and Neil M. Koehler on January 30, 2003 and is headquartered in Sacramento, CA.

$. PEIX price fluctuates within 13.96% (three month std-dev: 7.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060527

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_27_2006	1851.57	3018.56	3313.89	3390.45	3429.23	3426.54	3363.15(-2.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-269	30	-332	-81	0.03	83%	1.32	87.9	7.4%	0	0.8	65	NAN
2	Apr_26_2006	1827.39	2968.97	3268.43	3323.88	3377.85	3507.26	3465(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	773	320	895	406	0.04	83%	1.4	86.2	7.38%	0	1.1	67	NAN
3	Apr_25_2006	1802.13	2902.64	3231.1	3274.11	3284.14	3431.93	3496.5(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	1275	320	1482	655	0.1	83%	1.44	81.8	7.37%	0	1.3	74	NAN
4	Apr_24_2006	1776.62	2827.61	3205.71	3227.91	3226.85	3248.44	3465(9.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	605	50	687	359	0.06	83%	1.37	76.3	7.37%	0	1.4	73	NAN
5	Apr_21_2006	1752.68	2750.02	3155	3246.39	3244.43	3136.35	3162.6(4.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-593	-230	-731	-180	0.03	83%	1.23	75.5	7.32%	0	0.9	72	NAN

6	Apr_20_2006	1731.3	2688.77	3114.37	3228.54	3308.35	3205.26	3030.3(-5.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-745	-140	-913	-240	0.04	83%	1.16	71.1	7.37%	0	0.7	69	NAN
7	Apr_19_2006	1711.51	2636.08	3086.65	3196.83	3287.75	3352.52	3216.15(-1.51%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	0	-55	220	-105	94	0.05	83%	1.25	68.2	7.31%	0	1.1	71	NAN
8	Apr_18_2006	1690.35	2573.78	3000.19	3173.73	3215.56	3411.45	3265.5(-8.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	1249	470	1427	716	0.08	83%	1.15	69	7.31%	0	1.3	76	NAN
9	Apr_17_2006	1671.08	2509.03	2906.74	3176.88	3181.96	3222.98	3557.4(15.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	1420	100	1621	818	0.06	86%	1.37	73.2	7.19%	0	2.1	84	NAN
10	Apr_13_2006	1648.49	2427.52	2775.69	3058.65	3134.78	3019.67	3073.35(7.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-528	-180	-672	-94	0.03	85%	1.1	76.3	6.99%	0	1.5	82	NAN

11	Apr_12_2006	1630.63	2372.5	2700.42	2986.83	3090.81	3140.94	2871.75(-7.38%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.3	-335	220	-448	6	0.05	85%	0.97	77.3	6.96%	0	1.2	80	NAN
12	Apr_11_2006	1614.91	2323.72	2648.82	2953.23	3014.03	3249.88	3100.65(-5.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	2063	610	2367	1151	0.07	88%	1.12	77.7	6.9%	0	1.9	84	NAN
13	Apr_10_2006	1596.96	2260.7	2549.31	2791.32	2822.27	3040.67	3281.25(10.62%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	2527	570	2920	1349	0.05	88%	1.35	70.1	6.86%	0	2.7	88	NAN
14	Apr_7_2006	1575.72	2188.71	2414.9	2594.55	2597.04	2778.17	2966.25(9.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	1660	490	1911	907	0.02	88%	1.15	65.5	6.75%	0	2.5	84	NAN
15	Apr_6_2006	1557.76	2130.51	2305.91	2454.69	2461.33	2603.87	2714.25(0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	1602	410	1852	851	0.02	87%	1.1	58.8	6.73%	0	2.3	81	NAN

16	Apr_5_2006	1540.75	2083.4	2223.48	2374.89	2361.38	2415.92	2703.75(18.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.5	770	140	879	442	0.03	87%	1.12	52	6.74%	0	2.8	80	NAN
17	Apr_4_2006	1523.64	2039.01	2144.23	2303.28	2327.92	2318.79	2291.1(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	159	0	163	146	0.01	85%	0.93	50.4	6.43%	0	1.5	75	NAN
18	Apr_3_2006	1509.6	2022.08	2112.3	2267.37	2313.87	2306.85	2297.4(1.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	69	40	58	101	0.01	85%	0.92	47.6	6.42%	0	1.8	76	NAN
19	Mar_31_2006	1495.86	2005.18	2080.96	2202.48	2253.17	2337.04	2266.95(-2.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	467	330	530	277	0.02	85%	0.9	36.3	6.42%	0	1.8	71	NAN
20	Mar_30_2006	1482.57	1990.24	2052.85	2128.14	2169.1	2320.89	2315.25(-1.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.4	1485	550	1731	745	0.02	85%	0.96	22.9	6.46%	0	2.5	77	NAN

21	Mar_29_2006	1468.41	1975.13	2019.41	2045.61	2051.7	2169.3	2345.7(11.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.7	1345	410	1571	668	0.03	86%	1	13	6.45%	0	3.4	81	NAN
22	Mar_28_2006	1453.94	1958.36	1972.98	1965.39	1969.93	2017.31	2111.55(7.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	686	180	801	342	0.02	85%	0.83	-0.5	6.41%	0	2.1	67	NAN
23	Mar_27_2006	1441.94	1950.52	1949.96	1938.09	1938.43	1934.1	1972.95(4.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	41	-20	45	29	0.01	84%	0.74	-3.4	6.37%	0	0.3	49	NAN
24	Mar_24_2006	1431.31	1954.84	1945.57	1942.92	1948.01	1922.55	1895.25(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-240	-80	-285	-104	0.01	84%	0.68	18.8	6.4%	0	-0.9	43	NAN
25	Mar_23_2006	1421.69	1960.78	1943.66	1964.34	1974.46	1942.76	1902.6(-2.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-274	-100	-325	-120	0.01	84%		39	6.45%	0	-0.8	42	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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