Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jun. 14, 2005

Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 24, 2005 - Fri. Jan. 29, 2021)

(Pacific Ethanol, Inc.)
PEIX latest price $1185.4500 (-3.42%) ($984.9000 - $1207.5000) on Tue. Jun. 14, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.37% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $1185.4500(-3.42%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PEIX advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEIX advances 6.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(16%)    EWY(15%)    IWM(15%)    OIH(15%)    VWO(15%)
Factors Impacting PEIX price   PEIX will decline at least -2.185% in a week (0% probabilities).
LQD(-8%)    TLT(-7%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(-1%)    REMX(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.185% (StdDev 4.37%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $1219.47(-2.79%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1172.77(1.08%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1128.51(5.05%)
To recent high   -12.8%
To recent low   31.6%
Market Cap   $65.772b

Pacific Ethanol, Inc. engages in the production and marketing of carbon renewable fuel. It operates through the Ethanol Production, and Marketing and Distribution business segments. The Ethanol Production segment includes the production and sale of ethanol and co-products. The Marketing and Distribution segment comprises of the marketing and merchant trading of company-produced ethanol; and co-products and third-party ethanol. The company was founded by William L. Jones and Neil M. Koehler on January 30, 2003 and is headquartered in Sacramento, CA.

$. PEIX price fluctuates within 5.97% (three month std-dev: 4.37%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20050714

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_14_2005	1086.61	1128.51	1172.77	1219.47	1207.83	1183.09	1185.45(-3.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-515	-170	-630	-169	0	62%	0.16	49.6	4.37%	0	0.8	67	0
2	Jun_13_2005	1084.85	1126.25	1169.11	1218.63	1221.08	1230.21	1227.45(-1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	69	60	52	118	0	62%	0.24	57.7	4.37%	0	1.5	72	0
3	Jun_10_2005	1082.25	1119.98	1158.29	1205.2	1210.26	1232.57	1242.15(2.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	365	140	400	258	0	62%	0.27	61.7	4.41%	0	2	73	0
4	Jun_9_2005	1079.29	1112.35	1141.15	1176.85	1187.43	1211.96	1212.75(-1.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	502	170	566	309	0	62%	0.23	61.8	4.44%	0	1.8	71	0
5	Jun_8_2005	1076.78	1104.41	1124.86	1146.19	1145.43	1187.96	1229.55(4.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	418	260	475	247	0	62%	0.27	55.8	4.48%	0	2.5	64	0

6	Jun_7_2005	1073.84	1096.1	1105.75	1119.73	1117.81	1162.89	1181.25(1.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	689	280	802	351	0	62%	0.2	63.1	4.49%	0	2.1	55	0
7	Jun_6_2005	1071.73	1089.28	1091.75	1113.22	1098.18	1102.9	1160.28(5.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	310	-10	360	159	0	62%	0.17	80	4.53%	0	1.9	49	0
8	Jun_3_2005	1069.96	1083.13	1080.27	1105.65	1094.63	1072.72	1100.4(3.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-263	-170	-310	-121	0	58%	0.06	97.5	4.52%	0	0.5	48	0
9	Jun_2_2005	1069.34	1079.51	1075.16	1100.19	1107.04	1093.46	1059.45(-3.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-177	-70	-206	-89	0	58%	-0.02	104.9	4.54%	0	-0.5	45	0
10	Jun_1_2005	1069.55	1076.9	1078.87	1098.3	1099.88	1116.54	1097.25(-4.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	60	110	72	24	0	58%	0.06	105.5	4.55%	0	0.5	57	0

11	May_31_2005	1068.96	1070.51	1081.18	1087.59	1082.88	1120.61	1148.7(2.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	487	230	575	224	0	58%	0.16	90.4	4.55%	0	1.6	61	0
12	May_27_2005	1067.22	1060.04	1079.78	1066.8	1059.32	1083.21	1122.45(4.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	441	140	522	199	0	58%	0.11	61.8	4.59%	0	1	62	0
13	May_26_2005	1066	1049.84	1078.01	1052.31	1043.77	1045.14	1073.1(2.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	103	-20	125	38	0	55%	0.02	44.7	4.59%	0	0.4	58	0
14	May_25_2005	1065.83	1041.85	1080.81	1047.48	1041.15	1035.43	1050(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-110	-60	-127	-57	0	55%	-0.03	36.2	4.64%	0	0.1	58	0
15	May_24_2005	1066.2	1035.15	1082.48	1056.91	1048.63	1042.4	1043.7(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-120	-70	-143	-50	0	55%	-0.05	27	4.69%	0	0.1	62	0

16	May_23_2005	1066.74	1028.81	1086.2	1073.71	1062.47	1046.86	1044.75(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-197	-130	-241	-66	0	55%	-0.05	21.3	4.75%	0	0.2	68	0
17	May_20_2005	1067.27	1024.13	1087.6	1094.71	1086.09	1054.86	1050(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-305	-220	-376	-92	0	55%	-0.04	22.9	4.81%	0	0.3	72	0
18	May_19_2005	1067.71	1021.16	1087.57	1107.31	1106.96	1078.08	1048.95(-4.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-387	-180	-480	-109	0	55%	-0.04	19	4.87%	0	0.4	74	0
19	May_18_2005	1068.19	1016.53	1086.13	1118.02	1118.77	1117.32	1097.15(-2.71%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.3	-127	-10	-181	35	0	55%	0.07	12	4.87%	0	1	84	0
20	May_17_2005	1067.42	1014.98	1076.76	1110.69	1117.73	1135.84	1127.7(-1.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	271	130	285	230	0	55%	0.15	9.7	4.91%	0	1.4	89	0

21	May_16_2005	1065.8	1012.45	1060.44	1100.19	1097.72	1120.22	1149.75(3.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	305	140	324	248	0	55%	0.22	5.3	4.96%	0	1.8	93	0
22	May_13_2005	1063.46	1006.49	1039.01	1080.24	1079.74	1099.61	1113(0.95%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	311	130	335	240	0	55%	0.13	-10	5.01%	0	1.4	77	0
23	May_12_2005	1062.05	1006.38	1019.05	1065.75	1065.3	1075.21	1102.5(3.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	237	60	253	190	0	55%	0.11	-23	5.08%	0	1.2	64	0
24	May_11_2005	1060.86	1006.96	998.97	1050	1049.1	1059.86	1060.5(-1.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	126	70	127	124	0	55%	-0	-41.3	5.12%	0	0.7	65	0
25	May_10_2005	1060.87	1007.22	983.34	1037.19	1035.65	1055.38	1075.2(2.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	273	130	308	168	0	55%		-57.9	5.19%	0	0.9	47	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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