Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. May. 9, 2005

Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 24, 2005 - Fri. Jan. 29, 2021)

(Pacific Ethanol, Inc.)
PEIX latest price $1050.0000 (0.91%) ($1044.7500 - $1057.3500) on Mon. May. 9, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.26% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $1050.0000(0.91%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PEIX advances 2.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PEIX advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(16%)    EWY(15%)    IWM(15%)    OIH(15%)    VWO(15%)
Factors Impacting PEIX price   PEIX will decline at least -2.63% in a week (0% probabilities).
LQD(-8%)    TLT(-7%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(-1%)    REMX(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.63% (StdDev 5.26%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $1014.09(3.54%)
10 Day Moving Average   $965.91(8.71%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1008.42(4.12%)
To recent high   -22.7%
To recent low   16.6%
Market Cap   $58.257b

Pacific Ethanol, Inc. engages in the production and marketing of carbon renewable fuel. It operates through the Ethanol Production, and Marketing and Distribution business segments. The Ethanol Production segment includes the production and sale of ethanol and co-products. The Marketing and Distribution segment comprises of the marketing and merchant trading of company-produced ethanol; and co-products and third-party ethanol. The company was founded by William L. Jones and Neil M. Koehler on January 30, 2003 and is headquartered in Sacramento, CA.

$. PEIX price fluctuates within 8.57% (three month std-dev: 5.26%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20050609

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_9_2005	1060.42	1008.42	965.91	1014.09	1012.27	1038.33	1050(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	311	170	363	153	0	55%	-0.03	-62.2	5.26%	0	0.5	42	0
2	May_6_2005	1060.76	1014.05	954.52	990.99	987.47	1015.92	1040.55(1.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	362	190	431	154	0	55%	-0.06	-54.4	5.35%	0	0.3	48	0
3	May_5_2005	1061.43	1024.56	948.13	964.95	961.87	986.21	1023.75(2.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	331	170	404	113	0	55%	-0.12	-44.8	5.43%	0	-0	39	0
4	May_4_2005	1062.73	1039.62	940.1	940.38	935.73	959.02	996.45(3.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	226	160	289	35	0	55%	-0.22	-36.3	5.51%	0	-0.3	36	0
5	May_3_2005	1065.1	1055.26	946.7	921.69	919.87	937.52	959.7(2.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	295	130	374	58	0	55%	-0.36	-31.6	5.56%	0	-0.7	40	0

6	May_2_2005	1069	1065.14	959.1	910.77	893.16	912.45	934.5(2.65%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.2	128	90	179	-26	0	55%	-0.48	-30.7	5.64%	0	-1	34	0
7	Apr_29_2005	1074.17	1073.21	970.22	912.87	876.42	902.21	910.35(1.05%)	RB	SmallLong	20	-0	123	90	176	-37	0	55%	-0.61	-31.3	5.72%	0	-1.2	28	0
8	Apr_28_2005	1080.73	1083.45	992.07	929.04	888.86	873.86	900.9(-0.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	30	-250	67	-81	0	55%	-0.69	-26.7	5.84%	0	-1.4	23	0
9	Apr_27_2005	1088.22	1092.36	1015.66	939.54	913.8	850.63	903(-0.23%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-595	-570	-666	-383	0	55%	-0.73	0	5.96%	0	-1.6	21	0
10	Apr_26_2005	1096.27	1101.08	1034.14	975.64	954.88	903.87	905.1(-4.22%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-804	-440	-912	-481	0	55%	-0.79	0	6.1%	0	-1.7	23	0

11	Apr_25_2005	1104.96	1108.98	1056.28	1014.61	1015.83	976.97	945(-4.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-402	-260	-443	-279	0	55%	-0.68	0	6.18%	0	-1.5	41	0
12	Apr_22_2005	1112.58	1116.69	1080.47	1035.82	1057.43	1005.9	991.2(3.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-441	-280	-494	-282	0	55%	-0.54	0	6.24%	0	-1.2	49	0
13	Apr_21_2005	1118.65	1118.84	1108.62	1065.01	1077.12	1054.68	953.4(-12.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-527	-110	-602	-300	0	55%	-0.77	0	6.34%	0	-1.6	46	0
14	Apr_20_2005	1127.35	1118.84	1148.65	1102.18	1111.57	1108.97	1083.49(-1.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	30	10	35	14	0	69%	-0.22	0	5.84%	0	11.3	56	0
15	Apr_19_2005	1129.78	1118.84	1172.71	1101.37	1120.45	1099.55	1099.98(4.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-87	-80	-102	-41	0	69%	-0.16	0	5.99%	0	11.2	57	0

16	Apr_18_2005	1131.54	1118.84	1179.39	1105.02	1116.28	1114.17	1051.05(-7.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-270	20	-318	-127	0	69%	-0.44	0	6.09%	0	10.4	56	0
17	Apr_15_2005	1136.57	1118.84	1184.96	1131.9	1134	1141.35	1137.15(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	114	50	134	54	0	82%	0	0	5.91%	0	11.2	57	0
18	Apr_14_2005	1136.53	1118.84	1182.46	1160.67	1144.17	1118.38	1139.25(5.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-222	-200	-261	-104	0	82%	0.02	0	6.11%	0	10.8	62	0
19	Apr_13_2005	1136.33	1118.84	1175.66	1204.56	1181.18	1126.65	1079.4(-3.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-580	-380	-682	-273	0	82%	-0.38	0	6.21%	0	9.9	50	0
20	Apr_12_2005	1140.71	1118.84	1175.09	1255.38	1247.4	1169.96	1118.25(-5.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-570	-450	-671	-268	0	82%	-0.16	0	6.34%	0	10	50	0

21	Apr_11_2005	1142.58	1118.84	1168.51	1262.73	1279.16	1235.72	1185.45(-7.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-546	-200	-642	-257	0	82%	0.34	0	6.27%	0	10.2	50	0
22	Apr_8_2005	1138.69	1118.84	1158.17	1241.73	1265.85	1324.84	1281(-5.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	245	380	288	115	0	100%	1.27	0	5.84%	0	10.6	50	0
23	Apr_7_2005	1124.46	1118.84	1130.73	1204.98	1215.45	1322.61	1358.7(1.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	1273	640	1498	599	0	100%	2.37	0	5.42%	0	11.6	50	0
24	Apr_6_2005	1098.43	1118.84	1130.73	1143.87	1141.23	1206.86	1333.5(15.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	990	400	1165	466	0	100%	2.75	0	5.72%	0	14.5	50	0
25	Apr_5_2005	1069.05	1118.84	1130.73	1087.17	1086.95	1108.29	1155(6.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	504	140	593	237	0	100%		0	3.86%	0	27.6	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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