Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Mar. 31, 2005

Trading Signals: PEIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Mar. 24, 2005 - Fri. Jan. 29, 2021)

(Pacific Ethanol, Inc.)
PEIX latest price $1053.1500 (0.3%) ($1044.7500 - $1076.2500) on Thu. Mar. 31, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.88% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $1053.1500(0.3%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PEIX advances 25.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PEIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLY(6%)    QQQ(5%)    EWG(4%)    IWM(4%)    SPY(4%)
Factors Impacting PEIX price   PEIX will decline at least -1.94% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-4%)    TLT(-3%)    GLD(-1%)    TIP(0%)    REMX(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.94% (StdDev 3.88%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $1043.93(0.88%)
10 Day Moving Average   $0(0%)
20 Day Moving Average   $0(0%)
To recent high   -2.1%
To recent low   4.5%
Market Cap   $58.432b

Pacific Ethanol, Inc. engages in the production and marketing of carbon renewable fuel. It operates through the Ethanol Production, and Marketing and Distribution business segments. The Ethanol Production segment includes the production and sale of ethanol and co-products. The Marketing and Distribution segment comprises of the marketing and merchant trading of company-produced ethanol; and co-products and third-party ethanol. The company was founded by William L. Jones and Neil M. Koehler on January 30, 2003 and is headquartered in Sacramento, CA.

$. PEIX price fluctuates within 0% (three month std-dev: 3.88%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20050501

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_31_2005	1043.93			1043.93	1063.85	1057.73	1053.15(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	253	20	298	119	0	100%	0.22	0	3.88%	0	46.2	50	0
2	Mar_30_2005	1041.63			833.3	1046.72	1054.99	1050(1.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	8.7	129	820	152	61	0	100%	0.27	0	4.44%	0	42.1	50	0
3	Mar_29_2005	1038.84			623.3	1046.72	1054.99	1032.26(-4.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	14.5	155	-10000	182	73	0	100%	-0.32	0	5.43%	0	36.5	50	0
4	Mar_28_2005	1042.13			416.85	1046.72	1054.99	1076.25(6.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	19.3	0	-10000	0	0	0	100%	3.39	0	0%	0	31.5	50	0
5	Mar_24_2005	1008			201.6	1046.72	1054.99	1008(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	0	-10000	0	0	0	0%		0	0%	0	0	50	0

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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