Trading Signals: PDD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Nov. 12, 2020

Trading Signals: PDD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jul. 26, 2018 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Pinduoduo Inc.)
PDD latest price $134.0900 (20.26%) ($127.0100 - $138.2700) on Thu. Nov. 12, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.61% (three month average)
RSI   80
Latest Price   $134.0900(20.26%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PDD advances 3.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PDD advances 12.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PDD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
KWEB(84%)    MCHI(77%)    FXI(73%)    EEM(67%)    ONLN(56%)
Factors Impacting PDD price   PDD will decline at least -2.305% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-23%)    UUP(-16%)    VXX(-10%)    TBT(-4%)    EDOC(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.305% (StdDev 4.61%)
Hourly BBV 1.3 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $113.86(17.77%)
10 Day Moving Average   $107.81(24.38%)
20 Day Moving Average   $98.48(36.16%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   87.9%
Market Cap   $91.049b

Pinduoduo, Inc. operates as a holding company, which engages in the development and management of an e-commerce platform. Its Pinduoduo mobile application offers a selection of merchandise for buyer acquisition and engagement. The company was founded by Hua Lin Cai and Zheng Huang on April 20, 2015 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

$. PDD price fluctuates within 13.22% (three month std-dev: 4.61%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 7.98%(40%) Average negative next day return: -3.98%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 15.92%(60%) Average negative next three day return: -5.99%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 14%(80%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.41%(20%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20201212

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_12_2020	87.26	98.48	107.81	113.86	113.08	121.3	134.09(20.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.6	227	490	218	254	32.07	68%	0.58	67.1	4.61%	1.3	2.7	80	1.1
2	Nov_11_2020	86.76	95.79	103.61	109.66	108.24	105.61	111.5(8.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	47	-210	3	177	11.92	62%	0.32	76.5	3.93%	1.1	1.5	73	1.8
3	Nov_10_2020	86.48	94.31	101.49	109.4	109.27	104.85	103(-3.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-26	-290	-86	153	9.71	59%	0.26	85	3.81%	-0.9	0.9	65	1.7
4	Nov_9_2020	86.26	93.39	100.3	108.37	110.81	110.88	106.23(-7.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	45	70	-2	185	8.75	59%	0.21	89.7	3.79%	-1.7	1.3	69	1.4
5	Nov_6_2020	86.08	92.28	98.42	105.44	108.19	113.69	114.5(1.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	138	430	112	215	4.2	60%	0.38	88.9	3.7%	1	2.3	82	1.7

6	Nov_5_2020	85.75	90.46	95.57	100.54	102.51	110.74	113.06(2.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	177	620	171	195	8.58	60%	0.35	84.7	3.78%	1	2.5	82	1
7	Nov_4_2020	85.45	88.43	92.89	96.75	96.97	102.69	110.23(12.66%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.8	162	420	161	165	11.3	60%	0.39	83.1	3.8%	1.4	2.9	81	0.8
8	Nov_3_2020	85.12	86.6	90.7	92.69	93.47	94.29	97.84(6.85%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	80	90	70	109	11.22	57%	0.24	81.6	3.48%	1.6	1.8	76	-0.6
9	Nov_2_2020	84.92	85.36	89.75	91.18	91.55	91.24	91.57(1.75%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	10	-10	-11	72	4.37	53%	0.22	74.5	3.42%	-0.5	1	64	-1.4
10	Oct_30_2020	84.73	84.42	89.05	90.25	91.16	92.65	89.99(-4.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	36	140	24	73	4.87	57%	0.22	64.8	3.56%	-0.9	0.8	62	-1.7

11	Oct_29_2020	84.54	83.52	88.49	89.63	90.13	91.86	94.1(4.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	64	150	55	90	8.62	60%	0.25	59.6	3.52%	1.3	1.6	79	-1.4
12	Oct_28_2020	84.33	82.52	87.34	88.36	88.3	89.66	89.96(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	36	110	20	82	3.96	58%	0.25	56.2	3.48%	1	1.1	82	-2.6
13	Oct_27_2020	84.12	81.72	86.62	88.42	88	88.4	90.3(3.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	40	20	20	100	3.46	61%	0.26	55.9	3.48%	1.4	1.3	78	-0.5
14	Oct_26_2020	83.9	80.88	86.03	88.19	88.25	86.93	86.9(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	20	-100	-10	111	2.59	59%	0.22	52.5	3.51%	-0.4	1	78	-0.4
15	Oct_23_2020	83.72	80.28	85.81	87.64	88.67	87.61	86.91(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	18	-50	-19	129	2.8	59%	0.25	47.3	3.51%	-0.7	1.1	79	1.1

16	Oct_22_2020	83.51	79.64	85.11	87.07	88.09	89.58	87.75(-2.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	49	150	13	156	5.89	59%	0.23	41.7	3.52%	-1.4	1.3	81	1.2
17	Oct_21_2020	83.32	78.99	83.76	86.07	87.07	89.74	90.23(1.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	98	250	73	171	6.38	59%	0.28	34.6	3.52%	0.6	2	76	0.9
18	Oct_20_2020	83.09	78.25	82.22	84.56	84.9	86.6	89.14(5.9%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	73	150	48	148	8.84	59%	0.29	24.9	3.53%	1.1	2.1	76	0.6
19	Oct_19_2020	82.85	77.73	80.61	83.66	83.63	84.4	84.17(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	45	60	17	130	4.15	56%	0.22	20.3	3.47%	-0.1	1.4	72	0.7
20	Oct_16_2020	82.67	77.47	79.44	83.75	83.56	83.2	84.05(1.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	41	-40	12	127	3.63	56%	0.29	16.4	3.48%	0.9	1.5	67	1.4

21	Oct_15_2020	82.43	77.2	78.19	82.84	83.43	82.86	82.76(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	33	-30	7	110	3.38	56%	0.27	5.4	3.49%	-0.4	1.3	67	1.6
22	Oct_14_2020	82.21	77.06	77.33	80.98	82.44	83.92	82.67(-2.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	47	180	31	95	4.36	56%	0.22	-10.3	3.5%	-1.2	1.4	64	2
23	Oct_13_2020	82.03	77	76.44	79.4	80.03	84	84.66(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	84	370	81	91	4.63	56%	0.04	-23.2	3.49%	0.8	1.9	64	2.1
24	Oct_12_2020	82	76.82	75.26	77.06	77.7	80.96	84.63(6.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	100	320	113	61	11.36	56%	0.2	-37.1	3.49%	1.3	1.9	54	2.7
25	Oct_9_2020	81.84	76.77	74.2	74.56	74.99	76.07	79.5(8.27%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.2	37	120	51	-7	13.99	52%		-53.1	3.42%	2	0.7	46	2.6
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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