Trading Signals: PDD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jun. 30, 2020

Trading Signals: PDD Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jul. 26, 2018 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Pinduoduo Inc.)
PDD latest price $85.8200 (-2.02%) ($84.9570 - $90.4800) on Tue. Jun. 30, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.34% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $85.8200(-2.02%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PDD advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PDD advances 6.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PDD advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
KWEB(82%)    MCHI(73%)    FXI(70%)    EEM(63%)    ONLN(55%)
Factors Impacting PDD price   PDD will decline at least -2.17% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-22%)    UUP(-16%)    VXX(-10%)    IYT(-4%)    TBT(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.17% (StdDev 4.34%)
Hourly BBV -0.4 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

Inflection Point   Yes
5 Day Moving Average   $85.81(0.01%)
10 Day Moving Average   $84.81(1.19%)
20 Day Moving Average   $78.55(9.26%)
To recent high   -2.1%
To recent low   140.8%
Market Cap   $58.273b

Pinduoduo, Inc. operates as a holding company, which engages in the development and management of an e-commerce platform. Its Pinduoduo mobile application offers a selection of merchandise for buyer acquisition and engagement. The company was founded by Hua Lin Cai and Zheng Huang on April 20, 2015 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

$. PDD price fluctuates within 9.5% (three month std-dev: 4.34%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 16 Average positive next day return: 1.08%(50%) Average negative next day return: -2.26%(50%) Sample size 16 Average positive next three day return: 3.67%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.56%(50%) Sample size 16 Average positive next weekly return: 4.04%(69%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.65%(31%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200730

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_30_2020	51.31	78.55	84.81	85.81	86.08	86.64	85.82(-2.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	35	50	14	99	7.78	73%	1.04	77.7	4.34%	-0.4	1	72	0.3
2	Jun_29_2020	50.78	77.63	84.08	85.37	85.49	85.97	87.59(2.85%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	41	40	16	114	5.24	73%	1.07	76.6	4.31%	1.1	1.3	78	-0.2
3	Jun_26_2020	50.24	76.54	83.1	84.21	84.81	85.53	85.16(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	35	80	8	117	8	71%	1.01	72	4.38%	1	1.2	78	-0.9
4	Jun_25_2020	49.74	75.62	81.96	84.71	84.07	85.01	85.98(1.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	43	60	12	135	5.75	72%	1.04	76.2	4.38%	1.2	1.3	75	-0.3
5	Jun_24_2020	49.23	74.35	80.56	83.99	84.46	84.09	84.5(1.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	46	-10	14	143	8.69	73%	1.01	72.8	4.38%	0.7	1.3	77	-0.7

6	Jun_23_2020	48.74	73.15	79.42	83.67	84.28	83.12	83.62(2.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	28	-70	-10	142	9.14	73%	1.02	72.7	4.41%	-0.5	1.4	72	-0
7	Jun_22_2020	48.25	72.19	78.03	82.54	83.87	84.84	81.79(-6.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	39	130	4	145	14.33	73%	0.98	70.2	4.41%	-1.1	1.3	72	-0.2
8	Jun_19_2020	47.78	71.5	76.73	81.7	83	85.44	87.67(6.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	93	250	66	175	21.71	77%	1.12	76	4.3%	1.4	2.3	82	-0.8
9	Jun_18_2020	47.25	70.08	74.87	78.78	80.3	82.91	82.39(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	81	290	59	148	10.38	74%	1	70.2	4.3%	0.3	1.9	76	-0.7
10	Jun_17_2020	46.78	68.98	73.24	76.6	77.73	80.55	82.87(6.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	81	300	62	139	9.27	74%	1.01	65.4	4.36%	1.2	2.3	83	-0.9

11	Jun_16_2020	46.31	67.93	71.7	74.59	75.25	77.7	78(0.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	73	250	53	132	11.66	71%	0.92	70.1	4.33%	0.6	2	81	-1
12	Jun_15_2020	45.89	67.3	70.59	72.86	73.83	74.9	77.58(6.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	67	140	50	116	10.57	71%	0.9	80.8	4.4%	1.8	2.2	67	-1.3
13	Jun_12_2020	45.48	66.46	69.36	71.01	71.81	72.8	73.07(2.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	29	130	13	77	8.85	68%	0.78	86.3	4.36%	0.2	1.6	56	-1.4
14	Jun_11_2020	45.13	65.83	68.71	70.35	70.68	72.76	71.48(-1.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	47	220	32	91	7.46	65%	0.76	99.5	4.47%	-0.1	1.4	66	-2.6
15	Jun_10_2020	44.79	65.25	67.65	69.3	70.12	70.82	72.82(4.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	51	110	41	82	8.01	66%	0.76	106.9	4.56%	1.7	2	66	0.9

16	Jun_9_2020	44.45	64.49	66.4	68.38	68.55	68.59	69.37(1.55%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	8	10	-6	50	4.58	65%	0.59	117	4.55%	-0.2	1.3	59	1
17	Jun_8_2020	44.19	63.79	65.93	67.95	68.58	69.41	68.31(-2.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	23	110	14	51	6.62	65%	0.66	116.2	4.55%	-0.1	1.1	53	1.6
18	Jun_5_2020	43.9	63.13	65.92	67.43	68.5	68.5	69.75(5.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	31	50	20	63	10.02	65%	0.73	117.1	4.53%	0.5	1.5	61	2
19	Jun_4_2020	43.58	62.17	64.95	66.85	67.34	67.75	66.25(-2.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	15	60	3	49	6.42	64%	0.65	104.7	4.51%	-2.1	0.8	59	1.6
20	Jun_3_2020	43.3	61.36	64.44	65.67	66.82	68.49	68.21(1.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	45	230	42	54	6.6	62%	0.72	87.5	4.48%	0.3	1.2	62	1.7

21	Jun_2_2020	42.99	60.41	63.89	64.09	64.86	66.93	67.22(2.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	37	260	35	43	10.7	63%	0.68	75.1	4.54%	0.7	1.2	64	1.3
22	Jun_1_2020	42.7	59.4	63.74	63.63	63.01	65.16	65.72(-1.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	31	210	23	56	6.27	63%	0.66	64.1	4.56%	1	1	66	1
23	May_29_2020	42.42	58.42	63.3	64.24	62.78	62.8	66.85(10.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	41	-70	28	80	14.99	63%	0.66	60.2	4.58%	2.3	1.2	68	1.3
24	May_28_2020	42.14	57.45	62.68	62.86	63.25	60.87	60.35(0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	4	-240	-19	71	7.38	61%	0.5	52.8	4.45%	-0.9	0.4	68	0.9
25	May_27_2020	41.93	56.9	62.69	62.97	62.83	62.77	60.31(-7.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-6	-10	-38	90	8.93	61%		50.3	4.45%	-1.5	0.5	69	1.5
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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