Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ PCY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Nov. 16, 2017

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $29.3300 (0.27%) ($29.3000 - $29.3800) on Thu. Nov. 16, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.3% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $29.3300(0.27%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PCY advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PCY declines -0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EMHY(89%)    HYG(71%)    JNK(71%)    CEMB(69%)    LQD(66%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -0.15% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-26%)    TBT(-19%)    VIXM(-16%)    DIA(-6%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.15% (StdDev 0.3%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $27.98(-4.6%)
Resistance Level   $29.43
5 Day Moving Average   $29.25(0.27%)
10 Day Moving Average   $29.28(0.17%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29.43(-0.34%)
To recent high   -2.7%
To recent low   0.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 0.71% (three month std-dev: 0.3%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171216

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_16_2017	29.58	29.43	29.28	29.25			29.33(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-23	-10000	9	-118	1.24	42%	0	-71.8	0.3%	0	-0.5	42	0
2	Nov_15_2017	29.58	29.45	29.31	29.21			29.25(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-31	-10000	-2	-117	1.64	40%	0	-70.7	0.3%	0	-0.9	48	0
3	Nov_14_2017	29.58	29.48	29.35	29.21			29.21(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-27	-10000	0	-108	1.22	40%	-0.03	-66.7	0.3%	0	-1.2	40	0
4	Nov_13_2017	29.59	29.51	29.39	29.22			29.26(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-34	-10000	-9	-110	0.83	40%	0	-62.8	0.3%	0	-1.1	39	0
5	Nov_10_2017	29.59	29.54	29.42	29.26			29.19(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-33	-10000	-11	-100	2.4	38%	-0.03	-55.1	0.3%	0	-1.5	35	0

6	Nov_9_2017	29.6	29.58	29.46	29.31			29.15(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-44	-10000	-26	-97	1.7	38%	0	-48.6	0.31%	0	-2	30	0
7	Nov_8_2017	29.6	29.61	29.48	29.43			29.27(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-36	-10000	-18	-89	0.9	40%	0	-40.6	0.3%	0	-1.8	29	0
8	Nov_7_2017	29.6	29.64	29.51	29.51			29.23(-0.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-33	-10000	-16	-82	1.28	40%	0	-32.8	0.3%	0	-2.3	28	0
9	Nov_6_2017	29.6	29.66	29.55	29.58			29.44(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-25	-10000	-10	-70	2	43%	-0.03	-29.4	0.29%	0	-1.5	33	0
10	Nov_3_2017	29.61	29.67	29.57	29.58			29.48(-0.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-18	-10000	0	-70	1.47	44%	0	-31.9	0.29%	0	-1.4	34	0

11	Nov_2_2017	29.61	29.67	29.59	29.62			29.73(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-4	-10000	19	-72	1.26	49%	0	-31.9	0.28%	0	0.3	40	0
12	Nov_1_2017	29.61	29.69	29.6	29.54			29.65(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-22	-10000	5	-103	2.11	49%	0	-42.6	0.28%	0	-0.3	44	0
13	Oct_31_2017	29.61	29.7	29.62	29.52			29.62(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-26	-10000	2	-111	1.3	49%	0	-40.4	0.28%	0	-0.6	43	0
14	Oct_30_2017	29.61	29.71	29.64	29.52			29.6(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-26	-10000	0	-103	0.96	49%	0	-42.6	0.28%	0	-0.8	49	0
15	Oct_27_2017	29.61	29.72	29.67	29.51			29.51(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-35	-10000	-13	-101	1.14	45%	-0.03	-40.4	0.27%	0	-1.5	45	0

16	Oct_26_2017	29.62	29.73	29.7	29.56			29.34(-0.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-40	-10000	-27	-77	1.45	45%	0	-34.1	0.27%	0	-3	31	0
17	Oct_25_2017	29.62	29.73	29.75	29.67			29.51(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-22	-10000	-18	-32	1.63	46%	0	-13.5	0.27%	0	-2.2	34	0
18	Oct_24_2017	29.62	29.75	29.78	29.74			29.58(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-11	-10000	-13	-5	1.79	44%	0	-2.9	0.27%	0	-1.7	36	0
19	Oct_23_2017	29.62	29.76	29.78	29.79			29.62(-0.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.9	-8	-10000	-13	6	1.28	44%	-0.03	6.7	0.27%	0	-1.6	38	0
20	Oct_20_2017	29.63	29.76	29.78	29.84			29.76(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	1	-10000	-5	18	1.91	47%	0	14.8	0.27%	0	-0.1	46	0

21	Oct_19_2017	29.63	29.77	29.79	29.86			29.88(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	-10000	5	32	1.27	49%	0.03	7.4	0.26%	0	1.4	60	0
22	Oct_18_2017	29.62	29.77	29.79	29.84			29.86(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	-10000	5	32	0.81	52%	0	-18.5	0.26%	0	1.2	67	0
23	Oct_17_2017	29.62	29.77	29.78	29.82			29.85(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	18	-10000	10	42	1.1	52%	0	-40.7	0.27%	0	1.1	74	0
24	Oct_16_2017	29.62	29.77	29.78	29.78			29.85(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	15	-10000	10	28	1.11	52%	0.03	-60	0.27%	0	1	53	0
25	Oct_13_2017	29.61	29.76	29.77	29.74			29.88(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	9	-10000	7	14	1.08	52%		-67.6	0.27%	0	1.1	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.