Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jul. 21, 2017

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $29.5200 (0.24%) ($29.4500 - $29.5400) on Fri. Jul. 21, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.29% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $29.5200(0.24%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PCY advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PCY advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EMHY(89%)    HYG(71%)    JNK(70%)    CEMB(68%)    LQD(66%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -0.145% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-26%)    TBT(-19%)    VIXM(-16%)    DIA(-6%)    XHB(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.145% (StdDev 0.29%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $29.41(0.37%)
10 Day Moving Average   $29.3(0.75%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29.29(0.79%)
To recent high   -1.2%
To recent low   2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 0.68% (three month std-dev: 0.29%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170821

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_21_2017	29.3	29.29	29.3	29.41			29.52(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	44	-10000	14	132	0.77	51%	0.03	-8.8	0.29%	0	1.2	59	0
2	Jul_20_2017	29.29	29.29	29.24	29.35			29.45(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	27	-10000	7	86	0.85	51%	0.03	-22.1	0.29%	0	0.8	54	0
3	Jul_19_2017	29.28	29.29	29.19	29.32			29.43(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	18	-10000	10	41	1.68	51%	0	-39.7	0.29%	0	0.7	44	0
4	Jul_18_2017	29.28	29.28	29.16	29.28			29.38(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	12	-10000	14	4	1.28	52%	0	-50	0.29%	0	0.5	42	0
5	Jul_17_2017	29.28	29.29	29.13	29.22			29.27(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-7	-10000	10	-58	1.06	50%	0	-58.3	0.29%	0	-0.1	29	0

6	Jul_14_2017	29.28	29.3	29.12	29.18			29.24(-0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-13	-10000	14	-94	0.59	50%	0.03	-61.5	0.29%	0	-0.3	34	0
7	Jul_13_2017	29.27	29.33	29.13	29.12			29.27(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-20	-10000	17	-132	1.09	48%	0	-67.1	0.29%	0	-0.2	39	0
8	Jul_12_2017	29.27	29.36	29.14	29.05			29.26(0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-32	-10000	9	-154	1.08	48%	0	-65.2	0.3%	0	-0.4	44	0
9	Jul_11_2017	29.27	29.38	29.16	29.01			29.07(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-47	-10000	-2	-181	1.21	45%	0	-68.4	0.29%	0	-1.1	34	0
10	Jul_10_2017	29.27	29.41	29.21	29.02			29.04(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-55	-10000	-12	-183	1.44	45%	0	-68.4	0.29%	0	-1.3	29	0

11	Jul_7_2017	29.27	29.45	29.27	29.07			28.94(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-56	-10000	-17	-174	1.54	42%	0.03	-68.5	0.29%	0	-1.9	23	0
12	Jul_6_2017	29.26	29.49	29.32	29.14			28.93(-0.52%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-62	-10000	-26	-168	1.9	42%	0	-64.7	0.29%	0	-2.2	21	0
13	Jul_5_2017	29.26	29.53	29.37	29.25			29.08(-0.14%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-55	-10000	-19	-162	2.55	48%	0	-56	0.28%	0	-2	20	0
14	Jul_3_2017	29.26	29.57	29.42	29.33			29.12(-0.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-57	-10000	-24	-155	2.7	50%	0	-45.6	0.28%	0	-2.3	29	0
15	Jun_30_2017	29.26	29.6	29.47	29.43			29.27(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-40	-10000	-14	-117	1.03	53%	0	-31.6	0.28%	0	-1.9	34	0

16	Jun_29_2017	29.26	29.63	29.51	29.49			29.3(-0.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-32	-10000	-10	-96	1.07	55%	0.03	-15.7	0.28%	0	-2.2	36	0
17	Jun_28_2017	29.25	29.65	29.55	29.53			29.47(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-20	-10000	2	-86	1.05	58%	0	-6.8	0.27%	0	-1.4	38	0
18	Jun_27_2017	29.25	29.65	29.59	29.53			29.47(-0.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-21	-10000	0	-84	1.14	58%	0.03	-4.5	0.28%	0	-1.5	37	0
19	Jun_26_2017	29.24	29.65	29.59	29.52			29.66(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-22	-10000	2	-94	0.8	63%	0.03	2.3	0.26%	0	0	41	0
20	Jun_23_2017	29.23	29.65	29.62	29.51			29.57(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-28	-10000	-2	-105	0.98	62%	0.03	4.5	0.26%	0	-0.7	41	0

21	Jun_22_2017	29.22	29.65	29.63	29.52			29.49(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-38	-10000	-13	-111	1.15	60%	0	15.9	0.26%	0	-1.3	35	0
22	Jun_21_2017	29.22	29.65	29.66	29.57			29.39(-0.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-42	-10000	-26	-89	1.5	58%	0.03	31.8	0.26%	0	-2.1	43	0
23	Jun_20_2017	29.21	29.65	29.7	29.67			29.48(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-18	-10000	-15	-27	1.38	61%	0.03	52.3	0.26%	0	-1.4	50	0
24	Jun_19_2017	29.2	29.66	29.74	29.73			29.61(-0.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-0	-10000	-6	17	1	65%	0.03	59.6	0.25%	0	-0.4	53	0
25	Jun_16_2017	29.19	29.65	29.76	29.75			29.65(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	9	-10000	-2	43	1.09	67%		56.9	0.26%	0	0	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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