Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Mar. 1, 2017

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $29.0000 (-0.17%) ($28.9200 - $29.0100) on Wed. Mar. 1, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.35% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $29.0000(-0.17%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   PCY advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EMHY(89%)    HYG(70%)    JNK(70%)    CEMB(68%)    LQD(66%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -0.175% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-26%)    TBT(-20%)    VIXM(-16%)    DIA(-6%)    XHB(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.175% (StdDev 0.35%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $29.02(-0.07%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28.95(0.17%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.93(0.24%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   4.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 0.38% (three month std-dev: 0.35%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170401

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_1_2017	28.77	28.93		29.02			29(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	4	-10000	2	11	1.32	54%	-0.07	97.4	0.35%	0	0.6	49	0
2	Feb_28_2017	28.79	28.91	28.95	29.01			29.05(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	8	-10000	6	14	2.17	54%	-0.03	77.8	0.36%	0	1.1	59	0
3	Feb_27_2017	28.8	28.89	28.94	28.98			28.98(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	8	-10000	6	14	1.17	54%	-0.07	62.5	0.36%	0	0.6	55	0
4	Feb_24_2017	28.82	28.87	28.95	28.95			29.08(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	10	-10000	9	12	0.78	54%	-0.03	51.9	0.36%	0	1.4	61	0
5	Feb_23_2017	28.83	28.84	28.95	28.9			29.01(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	8	-10000	8	8	0.8	43%	-0.07	38.2	0.36%	0	1.1	67	0

6	Feb_22_2017	28.85	28.82	28.95	28.86			28.93(0.07%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	1	-10000	-2	11	1.26	43%	-0.03	30.4	0.37%	0	0.7	67	0
7	Feb_21_2017	28.86	28.81	28.95	28.87			28.91(0.35%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	2	-10000	-5	23	1.4	43%	-0.14	28.6	0.38%	0	0.6	66	0
8	Feb_17_2017	28.9	28.8	28.95	28.9			28.81(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	5	-10000	-9	47	0.88	43%	-0.07	35.7	0.39%	0	0.1	68	0
9	Feb_16_2017	28.92	28.79	28.95	28.95			28.82(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	15	-10000	-5	76	1.16	43%	-0.07	35.6	0.39%	0	0.2	63	0
10	Feb_15_2017	28.94	28.78	28.93	28.98			28.84(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	20	-10000	-5	95	1.1	56%	-0.07	37.3	0.39%	0	0.4	68	0

11	Feb_14_2017	28.96	28.77	28.91	29.01			28.99(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	31	-10000	5	109	1.23	62%	-0.03	40.7	0.41%	0	1.3	73	0
12	Feb_13_2017	28.97	28.76	28.88	28.98			29.06(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	29	-10000	5	101	0.68	62%	-0.07	37.3	0.42%	0	1.8	68	0
13	Feb_10_2017	28.99	28.75	28.83	28.95			29.03(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	24	-10000	5	82	1.07	33%	-0.03	34.6	0.43%	0	1.9	60	0
14	Feb_9_2017	29	28.73	28.79	28.92			28.96(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	-10000	5	49	1.24	28%	-0.07	32.7	0.67%	0	1.6	65	0
15	Feb_8_2017	29.02	28.72	28.75	28.87			29(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	15	-10000	7	40	1.04	28%	-0.03	33.3	0.7%	0	2.2	68	0

16	Feb_7_2017	29.03	28.71	28.7	28.8			28.87(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	9	-10000	4	25	1.55	32%	-0.03	42.1	0.7%	0	1.5	58	0
17	Feb_6_2017	29.04	28.7	28.68	28.76			28.89(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	9	-10000	7	15	0.92	32%	-0.03	57.1	0.7%	0	1.9	50	0
18	Feb_3_2017	29.05	28.7	28.67	28.69			28.88(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	5	-10000	5	5	1.9	32%	-0.07	62.9	0.7%	0	1.9	55	0
19	Feb_2_2017	29.07	28.69	28.64	28.64			28.71(0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	1	-10000	4	-10	1.2	32%	-0.03	83.9	0.7%	0	0.2	44	0
20	Feb_1_2017	29.08	28.68	28.64	28.6			28.65(-0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-5	-10000	1	-22	1.39	32%	-0.03	77.1	0.7%	0	-0.3	47	0

21	Jan_31_2017	29.09	28.66	28.62	28.6			28.66(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-7	-10000	0	-27	1.31	32%	-0.07	62.2	0.7%	0	0	47	0
22	Jan_30_2017	29.11	28.64	28.64	28.59			28.55(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-11	-10000	-5	-28	1.46	32%	-0.07	66.7	0.7%	0	-0.7	40	0
23	Jan_27_2017	29.13	28.63	28.66	28.64			28.62(0.32%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-4	-10000	1	-20	0.84	30%	-0.07	66.1	0.7%	0	-0.1	43	0
24	Jan_26_2017	29.15	28.61	28.68	28.63			28.53(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-7	-10000	-2	-21	1.09	28%	-0.1	61.9	0.7%	0	-0.4	38	0
25	Jan_25_2017	29.18	28.6	28.7	28.65			28.58(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-4	-10000	-1	-12	1.35	28%		61.4	0.71%	0	-0.1	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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